Cowboys vs. Saints, Week 10: Betting odds, trends & pick

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY

The New Orleans Saints are favored to take down the Dallas Cowboys in Week 10, thanks to Drew Brees and the relative comforts of the Superdome.

The Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints will face off at the Superdome for a Week 10 matchup on Sunday. Dallas (5-4) is atop the NFC East, to everyone's surprise, while New Orleans (6-2) is dominating the NFC South, which is only a surprise because the Atlanta Falcons aren't competing with them at this point.

That said, it's hard to see the Cowboys competing with the Saints in this game. Despite their records being somewhat similar, the Saints have looked like the vastly superior team this season. That said, the Cowboys may be the more attractive option for those looking to the point spreads.

Dallas is 7-2 against the spread this season, and 3-1 against the spread on the road.  Contrast that to New Orleans, who is 5-3 against the spread, and the Cowboys start to look like a better option. Then again, the Saints are 4-0 against the spread at home, again lending credence to the thought that Drew Brees is unstoppable at the Superdome.

When you get into the head-to-head summary, things get interesting. Dallas is 1-7 against the Saints all-time, and they're 2-6 against the spread when playing the Saints.

Dallas has a decent offense, as Tony Romo manages to put up 267.1 passing yards per game on average, but the Saints boast the league's No. 5 pass defense, allowing just 211.9 passing yards per game on average. Brees leads the No. 3 passing attack in the NFL, which will be huge in this game, as the Dallas secondary has struggled mightily. They're currently at No. 31 in the league in pass defense, allowing 305.2 passing yards per game.

As expected, the Saints are heavy favorites in this one. They opened up as 6.5-point favorites, and the line widened in their favor as the week progressed, with some top sites listing them as 7.5-point favorites, according to OddsShark. The over/under for the matchup opened at 53.5 points and has increased slightly, to 54 points, on some books.

That total has gone under in 11 of Dallas' last 15 games on the road, and under in six of their last seven when playing the Saints on the road. The total has gone over in four of New Orleans' last five games, however. The latter might be the smart option, given the offenses and defenses at work here.

Pick: Saints | Computer Prediction: 31-27 Saints (follow Odds Shark on Twitter for line updates and injury news)

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