Miami Heat Will Win Game 6 and cover point spread

Kevin C. Cox

History has been unkind to bettors who pick the Miami Heat to lose two games in a row. The Game 6 NBA Finals odds favor Miami over San Antonio by 6.5 points and for good reason looking at the past 12 games in this situation.

Miami has lost 12 times since Jan. 10. Each time, the Heat rebounded for a victory.

For the math-challenged out there, that's a 12-0 angle. For tthe betting-savvy out there, you may point out that a straight-up win is not the same as an against-the-spread win and ask what Miami's ATS record in those games was?

It was also 12-0 ATS, according to the OddsShark.com NBA database.

So as the Spurs try to win Game 6 of the NBA Finals as 6.5-point underdogs, their backers are justifiably nervous of this bounce-back trend.

In half of those games, the point spread was at least seven points. In one game, it was 13 points. The Heat covered every time.

Still, just a shade under 50 percent of the betting action was on the Heat, according to the betting consensus data. It was the same at two sportsbooks contacted this afternoon.

Check out the chart showing the Miami Heat game logs since Jan. 8, 2013 with games following a lost designated in bold.

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