Houston Texans at New England Patriots: Monday Night Football odds preview, Week 14 pick


Monday Night Football odds finally get interesting in Week 14, with a possible AFC title game preview. The Texans are tough as a road team and are rare underdogs at New England.

The New England Patriots and Houston Texans will both be looking for their seventh straight win when they meet at Gillette Stadium this Monday night.

New England was a 3.5-point home favorite, meaning Houston will be looking for a seventh straight ATS win as an underdog as well here.

New England won its sixth straight game and clinched the AFC East with its 23-16 win over the Miami Dolphins last Sunday. 23 points was a surprisingly low total for the Patriots, who had averaged 47.5 points per game over its previous four games, but it was enough to get the job done against the Dolphins.

Sunday's game marked the first time the total had gone UNDER in a Patriots game in 10 games. This week's game gives the Pats a chance to extend their awesome 19-1 SU mark at home in the month of December over the years.

Houston's incredible season kept chugging along last Sunday with a 24-10 win and cover over the Tennessee Titans. With the win, the Texans clinched a playoff spot and moved to 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS on the year. They have won 10 of their past 12 road games SU, according to the Week 14 NFL trends report.

With a two-game lead over Denver, New England and Baltimore (all 9-3 SU), Houston is well on its way to clinching the AFC's top seed and home field throughout the playoffs with a strong finish to the regular season. The Texans are 4-2 ATS over their current six-game winning streak.

The OVER is 6-3-1 in Houston's last 10 games and 9-1 in New England's last 10. The total has gone OVER in all three lifetime meetings between these two teams. New England leads the all-time series 2-1 SU and ATS, though Houston won in their last meeting in 2010.

It is hard to go wrong when picking an elite team on a six-game winning streak, and you have that option twice in this game. We lean towards taking the points on Houston. New England is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games while Houston is 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road.

The Texans also have the better defense and are getting the points, making them the choice in what should be an excellent game and a potential playoff preview. The picks computer at OddsShark.com predicts a 40-37 win for New England.

PICK: Houston +3.5 (courtesy of PickShark.com)

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