SB Nation NCAAF College Football BlogPoll
They aren't quite No. 1, but Arkansas' standing in the Week 13 BlogPoll suggests that the SEC West is the land where the king of college football roams. Plus, no one agrees on USC, and resume balloting rules everything around the BlogPoll.
Nov 23, 2011 - LSU sweeps all the first-place votes in the Week 13 BlogPoll, topping all 72 ballots and ranking ahead of No. 2 Alabama by more than a point per blog. But it's the SEC West's separation from the field, from No. 3 Arkansas to No. 4 Stanford and No. 5 Oklahoma State, that's the really interesting aspect of this week's voting.
Arkansas is closer to the points per blog of a unanimous No. 4 than a strong No. 3, but the Razorbacks are closer to the Crimson Tide than to the Cardinal, taking a massive 1.94 points per blog advantage on Stanford. Clearly, the BlogPoll voters have a definite idea of what team is the third-best in the nation.
Elsewhere, USC makes its first appearance in the BlogPoll top 15 this season, moving up five spots to No. 13 after upsetting Oregon at Autzen Stadium, and the Ducks join Oklahoma, Clemson, and Nebraska in tumbling after Week 12 losses.

Total Ballots: 72
Wack Ballot Watchdog
Husker Mike's Blasphemy ranked Iowa State after the Cyclones laid Oklahoma State low. The Unbalanced Line ranked 7-4 Temple. Virginia climbed as high as 18th on Track 'Em Tigers' ballot. Some idiot at Alligator Army gave Northern Illinois its first vote of the year since Week 2.
Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most and least disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at No. 25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, Tulane) would all be at the top.
| # | School | Points/blog | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC Trojans | 13.11 | 6.32 |
| 2 | Houston Cougars | 17.28 | 4.66 |
| 3 | Oklahoma Sooners | 13.67 | 4.32 |
| 4 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 11.49 | 3.72 |
| 5 | Wisconsin Badgers | 12.36 | 3.53 |
I've been harping on the problems with ranking USC for what seems like months now, but it bears repeating: USC is a good team that a lot of East Coast voters don't get to pay a lot of attention to, and one that didn't have a signature win until its victory at Oregon in Week 12. Now, after that win, voters still can't agree on the Trojans: they're as high as sixth on five ballots, but also get a No. 25 ranking from Red Cup Rebellion.
Houston, meanwhile, keeps on with the "being undefeated" and "making voters look up their schedule on a weekly basis to see if any of its wins are good" things, and Oklahoma remains a talented team with befuddling losses.
Ballot Math
First up are Mr. Bold and Mr. Numb Existence. The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.
| # | Blog | Team | Ballot | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frogs O' War | TCU Horned Frogs | ballot | 3.83 |
| 2 | NittanyWhiteOut | Penn St. Nittany Lions | ballot | 3.02 |
| 3 | The Ralphie Report | Colorado Buffaloes | ballot | 2.53 |
| 4 | Red Cup Rebellion | Mississippi Rebels | ballot | 2.43 |
| 5 | Let's Go Rockets | Toledo Rockets | ballot | 2.29 |
This is what happens when Frogs O' War's resume balloting compels SB Nation's TCU blog to rank Virginia Tech third and Michigan State sixth while putting Oklahoma and Clemson in the bottom five teams of its top 25.
| # | Blog | Team | Ballot | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Card Chronicle | Louisville Cardinals | ballot | 0.98 |
| 2 | Tom Fornelli | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | ballot | 1.20 |
| 3 | Tilting at Windmills | Oklahoma Sooners | ballot | 1.34 |
| 4 | Eleven Warriors | Ohio St. Buckeyes | ballot | 1.34 |
| 5 | Frank the Tank's Slant | Illinois Fighting Illini | ballot | 1.35 |
Kudos to Card Chronicle for still caring about Louisville football during the Cardinals' awfu... wait, Louisville can make it to the Orange Bowl?
Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award, which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.
| # | Blog | Team | Ballot | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frogs O' War | TCU Horned Frogs | ballot | 5.69 |
| 2 | BCS Guru | USC Trojans | ballot | 3.89 |
| 3 | The Key Play | Virginia Tech Hokies | ballot | 3.51 |
| 4 | Garnet and Black Attack | South Carolina Gamecocks | ballot | 3.51 |
| 5 | NittanyWhiteOut | Penn St. Nittany Lions | ballot | 1.86 |
Just when I start to suspect that Frogs O' War's resume balloting may be a convenient way to make me write about them every week, I check out all the votes for TCU and realize that Dan Shanoff has the Horned Frogs sixth. I mean, TCU lost to SMU.
| # | Blog | Team | Ballot | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corn Nation | Nebraska Cornhuskers | ballot | -3.68 |
| 2 | The Ciskie Blog | Wisconsin Badgers | ballot | -3.36 |
| 3 | Tilting at Windmills | Oklahoma Sooners | ballot | -0.67 |
| 4 | Rock M Nation | Missouri Tigers | ballot | -0.07 |
| 5 | Let's Go Rockets | Toledo Rockets | ballot | -0.01 |
I've been writing this for long enough to tell you, without looking, that Corn Nation doesn't have Nebraska ranked (verified), and that The Ciskie Blog probably has Wisconsin No. 19 (okay, No. 17). It is literally impossible to not show up in this category if your team is even receiving votes at this point, though, because Let's Go Rockets didn't rank Toledo, and Toledo got one 25th-place vote, and here they are.
Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.
| # | Blog | Team | Ballot | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frogs O' War | TCU Horned Frogs | ballot | 180 |
| 2 | Corn Nation | Nebraska Cornhuskers | ballot | 140 |
| 3 | Tilting at Windmills | Oklahoma Sooners | ballot | 108 |
| 4 | Inside The Shoe | Ohio St. Buckeyes | ballot | 104 |
| 5 | Let's Go Rockets | Toledo Rockets | ballot | 96 |
Something something resume balloting almost always produces swing when you also introduce a caveat that a team that lost in a given week cannot be ranked ahead of the team it fell to something something.
| # | Blog | Team | Ballot | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Ciskie Blog | Wisconsin Badgers | ballot | 60 |
| 2 | And The Valley Shook! | LSU Tigers | ballot | 68 |
| 3 | One Foot Down | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | ballot | 70 |
| 4 | Hog Database | Arkansas Razorbacks | ballot | 72 |
| 5 | Card Chronicle | Louisville Cardinals | ballot | 78 |
I don't have a lot to say here, except that I appreciate And The Valley Shook! having a gratuitous exclamation point in its name.
Comments
Disappointed I didn't dominate the rankings again
but I think you need to get your calibrations checked.
http://www.sbnation.com/ncaa-football/rankings/college-football-blogpoll-top-25/ballots/2558
@devon2012. Follow me.
by Devon Edwards on Nov 23, 2011 11:11 AM EST reply actions
I always enjoy this piece
Thanks for putting it together week in and week out.
Elway is in, Zimm is in, Little is FINALLY in but don't forget: Randy Gradishar, Steve Atwater & Terrel Davis
by BlueNOrangeNIdaho on Nov 23, 2011 11:30 AM EST reply actions
I can't get my head around Arkansas' ranking.
Seven of their wins are against teams with losing records (combined 23-43) including an 8 loss FCS team and a 7 loss Sun Belt team. Including those two just mentioned, four of those wins are against teams with 7 or more losses. The three teams with winning records they’ve beaten are 6-5, 7-4 and 9-2. I’m not arguing for Boise State, let me be clear, but if BSU is going to be crushed for a supposedly “weak” schedule then how is Arkansas even in this position?
Elway is in, Zimm is in, Little is FINALLY in but don't forget: Randy Gradishar, Steve Atwater & Terrel Davis
by BlueNOrangeNIdaho on Nov 23, 2011 12:46 PM EST reply actions 2 recs
Boise
lost in their weak schedule. They can’t even win all of those. You need a big win or to avoid the bad loss. Or, apparently, be Houston.
"We run this state, we run this stadium. Now let's go out there and run their ass in the ground"
by Bluto F-15 on Nov 23, 2011 7:15 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Okay...
As I said, I wasn’t trying to argue for Boise State. I’m trying to figure out why Arkansas, with a weaker schedule then BSU, is ranked third in the nation at all. Based on everything I said in my OP, they shouldn’t be in this position at all.
Elway is in, Zimm is in, Little is FINALLY in but don't forget: Randy Gradishar, Steve Atwater & Terrel Davis
by BlueNOrangeNIdaho on Nov 23, 2011 8:46 PM EST up reply actions
Just to be clear
I do not rank USC, and will not rank teams that are currently on probation. I’m guessing in the next couple years, I’ll have a lot of them. :)
Go Big Red Nebraska!
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by Jon Johnston on Nov 23, 2011 3:14 PM EST reply actions
thanks for reading--
Andy: I’m tickled you’ve actually read the commentary that typically accompanies my ballots for Frogs O’ War. Last year there seemed only to be contempt from the poll editor, because I think he never read the why behind the madness. (no commentary this week;the homestead’s internet connection is out)
Trying to rank teams sensibly is not for chickens. I had to break my “no winner ranks below the loser of a game” rule for Iowa State and OkieLight, but the Rule still keeps things interesting.
http://www.frogsowar.com
by Purple Wimple on Nov 23, 2011 4:48 PM EST reply actions
Can someone please
explain how in God’s name Boso State and Houston are in the top 10?
"We run this state, we run this stadium. Now let's go out there and run their ass in the ground"
by Bluto F-15 on Nov 23, 2011 7:16 PM EST reply actions
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