Stew Milne-US PRESSWIRE
The trend points to an OVER bet here on the NFL Sunday Nighter, but point spread bettors are not sure what to make of the 6-point number facing the Broncos as they host New Orleans.
New Orleans was a 6-point underdog at . Of note for over-under bettors, only one of six previous meetings since 1980 played UNDER the total.
And in 12 of their past 16 games, Denver has played OVER the total when they are favorites on the NFL betting line, accoridng to SBRForum.com.
Jonathan Vilma's return last week didn't completely repair the New Orleans Saints defense, but it did provide a clear emotional lift to the unit as the Saints were able to shut down Tampa Bay on a 1st and Goal at the one yard line situation and to preserve the team's late 35-28 lead.
With the win, New Orleans improved to 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS. New Orleans has one of the league's best offenses averaging 29.3 points per game but one of the league's worst defenses allowing 30.3 points per game.
The Denver Broncos continued their bad habit of getting off to a slow start in Week 6 against the San Diego Chargers when they took a 24-0 deficit into the locker room at halftime. But backed by an outstanding defensive effort and a vintage Peyton Manning performance, Denver surged back to win the game 35-24 to improve to 3-3 both SU and ATS.
Denver hopes that the bye week will help restore focus and help the Broncos kick their bad start habit.
With two of the game's best quarterbacks going at it this Sunday night, bettors should expect plenty of fireworks. The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans' last 11 games and in six of Denver's last eight games.
Is New Orleans' recent two-game winning streak a sign that the Saints are back on track, or were the Saints just able to take advantage of two mediocre teams in San Diego and Tampa Bay?
Not only does Denver have home-field advantage and the stronger defense in this matchup, but Manning and company have also had an entire week to dissect all of the weaknesses in New Orleans' porous defense. It will likely end up being a shootout, but look for Denver to come out on top in the end.