NFL Week 8 betting trends: Big home underdogs on 18-2 streak against the spread

Hannah Foslien

The biggest NFL home underdogs produce the biggest NFL betting profits. See three teams in a position to continue an 18-2 ATS run in Week 8 odds.

Two teams will be double-digit home underdogs by the time Sunday rolls around, and that means two opportunities for NFL bettors to profit from a staggering trend.

Technically, there will be three as Jacksonville is considered the 'home' team as they face San Francisco is the neutral site matchup at London's Wembley Stadium.

Since December 2009, 20 teams have been home underdogs of 10 points or more. And 18 times the double-digit home dog covered the spread. Yes, that means 18-2 ATS.

Minnesota was +10 at home to Green Bay in one such game in Week 8. St. Louis, with QB Sam Bradford on the shelf, was laying 12 points in a Monday Nighter against the Seattle Seahawks.

And while the Jacksonville vs. San Francisco game remained off the board Thursday, most reasonable observers were predicting this spread would open at +15 or higher.

"That makes three chances to take advantage of this trend, regardless of how poorly you feel those home teams are performing," said Jack Randall of OddsShark.com.

Chart of recent double-digit home underdog results, courtesy of OddsShark.com: (bold is ATS losses by home dog)

06/12/2009 San Diego 30 Cleveland 23 14 Cleveland
10/12/2009 Pittsburgh 6 Cleveland 13 10 Cleveland
13/12/2009 New Orleans 26 Atlanta 23 10 Atlanta
20/12/2009 Houston 16 St. Louis 13 14 St. Louis
20/12/2009 Arizona 31 Detroit 24 14 Detroit
03/01/2010 Baltimore 21 Oakland 13 10 Oakland
21/11/2010 Baltimore 37 Carolina 13 13.5 Baltimore
08/01/2011 New Orleans 36 Seattle 41 10 Seattle
18/09/2011 Green Bay 30 Carolina 23 10 Carolina
25/09/2011 Pittsburgh 23 Indianapolis 20 11 Indianapolis
23/10/2011 Green Bay 33 Minnesota 27 10 Minnesota
24/10/2011 Baltimore 7 Jacksonville 12 10 Jacksonville
30/10/2011 New Orleans 21 St. Louis 31 13.5 St. Louis
27/11/2011 Pittsburgh 13 Kansas City 9 10.5 Kansas City
18/12/2011 Green Bay 14 Kansas City 19 11.5 Kansas City
01/01/2012 San Francisco 34 St. Louis 27 12.5 St. Louis
25/11/2012 Denver 17 Kansas City 9 10 Kansas City
06/12/2012 Denver 26 Oakland 13 10 Denver
23/12/2012 New England 23 Jacksonville 16 14 Jacksonville
08/09/2013 New England 23 Buffalo 21 10 Buffalo

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