NFL betting, Week 6: Trends favor Raiders, Bills, Saints to cover spreads

Brian Bahr

The Saints always cover the spread against the Patriots and the Raiders own the Chiefs. Can either Week 6 trend hold up? See what Odds Shark has to say.

The Oakland Raiders are nine-point underdogs on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday, but history tells us they are money in the bank when visiting Arrowhead Stadium.

Oakland is 6-1 overall and 7-0 against the spread in their last seven trips to Kansas City. The Raiders are 8-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last 11 games against Kansas City overall.

Can that trend be trusted with the Chiefs off to a hot start?

Another clear Week 6 betting trend (see full list) in that game is a heavy lean toward the under. In the last 16 games between the Raiders and the Chiefs, the under is 13-2-1, a key angle for NFL totals betting this weekend.

Bettors like the Cincinnati Bengals as a 6.5-point favorite this week on the road against the Buffalo Bills, but there are plenty of betting trends working against them.

Buffalo is 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against the Bengals and 6-0 overall in their last six home games against them. Buffalo is also 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog.

Heading into a bye week the following week -- as the New Orleans Saints are this week -- the Saints are 8-1-1 ATS over the past 10 seasons. New Orleans is currently a 2.5-point road underdog going up against the New England Patriots, who are just 1-7 ATS against New Orleans in eight meetings since 1983.

One big angle working against the Saints is their bankroll-draining 3-14 SU run in 17 road games as an underdog.

The Detroit Lions have not fared well on the road in recent years, but are still going off as a 2.5-point favorite visiting the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. Detroit is just 4-12 SU and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Browns are 4-1 SU in their last five games as a home underdog, an impressive stat of winning outright when getting points.

The St. Louis Rams are a 7.5-point road underdog Sunday in Houston and are 0-22-1 SU all-time as an underdog of a touchdown or more. Houston is 10-4 ATS all-time when favored by a touchdown or more at home.

In five meetings since 1995, Green Bay has fared well against the Baltimore Ravens with a 4-1 SU and ATS record. The Packers visit Baltimore as a three-point road favorite this Sunday. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in October.

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