BCS Rankings: Conference Races And Bowl Projections

It's late enough in the season to be talking about precisely what teams need to do to win their conferences and earn BCS bowl berths. And BCS Evolution has done a lot of that analysis.

There are a few conferences that seem pretty well sewn up (Oregon in the Pac-10, Auburn in the SEC, Nebraska or the Oklahoma-Oklahoma State winner in the Big 12), but the Big Ten and ACC are very much up for grabs. The ACC, in particular, is living up to its erstwhile All Chaos Conference moniker: Maryland and Clemson can get into the ACC Championship Game by winning out, Georgia Tech is still alive for a BCS bowl berth, and there is a chance that the winner of the Atlantic division will be divided by ... chance:

If Wake Forest beats Clemson, Clemson beats FSU, FSU beats Maryland and Maryland beats N.C. State, a three-way tie would occur that head-to-head could not settle.

This would fall to the highest ranked team in the BCS standings, which is kind of funny, because there might not be a team in the BCS standings in this case. The next tie breaker would be by drawing lots.

If you want a really frightening rundown of the ACC's potential for madness, check out D1scourse's compliation of all 128 scenarios the ACC might still see.

Elsewhere, the Big Ten will probably come down to a BCS rankings tiebreaker, and the Big East can still crown any of its eight teams champion, which is just great news for Cincinnati, 3-5 on the season and 1-2 in conference.

Assuming that standings will stay more or less the same, though, Team Speed Kills worked out some BCS bowl projections:

BCS National Championship Game: Auburn vs. Oregon
Rose Bowl: Wisconsin vs. TCU
Sugar Bowl: Ohio State vs. LSU
Fiesta Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Nebraska
Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Boise State

This is a promising projection for Boise State, which would get a rematch with the Hokies in Miami as a consolation prize for losing the auto-bid from a non-automatically qualifying conference to TCU, but it's tough luck for Stanford. Jim Harbaugh, Andrew Luck and the rest would be shut out of the BCS in this case, because their logical landing spots in the Rose and Fiesta would be taken by TCU and other automatically qualified teams.

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