Houston Texans at Chicago Bears: betting odds, preview, pick

Jonathan Daniel

Can Houston's top-rated road ground game handle the Bears' top-rated defense? The line is tight, the trends favor the Texans and the computer picks the Bears. Good luck Sunday night!

The league's two 7-1 SU teams collide this Sunday night when the Houston Texans visit the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.

Houston is a small 1-point road underdog, but know this before throwing your money behind the host Bears.

The Texans have never lost to the Bears (2-0 SU & ATS) and have not failed to cover a November game in six tries (6-0 ATS). Oh, don't forget that 7-2 ATS run in their past nine games, according to the Week 10 NFL trends report at OddsShark.com.

"We're still convinced that Houston can win it all with Brian Cushing lost for the season and our picks computer has the Bears winning 37-35 here," said Jack Randall of OddsShark.com, the lines provider to SBNation.

After starting the season off 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS, Houston's undefeated season came to a surprising end in Week 6 with an ugly and uncharacteristic 42-24 loss at home to the Green Bay Packers. But the Texans bounced back nicely from that loss with back-to-back double-digit wins over Baltimore (43-13) and Buffalo (21-9).

The Texans have given up 17 points or less in six of their eight games (allowing 17.1 points per game) and have scored at least 21 points in every game while averaging 29.6 points per game.

The similarities between Chicago and Houston this season are uncanny. Not only do the Bears have the same 7-1 SU record as the Texans, they also have similar points per game (29.5) and points against per game (15.0) numbers and an equally uncharacteristic loss to the Green Bay Packers (23-10 in Week 2).

Jay Cutler threw four interceptions in that game, which was his only really bad game of the season; he's done a good job managing the offense with 11 TDs to five INTs in Chicago's seven wins.

Houston holds the slight ATS lead at 6-2 to Chicago's 5-2-1, but that is nearly identical too. The total has gone OVER in four of Houston's last six games and in four of Chicago's last five.

How do you predict a game that looks like such an even matchup on paper? There isn't much to go on historically as these two teams have only met twice (Houston won both games) and most recently in 2008. Chicago is strong at home (4-1 SU in its last five home games) and Houston is strong on the road (7-2 SU in its last nine road games).

It's super close, but we like Houston's offense a bit better, so we'll go with the Texans on the road here.

PICK: Houston -1 (courtesy of PickShark.com)

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