It's the start of the FMF playoffs, and we're going to kick off with the top-seeded UANL Tigres vs. eighth seed Chivas Guardalajara. We might normally expect the #8 vs. #1 seeds to be something approaching a rout, but things may not be as easy as they seem for Tigres, who are coming off a hugely impressively regular season.
At least, that's according to Eben Lehman, who runs SB Nation's Mexican Futbol blog FMF State of Mind. Eben claims that despite the huge difference in results between the sides, Chivas and Tigres actually match up fairly well, having a stout defence and greatly improved attack from the last time the two teams met up (a 0-0 draw at Chivas). Could we see an upset, then? It's apparently not out of the question.
If the Chivas defense can limit the scoring opportunities of Hector Mancilla, Lucas Lobos, and the rest of the Tigres attack, they will have more than a chance. This is certainly doable, because for all their talent on offense, Tigres frequently have trouble putting the ball in the back of the net. Chivas played a great match this past weekend, and look to be in better form than their record indicates heading into this series... If Fabian can maintain his impressive scoring form, Chivas just may resurrect the ghosts of the old superleader curse for one more season.
Tigres are the better side, but when two teams with impressive defences come together, goals are going to be at a premuim, and that means lucky may very well rule the day. That's not enough to give Chivas a good chance of advancing, but they have hope, and have it in spades.