Mike Ehrmann
The Rams have been tough as a home dog, but they face a hungry Packers team coming off a big win.
The St. Louis Rams will try to improve to 6-1 ATS with a cover this week when they host the Green Bay Packers at the Edward Jones Dome.
St. Louis was a 6-point home underdog on NFL betting lines, a position where they have been a moneymaker lately, going 4-0-1 ATS in five games as a home dog.
The Green Bay Packers finally looked like their old selves last week in a 42-24 blowout win over the Houston Texans on the road. Aaron Rodgers threw for six touchdown passes, the defense held Houston's potent offense to just 321 yards, and the Packers improved to 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS.
Have the Packers officially turned the corner after the second-half blowup against Indianapolis in Week 5? This week will provide a good test for the Packers.
The St. Louis Rams fell 17-14 to the Miami Dolphins last Sunday, but as a 3.5-point underdog the Rams covered the spread to improve to 5-1 ATS. The defense has been outstanding for St. Louis all season allowing just 18.5 points per game.
Under Head Coach Jeff Fischer, St. Louis has built up some swagger in its own building with a 3-0 SU and ATS record with outright upsets over Washington, Seattle, and Arizona.
Green Bay has dominated this series in recent years with a 3-0 SU and ATS record over St. Louis, outscoring the Rams 93-34 over that stretch including a 24-3 win over the Rams last season. St. Louis will also still be without its most dangerous wide receiver, Danny Amendola.
The Packers are one of the most popular bets on the board this week, but this is actually a very dangerous spot for them. Not only have the Rams played teams tough at home, but their outstanding pass rush has been getting a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks.
This led directly to St. Louis's 17-3 win over Arizona, and Green Bay's pass protection troubles were on display when Green Bay played Seattle.
This game will likely be closer and more low-scoring than many expect. The Packers may come out with the win, and we are nervous of the feisty Rams, but we like the Packers to get serious here.
PICK: Green Bay -6 (courtesy of PickShark.com)
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