The Buffalo Bills enter their Week 11 game against the Cincinnati Bengals at 1-8 but with an extra pep in their step after getting their first victory of the year last week against the Detroit Lions. The Bills' record isn't pretty but they've had four consecutive games that were within a field goal so this week's NFL picks isn't as easy as it looks.
The Bengals have a better record but their season is much more disappointing as they were expected to be better than their 2-7 record. They've now lost six in a row -- all by one score. The Bengals offense should be better than that but their rushing game has totaled just 126 yards the last two weeks combined. The Bills defense is probably the best cure for the Bengals offense as they rank 32nd against the run.
The Bills offense is surprisingly fun to watch with QB Ryan Fitzpatrick at the helm. Fitzpatrick seems to make things happen even with Buffalo's 29th ranking on offense.
The Bengals are are six point favorites and I think that's way too high. The Bills haven't been in a game decided by more than three points since Oct. 10. They can't close out games but they know how to keep it close. I think the Bills get their second victory in a row this week with a field goal victory over the Bengals.