Dallas was a 3-point road underdog mid-week at shops monitored by Odds Shark, but was fighting an uphill trend (1-4 ATS vs Philly) and another battle on the injury front.
However, the computer has predicted an upset here. It's a crucial early matchup in the flaky NFC East, where the NFL standings show no team has been solid.
After losing a heartbreaker at home in a 51-48 shootout against the Denver Broncos, the Cowboys bounced back nicely with a 31-16 win over the Washington Redskins last week. Dallas has been excellent on offense this season, averaging 30.5 points per game, with 265 passing yards per game.
Unfortunately for the Cowboys, the defense has struggled, allowing 25.3 points per game. [ Football betting odds and matchup stats on Dallas vs. Philadelphia ]
It has been a similar story in Philadelphia, where Chip Kelly's offense has enjoyed some inconsistent success, averaging 27.7 points per game, but the defense has allowed opponents to score 29.8 points per game.
With back-to-back wins and covers over the New York Giants and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Eagles are now 3-3 SU and ATS on the season. The winner of this game will claim sole possession of first place in the NFC East.
Both games between these two NFC East rivals went OVER the total last season, with Dallas beating Philadelphia 38-33 at home and 38-23 in Philadelphia. With two offenses coming into this game off two straight 30-plus-point performances on offense against two defenses that have struggled all season, the high-scoring trend could continue in this one.
The total is currently set at 55 points and could be in jeopardy early.
How do you handicap what looks to be a pretty even shootout on paper? Conventional wisdom points to the home team, but the Eagles are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five home games, so home field advantage hasn't been all that advantageous.
The one stat that does stick out is Philadelphia's running game, which averages nearly 100 yards per contest more than Dallas's. The Eagles' ability to diversify their attack on offense could end up giving them the slight edge.
PICK: Philadelphia -3 | Prediction: 31-24 Dallas (via Odds Shark NFL picks computer)