Monday Night Football: Redskins Vs. Cowboys Spread, And Why Washington Can Win

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - SEPTEMBER 18: Jesse Holley #16 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates after a 77 yard catch in overtime with teammate Gerald Sensabaugh #43 against the San Francisco 49ers at Candlestick Park on September 18, 2011 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)

The Monday Night Football odds favor the Dallas Cowboys, but a closer look at the trends shows the Washington Redskins have what it takes to pull of the upset. All content comes courtesy of OddsShark.com.

Just the thought that there might be a Jon Kitna sighting in the Monday Night Football game in Dallas has kept the point spread low (-3 for the Cowboys at most shops).

With a healthy Tony Romo and the promise of WR Dez Bryant playing, oddsmakers would expect to see a -7 number here against the 2-0 Washington Redskins. But Romo has a cracked rib and suffered a punctured lung last week and Redskin defenders are pledging to hit him right where it hurts.

“If they succeed, it could hit Dallas Cowboy bettors right where it hurts – in the pocketbook,” said Mike Pickett of OddsShark.com. “This is a cautionary tale for bettors hoping that a banged-up quarterback can play and lead his team to victory, as Eagle fans learned that a banged-up QB might not be overly effective.”

Indeed, the favored Eagles were smacked by the Giants at home Sunday after Michael Vick was smacked around in the pocket and broke his hand in a 29-16 loss. Does the same fate await the Cowboys, who are favored here in a divisional battle in this Monday Night Football matchup?

Washington hasn’t started the season 3-0 since 2005 and they have already beaten an NFC foe (Giants in Week 1), something they haven’t done much of in recent years. They have lost 10 of their past 13 games within the NFC East.

But other against-the-spread trends seem to point to the Redskins here. It should make bettors wary as they study how banged-up the Cowboys are and make weekly pick em pool experts tread carefully.

Washington has covered five straight as underdog, including that Week 1 home victory over the Giants. On top of being 5-0 ATS as a dog, the Redskins are also 8-3-1 ATS in their past 12 road games. Let’s not forget their recent ATS domination of Dallas, as they own a 7-2 ATS mark in nine games, sending Redskin bettors home happy even if their fans suffered straight-up losses.

Dallas owns some ugly trends that add more fuel to the ATS fire. They are a bankroll-draining 1-8-1 ATS in their past 10 games as a favorite. Totals bettors should know that the OVER has prevailed eight of the past nine games when Dallas is chalk as well. And the Cowboys have played nine straight OVERs at home.

Dallas is also just 3-9 ATS in its past 12 October games and again the OVER has dominated (13-3 past 16 October games). “Trends are just numbers, but they seem pretty lopsided here and the betting at some shops reflects that,” said Pickett. Earlier Monday, about 55% of the voting public at OddsShark.com was on the Redskins.

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