The Dolphins have been a reliable bet after their bye week in recent years while the Jets have been pretty responsible with bettor bankroll when they are favored by more than a TD. So which angle prevails when the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets clash on Monday Night Football?
Miami is 5-2 ATS the past seven seasons after a bye week and they have two weeks to find a way to break their victory goose egg (they are 0-4 SU and ATS). They are also 4-1 ATS their past 5 meetings with the Jets.
New York meanwhile has looked terrible defensively in losing three straight and giving up at least 30 points each time. But given a situation where they have to lay a TD or more, they are 9-3 ATS in their past 12 games, a nice little run of ATS profits for Jet backers.
“You have a new QB under center in Matt Moore and the timing was good in that he’ll have two full weeks under his belt,” said Mike Pickett of OddsShark.com, in referring to the season-ending injury to QB Chad Henne. “This can go two ways – a revitalized Dolphin attack or more of the same anemic offensive play with spotty running backs and a questionable arm.”
The line opened at -9 but has been wagered down to -7 at most shops tracked by SB Nation lines partner OddsShark.com. A few books have it at +7.5 on the roady Dolphins, giving underdog bettors an important half point as they try to profit and cover the spread.
The total has hovered around 42 all week after opening a point lower at 41. Miami has been a consistent UNDER play on the road lately with an 8-2 mark favoring UNDER bettors. They are 0-4 ATS as an underdog dating back to last season and haven’t kept any of those losses closer than 10 points.
Any OVER bettors should consider how weather may impact this game. Neither team’s ground game has been solid and neither QB has been good either. Rain is forecast and the temperature will be around 50 – unpleasant for players and fans alike.
Unfortunately, the action on the field could be the same.
OddsShark.com Play: UNDER 42