NFL opening lines, Week 3: Odds see monster spread on Seattle

Otto Greule Jr

Seattle faces the biggest point spread in years and history tells us that the underdogs usually cover these odds. Jacksonville is the biggest underdog in Week 3 NFL betting.

Seattle just completed a demolition of San Francisco while Jacksonville has scored five total points against the Chiefs and Raiders.

Can you say "huge point spread," boys and girls?

The Seahawks opened as 19.5-point home favorites, which is the biggest spread since New England closed as a 20-point favorite against the Colts in December 2011, according to the do-it-yourself NFL database at OddsShark.com. Before that, no team approached that number since the 2007 Patriots went on a spree of point spreads of 20-plus.

But here's a cautionary tale for bettors who like to back big favorites. Five of the six biggest underdogs since 1980 all covered the spread.

And in the 11 times that a point spread closed at 19.5 points or higher, the favorites covered the spread only three times (3-8 ATS).

Date Fave Dog Spread Score
Nov 25 2007 Patriots Eagles -24 31-28
Dec 5 1993 49ers Bengals -23.5 21-8
Dec 23 2007 Patriots Dolphins -22 28-7
Oct 13 1991 Bills Colts -20.5 42-6
Dec 19 1992 49ers Bucs -20.5 21-14
Dec 16 2007 Patriots Jets -20.5 20-10
Nov 11 2001 Rams Panthers -20 48-14
Dec 4 2011 Patriots Colts -20 31-24
Nov 1 1992 Bills Patriots -19.5 16-7
Nov 29 1998 Packers Eagles -19.5 24-16
Oct 24 1999 Rams Browns -19.5 34-3
Sept 29 2002 Eagles Texans -19.5 35-17


Its the biggest of many significant Week 3 spreads. Denver is favored by 15.5 points at home to Oakland, and that line has been climbing.

San Francisco is favored by 11.5 at home to the Colts and both the Saints and Patriots opened near double-digit chalk before getting bet down a bit.

Check out the full list of opening lines, courtesy of OddsShark.com.

Teams Line Total
Kansas City 3.5 50.5o
Philadelphia -3.5 50.5u
Houston -1 45o
Baltimore 1 45u
NY Giants PK 45.5o
Carolina 45.5u
Green Bay -1 48o
Cincinnati 1 48u
St. Louis 3.5 47o
Dallas -3.5 47u
Cleveland 5.5 41o
Minnesota -5.5 41u
Tampa Bay 9 44.5o
New England -9 44.5u
Arizona 9 49o
New Orleans -9 49u
San Diego 3 44o
Tennessee -3 44u
Detroit 1 49.5o
Washington -1 49.5u
Atlanta 1 44o
Miami -1 44u
Buffalo 1.5 39o
NY Jets -1.5 39u
Indianapolis 11.5 46o
San Francisco -11.5 46u
Jacksonville 19.5 40.5o
Seattle -19.5 40.5u
Chicago -1.5 40o
Pittsburgh 1.5 40u
Oakland 15.5 49o
Denver -15.5 49u
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