Denny Medley-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire
The Chiefs play UNDERs at home and Kansas City vs Baltimore games at Arrowhead have historicaly been UNDERs. Why the interest in betting OVER 46.5 this week?
The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs have never played an OVER in six games at Arrowhead Stadium dating back to 1980.
But this could be the week as handicappers make their Week 5 football picks and focus on the over-under of 46.5. Those six games have seen five bettors win five UNDER bets with a single push.
Through the first quarter of the regular season, the Baltimore Ravens have looked like one of the best teams in the AFC. With a 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS record, the Ravens have handed Cincinnati its only loss of the season and have also beaten the New England Patriots.
Joe Flacco is having a career year at quarterback and as a result the Ravens are averaging 30.3 points per game; a scary proposition for opposing teams considering how strong this defense is.
Kansas City made an outstanding second-half comeback to upset the New Orleans Saints in Week 3, but were unable to carry that momentum into Week 4 as the Chiefs fell 37-20 at home to the San Diego Chargers.
The Chiefs turned the ball over six times in the blowout loss, falling to 1-3 SU and ATS in the process. Kansas City is averaging just 22 points per game on offense and is allowing 34 points per game.
Over the last few years, Baltimore has consistently been one of the best home teams in the league. But on the road, the Ravens are just 4-7 SU over their last 11 games. Baltimore is 3-4 SU and ATS in its last seven games as a road favorite. Their only loss this year came on the road to Philadelphia.
But even with these concerns on the road, is Kansas City capable of giving this team trouble? The Chiefs are 1-6 SU in their last seven games at home, and have lost each of their last three games against Baltimore by at least 10 points (0-3 SU and ATS).
Considering Baltimore didn't look its best against Cleveland and knows it has to be better on the road, the Ravens should bring their best effort and should be able to win this one by a touchdown.
PICK: Baltimore -6 (courtesy of PickShark.com)