Matthew Stockman
The Lions have lost eight straight Thanksgiving Day games and never covered a single spread. They lay 3 points at home to Houston, a team that dominates on the road.
The Detroit Lions are 0-8 SU and ATS in their last eight Thanksgiving Day games, and the Houston Texans are just the team to make sure that both streaks continue Thursday.
The Texans, riding an 8-2 ATS streak on the road, visit the Lions at Ford Field this Thursday. Houston was a 3.5-point favorite at most shops tracked by OddsShark.com, but it was bet down to -3 at some places.
At 4-4 SU and 3-4-1 ATS, the Detroit Lions were right back in the thick of things in the wide-open playoff race in the NFC. But with an 0-2 SU and ATS record in back-to-back losses against Minnesota and Green Bay over the last two weeks, Detroit's playoff chances have dwindled.
The Lions have played great offense and defense in spurts but have rarely been able to put it all together on the same day. They have also struggled in the role of favorite, going 2-6-1 ATS in their past 9 games as underdog.
When healthy, the Houston Texans have clearly been one of the NFL's best teams over the last two seasons. Currently riding a four-game winning streak (3-1 ATS), the Texans are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS so far this season with an offense and defense that both rank in the top five in the league.f
Dating back to last season, the Texans are 16-4 SU and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games with Matt Schaub healthy and under center.
The OVER is 5-2-1 in Houston's last eight games and 4-2 over Detroit's last six. Both of the prior meetings all-time between these two teams have gone OVER the total.
Trends always need to be taken with a grain of salt, but how can these ATS statistics be ignored? The Texans continue to steamroll opponents without ever seeming to take a game off, and the Lions are not only 0-8 SU and ATS over their last eight Thanksgiving Day games but are also 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
Detroit will certainly be motivated to end its Turkey Day drought, but it's hard to make a case for such an inconsistent team going up against one of the league's most consistent teams, so we're rolling with the Texans.
PICK: Houston -3.5 (courtesy of PickShark.com)
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