In the past three battles between the Saints and Giants with Drew Brees at the controls, New Orleans has scored 48, 30 and 45 points in rolling to three easy wins. So a 7.5-point spread here in the Week 12 Monday nighter shouldn’t be too much of a problem, if history repeats itself even a little bit.
But beware a couple of big trends favoring Big Blue as they visit the Superdome Monday. The past seven games they have been dogged by 7 or more points, they are 6-1 ATS, according to the Saints vs Giants matchup report at OddsShark.com.
They have also been a tough bet on MNF, going 7-2 ATS in their past nine Monday Nighters.
Still, the Saints are unbeaten at home and need a win to stay ahead of Atlanta in the NFC South. The Giants have lost two straight and may not have the firepower to avoid falling further in the NFC East race.
"Both have motivation, but the superior team often gets my money in this season and the home team always gets a few points as well," said Mike Pickett. "Math models are projecting that the Saints will win this game 33-25, which would be just enough for a Saints cover."
New Orleans has won 10 straight November games dating back to the 2008 season. This is a time of year when the Giants are traditionally fading, as their 2-9 ATS in 11 recent November games indicates.
Offensively, the game matches up New Orleans's No. 2 ranked offense (31.3 PPG) against a Giants defense that ranks No. 20 at 22.8 PPG. The Saints passing attack has averaged 319.4 yards per game, more than the Giants give up through the air (239.1 YPG on average). [ NFL Monday Night Database ]
Defensively, the Giants feature the league's No. 17 rated road run defense, allowing 118 yards per game. New Orleans, meanwhile, ranks No. 4 in rushing offense at home.
The Giants were a 17-10 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Eagles. They failed to cover the 5.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (27) made winners of UNDER bettors.
New Orleans was a 26-23 winner in its last match on the road against the Falcons. They covered the 1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 49 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Drew Brees led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 322 yards Sunday as the Saints downed the Falcons 26-23 at Georgia Dome.
A few Giants at Saints trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
NY Giants are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
NY Giants are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New Orleans is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home in online sports bettingaction