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SB Nation 2011 NFL Draft

2011 NFL Mock Draft: How Far Might Jake Locker Slide?

A year ago, Washington QB Jake Locker was a "sure bet" to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2010 NFL Draft. Now we're wondering just how far he'll fall in the 2011 NFL Draft.

Nov 16, 2010 - Roughly a calendar year ago - and lasting all the way through mid-January of 2010 - Washington quarterback Jake Locker, then a junior, was widely considered the No. 1 overall pick in the 2010 NFL Draft. When Locker made the decision to return to UW for his senior season, he was penciled in as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2011 NFL Draft.

Now, with Andrew Luck in firm control of the destiny Locker once held, many people are openly wondering how far Locker might fall when the 2011 NFL Draft rolls around next April. It's entirely too early to roll out a 2011 NFL Mock Draft, but we're doing so today to explore that very question - not to mention spark a little debate.

Polish up your very best superlatives and diatribes, because we're hoping this 2011 NFL Mock Draft raises a few eyebrows. Shout-out to Dan Kadar of Mocking the Draft, SB Nation's NFL Draft affiliate, who assisted in putting this mock together.

1. Carolina Panthers (1-8): Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford. Fans in Charlotte may crave Bill Cowher, but don't be surprised if they target the Stanford duo of Luck and Jim Harbaugh.

2. Buffalo Bills (1-8): Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama. Locker is a distinct possibility here, but Buffalo needs guys in its defensive front seven that can beat blockers. Pairing Dareus with Kyle "Meatball" Williams would do wonders for the league's worst run defense.

3. Detroit Lions (2-7): Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU. Says Kadar: "It's always good when team needs match up with top talent. That's the case here."

4. Dallas Cowboys (2-7): Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska. Kadar: "Current starter Mike Jenkins apparently can't tackle. That is one of Amukamara's best assets."

5. Cincinnati Bengals (2-7): Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson. Can Marvin Lewis survive yet another down year in Cincinnati? If he does, he'll likely look to upgrade his disappointing defense. Bowers is having a monster season.

6. San Francisco 49ers (3-6): Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn. Kadar: "This is interesting because San Francisco seems to need a quarterback. A.J. Green would also be tempting. But the disruptive Fairley could immediately plug in opposite Justin Smith."

7. Minnesota Vikings (3-6): Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina. This is the second team (after Buffalo) that should seriously consider Locker, but with Jared Allen slipping a bit, the Vikes won't feel too bad going BPA.

8. Arizona Cardinals (3-6): A.J. Green, WR, Georgia. Ken Whisenhunt might consider Locker, too, but the Cardinals have long been a BPA team, and Green would hedge the team's bets with Larry Fitzgerald.

9. Denver Broncos (3-6): Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue. Let's be honest: nobody knows what Josh McDaniels is going to do on draft day. We simply put the most logically illogical player in this spot; Kerrigan fits McDaniels' odd taste in 3-4 linebackers.

10. Cleveland Browns (3-6): Julio Jones, WR, Alabama. Kadar (who, by the way, is a Browns fan): "The Browns tried to beat the Jets by throwing to Evan Moore, Chansi Stuckey and Ben Watson. What's missing there? A No. 1 receiver."

11. St. Louis Rams (4-5): Akeem Ayers, LB, UCLA. Ayers' coverage abilities will get him drafted early. Kadar, for the record, wasn't a fan of this pick: "It would be hard to pass on a wide receiver here, especially when the Rams quietly have one of the best defenses in the NFL."

12. Washington Redskins (4-5): Allen Bailey, DT, Miami (FL). If their performance against Mike Vick on Monday Night Football was any indication, Washington needs as much help defensively as it can get.

13. San Diego Chargers (4-5): Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa. This is a nice risk to take for the annually quirky Chargers. Kadar: "This is another place a wide receiver could go. However, San Diego still needs to replace Igor Olshansky."

14. Houston Texans (4-5): Brandon Harris, CB, Miami (FL). The league's most pathetic pass defense needs reinforcements. Kadar agrees: "Team him with Kareem Jackson for Houston's version of Johnathan Joseph and Leon Hall."

15. Kansas City Chiefs (5-4): Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame. Dwayne Bowe is coming along nicely, but the Chiefs need more help for Matt Cassel. OC Charlie Weis will have great familiarity with his former ND recruit.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4): Jake Locker, QB, Washington. Finally, the purported 2010 No. 1 overall pick is off the board. Kadar: "Don't be fooled by David Garrard's performance Sunday. This is a good spot for Locker."

17. Tennessee Titans (5-4): Janoris Jenkins, CB, Florida. Tennessee's no-name defense has sprung leaks of late. Kadar: "Alterraun Verner was a great choice this year, but is more of a third corner."

18. Miami Dolphins (5-4): Cam Newton, QB, Auburn. Chad Henne was benched, and Miami doesn't really have direction at QB once again. Kadar: "This could allow Newton to split quarterback snaps with Chad Henne and also be utilized as a runner or wide receiver."

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3): Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia. Despite his injuries, I love how Dowling fits into Raheem Morris' defense. Kadar, however, believes (correctly) the Bucs should target pass rushers. Plural.

20. Philadelphia Eagles (6-3): Marcus Cannon, OT, TCU. Andy Reid specializes in drafting massive offensive tackles to play guard, and Cannon has the looks of a potentially great NFL guard. Again, Kadar was not a fan of this pick, preferring Aaron Williams.

21. New England Patriots (f/OAK): Cameron Jordan, DE, California. The rich get richer. Kadar: "Talk about a hand-in-glove choice. Love it."

22. Seattle Seahawks (5-4): Cameron Heyward, DT, Ohio State. The Seahawks lack a degree of versatility along their defensive line. Kadar, again, is leaning more toward a pass rusher, here for Seattle's Leo position.

23. Chicago Bears (6-3): Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State. The redshirt sophomore has exploded onto the scene replacing Dez Bryant, and Chicago craves more impact from its receiving corps.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3): Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida. The Steelers need to continue to build young depth along their offensive front. I'll echo Kadar: "Why not reunite the brothers Pouncey?"

25. New York Giants (6-3): Justin Houston, DE, Georgia. Says Kadar: "The only thing I don't like about this is the offensive tackles available. How long can New York get by with Shawn Andrews at left tackle?" I just don't see OT value here.

26. Green Bay Packers (6-3): Aaron Williams, CB, Texas. Kadar says it all: "This would be a sensational pick if Williams is still there. He'd fit the Packers' scheme perfectly."

27. Indianapolis Colts (6-3): Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State. Indy is perpetually searching for help at defensive tackle, and Paea is very good value here. Kadar again points out that an OT is a possibility here.

28. New York Jets (7-2): Von Miller, LB, Texas A&M. They say Rex Ryan collects cornerbacks and pass rushers, and Miller is perhaps the most naturally gifted pass rusher in the nation. He should climb draft boards during February and March.

29. New Orleans Saints (6-3): Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama. Kadar: "Another sensational pick where the player would fit right in."

30. Baltimore Ravens (6-3): Brandon Burton, CB, Utah. Ozzie Newsome is a value drafter, but he'd be filling a rather pressing need with this selection, as well.

31. Atlanta Falcons (7-2): Bruce Carter, LB, North Carolina. For a third time, Kadar points out that OT is a possibility here. The allure of teaming Carter with Sean Weatherspoon at OLB was too great to pass up.

32. New England Patriots (7-2): Stefen Wisniewski, C, Penn State. Kadar to wrap this puppy up: "With the best linebackers gone, offensive line is a good way to go for New England. Wisniewski could play at guard or center."

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Brian Galliford

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Brian manages SB Nation's Buffalo Bills community, Buffalo Rumblings, and also contributes articles to SBNation.com/NFL and SBNation.com/Fantasy.

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Comments

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He won't fall that far

Of the first 12 teams, only the Lions, Browns and Rams are set at QB. I would be suprised if the Panthers pick a QB, but it would not suprise me at all to see the Cowboys take one. Romo has not shown he can win in a pressure situation and Garrett could be looking for a fresh start or at least someone to take over in a year or two. Also, the Bengals could be looking to move on with a new QB, especially if Marvin Lewis is sacked after the season. There are way to many possibilities that still need to play out in the rest of the season.

by Terry L. Kelly on Nov 16, 2010 1:54 PM EST reply actions  

I hope he doesn’t. The more good quarterbacks in this class, the better. A good showing at the Senior Bowl could vault him back into Top 5 consideration.

by Brian Galliford on Nov 17, 2010 8:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Derek Anderson still would not be any good with Fitz and Green.

Lifelong Arizona Cardinals/Chicago Bears fan [I have always lived in Arizona, dad is from Chicago].

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by JoeCB1991 on Nov 16, 2010 3:25 PM EST reply actions  

Kerrigan to Denver?!

At pick #9?!?! Broncos fans have correctly guessed both the Tebow pick as well as Moreno, so Josh McDaniels isn’t entirely unpredictable.

I’m curious why you chose Kerrigan over Clayborn, because the Broncos need DL help more than OLB help with Dumervil coming back and Ayers making clear improvements this year.

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by Sayre Bedinger on Nov 16, 2010 3:44 PM EST reply actions  

Clayborn was the only other player I considered with the pick. I don’t know. Kerrigan just screams “a McDaniels guy” to me.

by Brian Galliford on Nov 17, 2010 8:01 AM EST up reply actions  

Good mock overral but disagree with some picks

It’s way early but here some things I would change:

Even tough Clausen has been inconsistent is just his first year, and the rest of the team aren’t helping him. Don’t see the Panthers taking a QB.
That would leave Luck to the Bills.

If Ryan Mallett enters the Draft he would be a perfect fit for Arizona’s offense, he’s a great pocket passer just like Kurt Warner was and has the ability to run their pass first approach just like he used to.

The Lions should boost their O-Line but this class is weak at the position.

AJ Green should go to the Browns.

Mark Ingram will probably go way earlier than this.

Pouncey is having a inconsistent year, think he might slip from the 1st round.

by Lucas Freitas on Nov 16, 2010 4:29 PM EST reply actions  

I certainly hope Carolina would leave Luck to the Bills. But new regimes mean new quarterbacks, in general, and given how little the NFL liked Clausen last year (he did fall to the second round, after all), I don’t think it’s a stretch at all to assume that Carolina would seek a franchise guy first overall.

I am not sold on Mallett at all, but the point you make about his fit in Whisenhunt’s scheme is a good one.

Agreed re: Ingram; I just couldn’t find a team that I thought would absolutely, 100% take him before the Saints.

by Brian Galliford on Nov 17, 2010 8:00 AM EST up reply actions  

Not disagreeing with the order

but the last thing Miami needs is another injury-prone QB.

by Ericppk on Nov 16, 2010 4:35 PM EST reply actions  

Henne is injury prone?

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by Patssuck456 on Nov 16, 2010 10:58 PM EST up reply actions  

More importantly: Cam Newton is injury-prone?

by Brian Galliford on Nov 17, 2010 7:58 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t know why I thought I saw Locker going to the Dolphins…My bad.

by Ericppk on Nov 18, 2010 6:20 PM EST up reply actions  

It's not like Locker gets hurt just because

he had a freak injury throwing a block (which he never should have been doing in a real offense) in 08’, he got blasted on a late hit out of bounds in the head, and this year had his rib cracked (which only cost him one game, when the injury in reality was about 3 games old) when he’s scrambling for his life.

I’m a UW and Locker fan, and even though I’m not sure how well he’ll do in the NFL…the injury prone thing isn’t really fair if you follow his career.

by B Money on Nov 22, 2010 12:05 AM EST up reply actions  

No way in hell

the Rams pick a 3-4 OLB on a 4-3 defense……………….. That pick sucks regardless of ignoring other needs. Bruce Carter is the OLB the Rams would want.

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by douchiedude on Nov 16, 2010 5:36 PM EST reply actions  

Believe it or not, players don’t need to play the positions they played in college when they get to the NFL. Ayers is more than athletic enough to play OLB in a 4-3.

by Brian Galliford on Nov 17, 2010 7:57 AM EST up reply actions  

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