Kevin Liles-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire
Washington rides a losing streak as a home underdog, while Atlanta gets the job done as a favorite. Can the Falcons cover a small road spread in Week 5?
The Atlanta Falcons are favored to remain undefeated this Sunday when they visit the Washington Redskins at FedExField.
The Redskins will be trying to snap a five-game losing skid in games where they are home underdogs.
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With last week's win over Carolina, the Atlanta Falcons improved to 4-0 SU on the season but failed to cover the spread for the first time this season, falling to 3-1 ATS. It was the first game of the year that the Falcons looked vulnerable as they jumped out to big early leads in their first three games.
They are now 11-2 SU in their past 13 games as a favorite, according to the NFL database results at OddsShark.com.
Matt Ryan has done an exceptional job leading an offense averaging 31 points per game, and the defense has been sharp as well allowing just 19 points per game against.
With last week's 24-22 upset win on the road over Tampa Bay, the Redskins improved to 2-2 both SU and ATS. Averaging 30.8 points per game on offense and 30.8 points per game against on defense, the Redskins have seen all four of their games go OVER the set total.
Robert Griffin III has been a huge success right out of the gate for this offense, but the defense has prevented Washington from getting off to a better start.
From what we've seen out of Washington so far this season, it seems safe to assume that this game will be a shootout. Holding Tampa Bay to 22 points was the first time the defense had held a team under 31 this year, but that was against a fairly mediocre offense; going up against Atlanta's high-powered attack, keeping this team under 30 will be a challenge.
For that reason, we like the Falcons. Atlanta has shown a lot more on defense this year than Washington has, and in a shootout setting this defense is more likely to make some stops to get the Falcons the win.
Washington is just 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight games at home and 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games overall.
Atlanta can handle a 3-point spread.
PICK: Atlanta -3.0 (courtesy of PickShark.com)
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