NFL fans in office pools and survivor pools love seeing huge trends like those that the third week of the NFL season has churned up. New England is 15-0 against the Bills. The Vikings are 16-1 at home against Detroit. The Packers are 9-1 as a favorite. The Colts are 17-2 against AFC North teams.
Those numbers have created some big point spreads to even out the betting volumes, which accounts for the 15-point spread in San Diego (against the Chiefs), 11 points in Indy (for the Steelers) and nine points (for the Patriots) in Buffalo.
“It got so crazy at the sportsbooks that they have started making the Lions road favorites,” joked Mike Pickett of OddsShark.com. “You are trusting the Lions to bust up a 1-16 streak in betting them to beat an 0-2 team that hasn’t been as bad as its record suggests.” [See article on value of 2-0 starts and the doom of 0-2 starts ]
The Patriots also own a dominant 10-1 streak at Buffalo, where they are 8-2-1 ATS as well. The Bengals are in a situation where they almost never cover the spread, especially at home, and the Titans have been a 4-16 ATS disaster vs AFC West teams dating to 2002.
Point spreads remain off the board in Philly and Dallas, where the Eagles await word on Michael Vick’s availability against the Giants and the Cowboys do the same with Tony Romo against the Redskins. Check the latest NFL odds menu and if you see a strange number, you can safely assume one or both are out.
New York Giants OFF at Philadelphia OFF
0-6 SU & ATS past 6 vs Eagles
OVER is 8-2 past 10 September road games
OVER is 10-3 past 13 Giant games within NFC East
Jacksonville +3.5 at Carolina -3.5
Home team has covered 3 of 4 meetings and Jaguars are 3-1 ATS
Carolina has lost 11 of 12 SU
7 of the past 10 Jaguars road games have gone OVER
San Francisco +1 at Cincinnati -1
49ers 2-9 SU in 11 meetings since 1980
Bengals 5-1-1 ATS past 7 vs SF
Home team won past four meetings since 1996
Bengals 1-11 ATS past 12 times as fave, 2-12 ATS past 14 as home chalk
49ers lost 16 of past 20 SU when underdog
Miami +2.5 at Cleveland -2.5
Dolphins 0-4 ATS lifetime vs Browns
Browns 0-5 ATS past 5 home games
Dolphins 11-3 ATS past 14 road games
Detroit -4 at Minnesota +4
Lions only road chalk three times since 2005
Past 6 meetings played UNDER total
Vikings 16-1 SU past 17 at home to Detroit
Vikes just 2-7 ATS past 9 as dog and 0-4 ATS past 4 as home dog