The Patriots will host the Bills in the regular-season finale for both teams on Sunday. The Pats locked up the AFC East title in Week 16, but are still playing for a first-round bye. The Bills have had a very rough season and it is unclear whether or not rookie quarterback E.J. Manuel will be available for the final game of the season. Given the Patriots dominance of the division, New England is favored by 8.5 points at home, according to OddsShark.
The over/under for the matchup is 47 points. The Patriots are averaging 27.33 points per game while allowing 21.2 points on defense. The Bills are averaging 21.27 points per game but are giving 23.6 points to opposing teams. The Patriots are 2-4 against the spread in the last six games, but are 7-8 on the season. The Bills are 2-7 against the spread in their last nine game, while actually going 8-7 on the season (6-0 to start the year).
The Patriots are 8-7 with the over/under, while the Bills are 9-6 on the season.