TUSCALOOSA AL - NOVEMBER 26: Quarterback Cam Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers looks to the sidelines for a play call against the Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium on November 26 2010 in Tuscaloosa Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

BCS Rankings: Auburn Overtakes Oregon In Week 14 Standings

The Week 14 BCS rankings will be released Sunday night on ESPN.

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4 Total Updates since November 28, 2010
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BCS Rankings: Questions Answered By Week 14 Standings

This morning I posed a few questions that would be answered when tonight's standings came out. The Auburn Tigers passed the Oregon Ducks, by a thread. (One coach or two Harris voters, to be precise.) But that really does not matter: either is still in the championship game with a win next week.

Who Is 4th?

Stanford. And with a good cushion. With the third through ninth teams off this week, it is highly unlikely that the gap of 0.0228 between Stanford and Wisconsin can be overcome.

This means Stanford will be guaranteed a BCS bowl.

Who Will Win The Big Ten?

Wisconsin. With a gap of 0.0553 between the Badgers and Buckeyes, Ohio State would need to gain more than a ranking spot across the board. That won't happen.

Who Will Win the Big 12 South?

Oklahoma. And it was not as close as I projected.

Can Boise State Become BCS Eligible?

Yes, but there are only two at-large spots (thanks, Stanford) and the Sugar Bowl is unlikely to let them go by. Or to pick Boise State.

Who Will Be BCS Eligible?

The Auburn Tigers, Oregon Ducks, TCU Horned Frogs, Stanford Cardinal, Wisconsin Badgers, Ohio St. Buckeyes, Arkansas Razorbacks, Michigan St. Spartans, Oklahoma Sooners, LSU Tigers, Boise St. Broncos, Missouri Tigers, Nebraska Cornhuskers, and Oklahoma State Cowboys.

Or, well, that list minus the Big 12 Championship Game loser. If the Virginia Tech Hokies beat Florida State, they will take the 14th spot. If Virginia Tech loses, the Alabama Crimson Tide should take the spot.

Who Will Be In A BCS Bowl?

We will find out next week. Here is my guess.

BCS Championship Game: Auburn vs. Oregon
Rose Bowl: TCU vs. Wisconsin
Sugar Bowl: Arkansas vs. Ohio State
Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Connecticut
Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska vs. Stanford

Contingencies

If Oregon loses, TCU and Oregon will swap places. If Auburn also loses South Carolina will also replace Arkansas in the Sugar Bowl.

If Oregon wins and Auburn loses, TCU will move to the BCS National Championship Game, Stanford to the Rose Bowl, Connecticut to the Fiesta Bowl, Auburn to the Orange Bowl, and South Carolina will replace Arkansas in the Sugar Bowl.

If FSU beats Virginia Tech, it will take the ACC's spot in the Orange Bowl.

If Oklahoma beats Nebraska, it will play in the Fiesta Bowl.

West Virginia and Pittsburgh have chances to replace Connecticut should the Huskies lose, without other changes to bowl positions.

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BCS Rankings: Analysis Of The Week 14 Standings

A brief overview of the Week 14 BCS rankings.

Stanford got its BCS bowl berth. The Cardinal are fourth this week, and it would seem impossible for any team from below fourth to pass Stanford before next week's final BCS rankings. Therefore, Stanford fans can probably prepare for a BCS bowl game — likely the Orange Bowl, probably against the ACC's champion.

Wisconsin and Oklahoma both got rewarded, too. The BCS rankings this week have given the Badgers and Sooners a projected Rose Bowl berth and a chance to earn a BCS bowl berth, respectively. The squads can thank some tough schedules for their lofty placement in this week's standings.

Auburn and Oregon have big leads on the field, but Auburn's is safer. The Tigers and Ducks are almost as far ahead of TCU as TCU is ahead of Wisconsin, but only Oregon would likely fall behind the Horned Frogs with a loss to Oregon State this coming weekend. Auburn, because of a stronger computer portfolio, might only fall to second after a loss to South Carolina, and if that happens, expect a ton of BCS vitriol next Sunday night.

And finally, the BCS rankings love the SEC: two-loss Arkansas leaps past one-loss Michigan State, two-loss LSU is a spot ahead of Boise State, and the three-loss Alabama Crimson Tide remain ahead of the one-loss Nevada Wolf Pack, fresh off an upset of last week's fourth-ranked team. In case you were wondering why Auburn's lead is so solid: the Tigers have beaten all three of those teams, and 19th-ranked South Carolina and 22nd-ranked Mississippi State.

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BCS Rankings: Auburn On Top In Week 14 Standings, Stanford Fourth

In the Week 14 BCS rankings, the beast of the SEC is the nation's top team once again.

After a bump from their escape at Alabama, the Auburn Tigers take the top spot in the Week 14 BCS standings, displacing the Oregon Ducks to second. Both teams are still in line to meet in the BCS National Championship Game by finishing their seasons with wins this week.

Auburn and Oregon are followed in the top five by TCU, Stanford, and Wisconsin. This likely means good things for both the Cardinal and the Badgers: both teams likely locked up automatic BCS bowl berths by moving up to those positions.

Stanford will have an automatic at-large BCS bowl bid if it finishes fourth in next week's final BCS rankings, and Wisconsin will have the Big Ten's automatic BCS bowl bid if it remains ahead of Ohio State and Michigan State in those standings. With all of those teams done with their seasons, it's unlikely that the rankings would change after Week 14 byes.

Meanwhile, TCU has likely sewn up a Rose Bowl berth by moving up to third, and might yet sneak into the BCS National Championship Game should either Auburn or Oregon lose. And Oklahoma earned a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game by being the highest-rated Big 12 South co-champion in the Week 14 standings.

The big losers this week? Boise State and LSU, both vanquished on the field in Week 13 and banished from their top-five perches in last week's BCS rankings. Neither team appears likely to make it to a BCS bowl.

We'll have more analysis on the BCS standings and the ramifications of them as the night wears on, including analysis from our BCS expert.

Full Week 14 BCS rankings as follows:

  1. Auburn
  2. Oregon
  3. TCU
  4. Stanford
  5. Wisconsin
  6. Ohio State
  7. Arkansas
  8. Michigan State
  9. Oklahoma
  10. LSU
  11. Boise State
  12. Missouri
  13. Nebraska
  14. Oklahoma State
  15. Virginia Tech
  16. Alabama
  17. Nevada
  18. Texas A&M
  19. South Carolina
  20. Utah
  21. Florida State
  22. Mississippi State
  23. Arizona
  24. West Virginia
  25. Northern Illinois

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BCS Rankings: What's At Stake In The Week 14 Standings?

The Week 14 BCS rankings won't be announced until tonight on ESPN, but the college football world will be anxiously anticipating this week's standings. And for good reason: this might be the most consequential set of standings this year, even more so than the final BCS rankings, and could more or less set the lineup of teams for the BCS bowls.

That's because this week's rankings will likely influence two conference races, and might determine whether Stanford misses a BCS bowl entirely.

First, in the Big Ten, the final BCS rankings will be used to break a tie between Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Michigan State. While the Week 14 standings are not the final ones, all three teams have finished their regular seasons, and should remain in the same position next week as they end up in this week. For that reason, Wisconsin and Ohio State will be watching tonight's standings closely, each hoping to lead the Big Ten and all but lock up a Rose Bowl berth.

Whichever team comes in second shouldn't fret, though: a Sugar Bowl berth is likely for that team.

The Big 12 South will also be paying close attention to this week's BCS rankings: whichever team of the trio of Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and Texas A&M is ranked highest in this week's BCS standings will win the division tiebreaker and head to the Big 12 Championship Game this week. That's almost assured to be Oklahoma, which is higher-ranked in both of the major human polls, but the Cowboys and Aggies can still hold out hope.

And for Stanford, getting up to fourth in the final BCS rankings would qualify the Cardinal for an automatic BCS bowl berth, and save them from the vagaries of a bowl selection process that might not work in their favor, thanks to a Rose Bowl that likely cannot take Stanford and a small fan base that might not appeal to the Fiesta Bowl or Orange Bowl. The Cardinal's season is done, though, which means that if the squad cannot beat out Wisconsin for fourth in this week's standings, it must hope for upsets of Oregon and Auburn — or a radical devaluation of TCU — to free up a spot next week.

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