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The Cowboys almost always cover the spread coming out of a bye week, but they face a tough challenge on the road at Baltimore. Then again, the Ravens are not exactly cover machines at home.
Both the Dallas Cowboys and the Baltimore Ravens will be looking to break three-game ATS losing streaks when they meet at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore this Sunday.
Baltimore is a 3.5-point favorite at most online sportsbooks and they own a 4-0 SU and ATS streak against Dallas. But Dallas is coming off a bye week, a situation where they have dominated against the spread (11-3 ATS past 14 seasons).
Baltimore has lost three straight games against the spread, but they have won each of those three games outright, topping New England, Cleveland and Kansas City.
The Ravens are 4-1 SU with a 2-3 mark ATS. The Ravens were cruising on offense through the first four games of the season, but had a rough day last Sunday managing only nine points against Kansas City.
Since starting the year off with an impressive 24-17 upset win over the New York Giants, Dallas has averaged just 13.7 points per game over its last three games going 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS over that span.
Tony Romo is having a rough year with a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 5-to-8, bloated by his five-interception performance against Chicago on Monday Night football. The defense has played well this season, but the offense is going to have to improve for Dallas to get back on track.
This has the looks of a defensive battle, and the UNDER could be worth a look, according to the NFL betting trends for Week 6. Five of Baltimore's last seven home games have gone under the total and 12 of Dallas's last 16 games overall have also gone under the total.
It is very difficult to pick against the Ravens in Baltimore, where they have won 14 straight games. But against the spread, Baltimore is just 6-7-1 over that span, including a 1-5 ATS record over its last six home games. Will the 3.5 points be the difference in this one?
It is quite possible, but the lean goes to Baltimore here. Both defenses have looked good, but Dallas's offense has looked out-of-sync this year; and one off-game last week doesn't negate the 30.25 points per game Baltimore averaged in September.
PICK: Dallas +3.5 (courtesy of PickShark.com)