The Denver Broncos have been one of the most dominant teams in the NFL at home over the last two seasons with a 13-0 SU and 10-3 ATS record in their last 13 regular season games at Mile High.
Denver was a 10-point favorite Thursday night hosting the San Diego Chargers, a team that has caused trouble for bettors at Mile High and also as a road underdog.
Denver has the best offense in the NFL by a considerable margin, averaging over 50 more yards per game and over 10 more points per game than the next best team in each of those categories. The Broncos' defense has been a concern, but with an offense this strong, it hasn't prevented Denver from putting together the AFC's best record at 11-2 SU and 8-5 ATS.
The San Diego Chargers have lived and died by the passing game this season. San Diego ranks fourth in the NFL in passing offense with 288.7 passing yards per game, but also ranks 28th in passing defense allowing 266.7 passing yards per game. This has led to mixed results in an inconsistent year for the Chargers, who are 6-7 SU and 7-5-1 ATS on the season.
But they are 5-1-1 ATS in seven trips to Denver and 5-1-1 ATS in their past games as road underdogs.
Denver has owned this series over the last couple of seasons with a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS record in its last four games against San Diego. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six games between these two teams and in 11 of Denver's 13 games overall this season.
With two strong passing attacks and two shaky defenses, that trend could continue here in Week 15.
With a 13-game regular season winning streak at home and a 22-2 SU record in its last 24 regular season games, Denver clearly looks like a safe pick on the moneyline. But will the Broncos win this shootout by double digits?
That will likely come down to the play of Philip Rivers, who will need to bring his A-game on the road to hang with Peyton Manning and company.
Computer Prediction: 38-28 Denver (from Broncos vs Chargers matchup report)