Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons: betting odds, preview, pick

Matthew Emmons-US PRESSWIRE

Atlanta is favored, but not by as much as you would expect facing the erratic Cowboys. Are the Falcons overrated at 7-0? Some bettors think so.

The Atlanta Falcons will try to improve to 8-0 SU and remain the NFL's only undefeated team when they host the Dallas Cowboys at the Georgia Dome this Sunday night.

In last weekend's 30-17 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, the Atlanta Falcons handed Andy Reid his first loss ever coming off of a bye and improved to 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS. The Falcons have actually performed better on the road than they have at home this season.

The Cowboys-Falcons point spread reflects this fact, as the number sat at -4 midweek at online sportsbooks such as Bovada.

They are 4-0 ATS with an average margin of victory of 15 points per game on the road and 1-2 ATS with an average margin of victory of 3.67 PPG at home.

Dallas's season struggles continued last week with a 29-24 loss at home to the New York Giants. With the loss, the Cowboys fell to 3-4 both SU and ATS. The Cowboys have had solid games on both sides of the ball but haven't been able to put it all together in the same game through the first half of the season.

The Cowboys hope Atlanta's sub-par home stretch continues as Dallas is 3-1 ATS on the road this season.

The total has gone UNDER in six of Dallas's last seven games on the road and in seven of Atlanta's last 10 games at home. Both teams have trended towards the UNDER this season at 4-3-0.

Despite Atlanta's less-than-stellar performances at home against Oakland and Carolina, the Falcons have been one of the league's best home teams over the last few years under Matt Ryan who has a 50-19 SU career record at home.

Atlanta is a tough team to pick against at home, but the Falcons are a pass-first team, and Dallas has had the league's second best passing defense to this point in the season allowing just 187.7 passing yards per game.

This stat, along with Dallas's propensity to keep games close, has us leaning towards taking the points. The score predictions from the computer projects a 33-19 result for Atlanta.

PICK: Dallas +4 (courtesy of PickShark.com)

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