It's probably a safe bet that none of us expected the Week 12 matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers would be a game featuring the No. 4 and No. 3 teams within the NFC North. Minnesota (2-8) has struggled mightily this season, and was blown out by the Seattle Seahawks in its last outing.
Green Bay (5-5) narrowly trails the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions in the division, but a three-game losing skid is making a bounce-back tougher and tougher. These two teams already faced off once this season, and it was the last time the Packers managed a win. That game ended 44-31 in Green Bay's favor, and that wasn't even at Lambeau.
The Packers are favorites, though not by a wide margin as you might expect. They opened up as 3-point favorites, and the line has widened on some books. Many sites stabilized around 4.5 points, but one site had them favored by as much as 5 points, according to OddsShark.
It's likely that Lambeau is playing a factor here, though the Packers would probably be very narrow favorites over Minnesota on the road at this point as well. The over/under for the matchup opened at 44 points. That total has gone over in eight of Minnesota's last 10 games and under in six of Green Bay's last seven.