Grey Cup betting: Odds favor Saskatchewan over Hamilton

Tom Szczerbowski

CFL betting odds favor Saskatchewan to beat Hamilton in the Grey Cup, the Super Bowl of the Canadian Football League. Trends suggest they might not cover the point spread.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders won the 2007 Grey Cup, but failed to cover the spread as 9.5 -point favorites.

They are in the same situation as favorites on the CFL championship game odds menu in 2013 against the Hamilton Tiger Cats.

But this time, they have the home crowd cheering them on at Mosaic Stadium, in what is the Super Bowl of Canadian football.

Sportsbooks tracked by CFLOdds.ca have the Roughriders listed 6-point favorites for this weekend's 101st Grey Cup game. But some trends suggest they might have the same problem covering the spread, as five of the past six Grey Cup underdogs covered.

Saskatchewan beat Hamilton twice during the regular season, covering each time. And going back 12 seasons, that trend continues as the Riders are 20-6 ATS against the Tiger Cats according to OddsShark.com's CFL database.

"Underdogs have also done well in recent Grey Cups, as the favorites have failed to cover in five of the last six title games," said Jack Randall. "That angle favors the Ti-Cats, who are also riding a hot 6-0 ATS run as an underdog."

Saskatchewan thrashed  the Tiger-Cats at Mosaic Stadium July 21, a 37-0 rout.

A week later, Hamilton lost again on July 27 in Guelph, losing 32-20 as a 3.5-point home underdog.

But overall, Saskatchewan has been terrible lately as a favorite, covering the spread just once in their last eight games in this role.

One sportsbook had moved the spread to seven points on their Grey Cup betting menu for Sunday's game. That is currently the biggest number.

Others were offering prop bets like Grey Cup MVP, where Roughriders running back Kory Sheets was the early 2/1 favorite. He ran for 177 yards and a score in last week's playoff game.

Riders quarterback Darian Durant was the second betting choice with Hamilton QB Henry Burris third at 7/2 odds.

Of note, five of the past seven Grey Cups went UNDER the total, which was 53 at mid-week. However the last two games were OVER bets.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.