July 26, 2012; Ashburn, VA, USA; Washington Redskins players' helmets rest on the field during the first day of Redskins 2012 training camp at Redskins Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-US PRESSWIRE
The Bengals have been lousy bets as underdogs and the Redskins have been lousy bets as favorites, making the Washington-Cincinnati Week 3 game a tricky one for handicappers.
Both teams are in a position where bettors have lost money in recent years. Washington is a 3-point home favorite at shops like Bovada, but the Redskins are just 2-10-1 ATS in their past 13 games as a favorite.
If you think that trend points to the Bengals covering the spread, it hasn't worked that way recently. In six recent games as an underdog, Cincy is 0-6 and 1-5 ATS. Not surprisingly, the betting action is split almost perfectly down the middle (get injury and odds updates via Twitter).
After a fantastic debut in a 40-32 upset win on the road over the New Orleans Saints, Robert Griffin III had another great day against St. Louis, throwing for 206 yards and a touchdown and rushing for 82 yards and two touchdowns.
On the negative side, the Cleveland offense that looked hopeless in Week 1 against Philadelphia looked great against Cincinnati, leading to concerns for the Bengals on defense.
Both of these teams actually enter the game with defensive concerns as they are each allowing over 30 points per game on the young season. With that in mind, there may be some interest on the OVER 49, especially considering that both of these teams look to have solid offenses as well.
Neither of these teams has commanded much betting respect of late. Washington is 0-5 SU in its last five games at home and Cincinnati is 0-3-2 ATS in its last five games on the road. Overall, Washington is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games and Cincinnati is 1-7-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
While all of these stats look ugly, it is worth noting that Washington compiled these stats without RGIII at the helm. The team has a different look and feel with him under center, and with what is sure to be an excited fanbase behind him Sunday, he should be able to lead the Redskins to a win at home.
PICK: Washington -3.0 (courtesy of PickShark.com)
Who will cover?
Washington -3 (23 votes)
Cincinnati +3 (21 votes)
44 total votes