The Atlanta Falcons will try to remain undefeated against their biggest division rival Sunday when they visit the New Orleans Saints at the Superdome.
And oddsmakers such as Bovada seem to be in agreement with NFL scores prediction computers that like the Falcons. Atlanta was a 3-point road favorite Thursday after opening as 1-point chalk on Tuesday.
It's significant, given Atlanta's 2-10 SU mark in a dozen recent games against the Saints. And also in light of the fact New Orleans has won 12 straight games in the month of November.
It is hard to find much fault in the Atlanta Falcons through their first eight games of the season in which they are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS. Atlanta has actually played better on the road than they have at home with a 4-0 ATS record and an average margin of victory of 15 points.
Matt Ryan leads a strong passing attack (averaging 278.1 passing yards per game) into New Orleans to face a very weak Saints passing defense (294.75 passing yards against per game) this week.
With New Orleans' 28-13 win over Philadelphia Monday night, the Saints improved to 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS and are now 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games. The defense was gashed to the tune of 447 yards in that game, but allowed just two field goals in four trips to the endzone for the Eagles.
Have the Saints solved their redzone woes or did it have more to do with Philadelphia's season-long theme of self imploding? This week's game should give us an idea.
Atlanta may be running away with the NFC South division, but the Falcons would love to prove that they deserve that top spot with a win over New Orleans. The Falcons are just 2-10 SU and 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games against the Saints including a current stretch of 0-3 SU and ATS.
New Orleans has given Atlanta fits in the past, and is certainly capable of winning if this game ends up being a shootout. But Atlanta's defense (allowing 17.9 points per game) is good enough to prevent that from happening and the Saints' defense will have a much tougher time forcing mistakes on this disciplined Falcons team.
It'll be close, but Atlanta should be able to pull of the victory.
PICK: Atlanta -2.5 (courtesy of PickShark.com)