Green Bay is favored, but Wild Card bettors are reminded of Minnesota's Week 17 upset. The Packers almost always win at home, but the Vikings have been tough underdogs and they have Adrian Peterson running wild.
The Green Bay Packers are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games, and they'll be at home again this Saturday when they host the Minnesota Vikings at Lambeau Field in a rematch of last Sunday's game.
Green Bay was a 7.5-point home favorite as of midweek at most shops tracked by OddsShark.com, but Viking bettors only need to look back one week to find reason to believe.
The Wild Card odds reflect last week's 37-34 loss to the Vikings, which ended Green Bay's 13-game win streak within the NFC North.
Green Bay ended the season with an 11-5 SU and 9-7 ATS record over all, going 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS over its last 11 games. Instead of securing a first-round bye and a home game in the next round, the Packers were forced into this rematch situation.
The Packers beat Minnesota 23-14 earlier this season in Green Bay and is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games against the Vikings.
Adrian Peterson may have fallen nine yards short of breaking Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record, but his 199-yard effort was enough to drive his team into a playoff spot.
Ending the season on a 4-0 SU and ATS run, Minnesota finished 10-6 SU and 8-7-1 ATS to make its way into the postseason. The Vikings ranked 31st in the league in passing with just 171.9 passing yards per game, but with Peterson rushing for 409 yards in two games against Green Bay this season, the passing game may not matter.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 10 games between the Vikings and Packers and in four of the last five games between these two teams in Green Bay. Green Bay has scored at least 31 points in four of their last five meetings.
If the two regular season games are any indication, the Packers don't have an answer for Adrian Peterson. That said, Green Bay is a much stronger team at home than it is on the road, and Christian Ponder will have a tough atmosphere for his first playoff game.
It is hard to see the Packers losing this one outright, but considering how hot the Vikings are and how close the last two games have been, 7.5 points is hard to pass up. The Vikes have been a nasty underdog lately, going 8-3 ATS in 11 games in this role, according to the Wild Card trends report.
Wild Card Packers vs Vikings Pick: Minnesota +7.5 (courtesy of PickShark.com)