Re-Ranking All 124 College Football Teams In 'NCAA Football 13'

BATON ROUGE, LA - NOVEMBER 25: Linebacker Lamin Barrow #57 and quarterback Zach Mettenberger #8 of the LSU Tigers and the rest of their teammates run out onto the field before taking on the Arkansas Razorbacks at Tiger Stadium on November 25, 2011 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

What if we used some advanced stats to come up with ideal team ratings for NCAA Football 13? Let's do just that!

EA Sports' NCAA Football 13 comes out this week, making for a holiday on the college football calendar and a landmark that means the real-life season is near.

Team and player ratings have already leaked, raising an eyebrow or two along the way. They're fine for the most part, and aren't really going to stop anybody from dumping the regular annual allotment of hours into this game.

But let's say EA Sports hired us to provide ratings for all 124 FBS teams. This means Overall, Offensive and Defensive ratings for each, scaled from 99 for the best team to like 50-ish for really bad teams. Also, a Prestige rating, which affects recruiting and which coaches a school can hire -- basically a resources rating.

For the first three, I fiddled with Football Outsiders' 2012 F/+ projections, which you'll be able to get your hands on soon (buy the book!). FO likes Alabama the best, while I have LSU on top, but even they're not worthy of a 99 if we're accounting for all-time teams -- a 99, to me, means a team like 2001 Miami or 1995 Nebraska. By that scale, I might still have LSU too high.


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Among the more noteworthy tumbles were Texas' offense, Michigan's defense, Michigan State's offense, Arkansas' defense, Wisconsin's defense, Utah's offense and Kansas State's everything (but numbers are irrelevant when it comes to K-State), while just about everybody got bumped down a little bit.

For Prestige, I took a look at recent recruiting rankings, revenue, coaching salaries and so forth. Teams were more likely to go up in the Prestige column than in the others. Yep, Boise State's takes a big hit, but that just means you'll have to be as great a video game coach as Chris Petersen is a real-life coach.

That's pretty much the whole story. Side by side for each category, recommended rankings and the rankings NCAA 13 uses -- click any column to re-order it:

Team Conf. Rec. Overall NCAA 13 Overall Rec. Offense NCAA 13 Offense Rec. Defense NCAA 13 Defense Rec. Prestige NCAA 13 Prestige
LSU SEC 97 99 92 92 96 95 6 6
Alabama SEC 96 97 93 92 97 95 6 6
Oklahoma Big 12 95 97 94 95 90 93 6 6
Oregon Pac-12 94 99 93 94 86 95 5 6
Florida State ACC 93 97 80 92 94 95 6 5
Georgia SEC 93 97 87 95 87 91 6 5
Ohio State Big Ten 93 95 81 89 93 95 6 6
USC Pac-12 93 99 95 99 76 91 6 6
Florida SEC 92 91 76 84 93 93 6 6
Oklahoma State Big 12 92 95 87 92 87 91 5 5
Stanford Pac-12 92 93 94 91 76 89 5 5
TCU Big 12 92 93 88 94 82 87 4 5
Texas Big 12 92 99 74 91 95 99 6 6
Notre Dame Ind. 91 97 83 94 83 95 6 6
Arkansas SEC 90 95 91 95 74 87 4 5
Michigan Big Ten 91 97 88 94 80 91 6 6
South Carolina SEC 90 95 80 92 85 91 5 4
Virginia Tech ACC 90 95 74 88 89 99 4 5
West Virginia Big 12 89 87 92 91 70 76 4 4
Wisconsin Big Ten 89 99 94 97 68 95 5 5
Auburn SEC 88 93 79 89 81 91 6 6
Clemson ACC 88 97 89 95 70 91 5 5
Michigan State Big Ten 88 93 73 89 85 89 5 4
Nebraska Big Ten 88 91 81 91 78 87 5 5
Texas A&M SEC 88 93 84 92 75 87 5 4
Boise State MWC 87 89 85 89 72 82 3 6
Tennessee SEC 87 89 77 88 79 84 5 4
Missouri SEC 86 89 83 89 72 84 4 4
South Florida Big East 86 81 72 80 82 80 3 3
Georgia Tech ACC 85 87 85 86 68 84 4 4
North Carolina ACC 85 91 83 89 70 87 4 4
Penn State Big Ten 85 89 70 86 83 89 6 5
Texas Tech Big 12 85 87 86 89 66 82 3 3
Iowa Big Ten 84 91 78 89 73 89 5 4
Utah Pac-12 84 95 61 92 91 91 4 4
Miami (FL) ACC 83 91 86 88 64 89 5 6
Rutgers Big East 83 87 68 83 80 87 3 3
BYU Ind. 82 89 69 89 77 84 4 4
Pittsburgh Big East 82 85 68 89 79 76 3 3
California Pac-12 81 85 69 89 77 76 4 3
Cincinnati Big East 81 89 70 84 74 87 3 3
Houston CUSA 81 87 86 84 61 86 3 3
Louisville Big East 81 87 74 84 71 86 4 3
Mississippi State SEC 81 87 63 84 83 86 3 3
Baylor Big 12 80 87 86 88 60 84 3 3
Boston College ACC 80 85 64 83 81 86 3 3
Kansas State Big 12 79 91 77 92 65 86 4 3
Southern Miss CUSA 79 83 66 81 76 80 2 2
UCF CUSA 79 85 68 84 74 82 2 3
Vanderbilt SEC 79 77 66 80 74 74 3 2
Illinois Big Ten 78 83 57 81 89 82 4 3
N.C. State ACC 77 91 70 89 67 87 3 3
Tulsa CUSA 77 91 66 89 71 86 2 2
Virginia ACC 77 89 69 88 68 84 4 3
Washington Pac-12 77 93 79 92 61 86 4 4
UCLA Pac-12 76 87 70 88 66 82 4 2
Arizona State Pac-12 75 85 71 84 63 80 3 3
Connecticut Big East 75 83 60 83 80 80 3 3
Ole Miss SEC 75 83 58 81 82 84 3 2
Oregon State Pac-12 75 79 62 81 74 76 3 2
Louisiana Tech WAC 74 81 62 81 73 78 2 1
Arizona Pac-12 73 83 77 81 58 84 3 3
Kentucky SEC 72 83 55 83 82 80 3 2
Navy Ind. 72 77 73 77 59 76 2 3
Nevada MWC 72 83 67 83 62 80 2 3
Maryland ACC 71 85 60 80 69 87 3 3
Northern Illinois MAC 71 79 65 78 63 76 3 2
Northwestern Big Ten 71 87 73 86 58 84 3 3
Ohio MAC 71 81 65 81 62 80 2 2
Purdue Big Ten 71 87 62 84 66 84 3 3
Toledo MAC 71 83 65 81 62 80 2 2
Western Michigan MAC 71 77 70 78 59 74 2 1
Duke ACC 70 83 68 84 60 78 2 2
FIU Sun Belt 70 85 57 83 75 82 2 1
SMU CUSA 70 89 57 89 73 84 2 3
Air Force MWC 69 75 68 75 59 74 2 3
Temple Big East 69 81 59 83 69 84 2 2
Arkansas State Sun Belt 68 81 59 86 66 74 2 2
Bowling Green MAC 68 75 61 75 63 76 1 2
East Carolina CUSA 68 83 62 80 63 82 2 2
Iowa State Big 12 68 83 60 81 65 82 3 2
Syracuse Big East 68 81 62 83 62 78 3 3
Wake Forest ACC 68 81 62 84 62 76 2 2
Minnesota Big Ten 67 77 61 75 62 76 3 2
Central Michigan MAC 66 73 63 77 59 69 2 2
Fresno State MWC 66 87 67 89 57 78 2 2
Marshall CUSA 66 73 59 75 63 71 2 2
Miami (OH) MAC 66 79 61 80 61 74 2 2
San Diego State MWC 66 83 60 84 62 76 2 3
Kansas Big 12 65 79 60 80 61 76 3 2
Utah State WAC 65 75 62 78 59 73 2 1
Indiana Big Ten 64 77 60 77 61 76 2 2
Hawai'i MWC 63 79 60 78 59 80 2 2
Troy Sun Belt 63 73 58 74 61 73 2 2
Western Kentucky Sun Belt 63 73 57 74 63 73 1 1
Ball State MAC 62 73 60 77 59 71 1 2
Colorado Pac-12 62 83 59 80 60 82 3 2
Kent State MAC 62 71 45 69 82 74 1 1
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 62 69 58 74 61 65 1 1
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 61 77 63 81 54 71 2 1
Washington State Pac-12 61 79 62 83 56 74 3 1
Army Ind. 60 73 56 75 60 71 2 1
Colorado State MWC 60 83 54 81 62 80 2 2
Eastern Michigan MAC 60 77 54 78 62 73 1 1
UTEP CUSA 60 75 60 74 57 76 1 2
Wyoming MWC 60 79 56 78 60 80 2 2
Buffalo MAC 59 71 55 75 60 69 1 1
Rice CUSA 58 73 53 75 61 73 2 2
North Texas Sun Belt 57 69 53 70 61 69 1 1
Middle Tennessee Sun Belt 56 65 53 70 59 61 2 1
San Jose State WAC 56 73 53 75 59 73 2 1
Tulane CUSA 56 65 51 69 61 63 2 1
UAB CUSA 56 65 59 69 54 65 1 1
Florida Atlantic Sun Belt 54 60 43 60 69 63 1 1
Memphis CUSA 54 61 50 66 61 60 1 1
Idaho WAC 53 65 47 64 61 67 1 1
UMass MAC 53 63 52 67 55 61 1 1
Akron MAC 52 63 44 67 62 61 1 1
UNLV MWC 52 63 48 67 59 61 2 2
New Mexico MWC 50 65 47 64 58 69 1 1
New Mexico State WAC 50 65 52 70 52 60 1 1
UTSA WAC 48 63 52 66 52 63 1 1
South Alabama Sun Belt 47 N/A 50 N/A 52 N/A 1 N/A
Texas State WAC 46 65 49 67 51 65 1 1

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