The Bengals are still in the driver's seat in the AFC North, but their lead in the division has shrunk in recent weeks. If they lost at home to Cleveland this week, the Bengals would hold just a half-game lead over the Browns, with the Ravens also lurking not far behind.
The Browns and Bengals have had similar success against the spread this season. Cleveland is 5-4 ATS while Cincinnati is 5-4-1. The Bengals, however, have been much better at home, going 4-0 against the spread in games played at Paul Brown Stadium. Cleveland is 2-2 ATS on the road.
Cleveland hasn't beaten Cincinnati much recently -- just five times in the last 18 meetings -- but the Browns have fared well against the spread when playing the Bengals. Cleveland is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine game against Cincinnati.
The total for Sunday's game opened at 41.5 points. The over may be the best bet, if recent history proves to be true once again. The over has hit in four of the last five meetings between the two teams. Offensively, the two teams combine to average 42.51 points per game while allowing 40.49 PPG.