One might point out that it was somewhat suspicious that Benteke's shock transfer request was handed in shortly after Tottenham target David Villa moved to Atletico Madrid, and it seems that plenty of newspapers have also noticed the coincidence. Reports are converging that Spurs are the overwhelming favourites to land Benteke, and with Dortmund's supposed interest failing to develop, and a lack of real links from other clubs, this one seems very likely.
Odds: At this moment in time, it seems to be very, very likely unless Aston Villa decide to play hardball.
Juan Mata or Jack Wilshere to Barcelona
Suggestions in the Spanish press are that Barcelona will move for one of Jack Wilshere or Juan Mata to replace Thiago, but it's hard to see either rumour having much truth in it. Mata was bizarrely linked away from Chelsea earlier in the window after a ludicrous season last year, and it's difficult to see why Jose Mourinho would want to sell his best player just after taking the job.
As for the Wilshere rumour, that seems even more ridiculous. Arsenal are supposedly splashing money this window, and are looking to give their club a boost. They're unlikely to also sanction the sale of their most talented youngster and key player as a result -- it's simply not on the agenda and the exact opposite of what the club want to be doing.
Odds: We'd be absolutely amazed if either even looked like happening.
David Luiz to Barcelona
While José Mourinho may well have privately mourned the lack of a Fernando Hierro during his Real Madrid tenure, and has an admiration for Ricardo Carvalho, the suggestions are that he isn't too keen on the buccaneering stylings of Luiz. Plenty of people feel the same way -- we don't, and we also think Mourinho is a pretty good judge of players -- but nonetheless reports continue to suggest Mourinho will let Luiz go.
Unlikely as that is, the deal is made even less likely by reports that the Barcelona hierarchy are split on his ability too. Tito Vilanova is reported to be keen, but Zubizarreta isn't, apparently of a similar mindset that defenders shouldn't be bombing forwards and pinging the ball into the top corner, but rather, er, defending. Once again, the Spanish press come up with a transfer which just seems to have no logic behind it whatsoever.
Odds: Not going to happen.
This one has been on the cards for some time, and the Daily Mail go in big with the suggestion that Swansea will indeed complete a record deal for the Ivorian striker, rumoured to be around the £13m mark. Bony has reportedly attracted much interest this summer, but little of it appears to have materialised in anything tangible. This one is looking increasingly like a done deal and if the reports are true, will go ahead very soon.
Odds: Will certainly move, and Swansea the overwhelmingly likeliest destination.
Deulofeu was linked most solidly with two Premier League clubs in this window on loan: Tottenham and Everton. With Spurs reported to be chasing Nani, and probably in need of more reliable upgrades for their wide positions, the Toffees always seemed to make more sense for a move, and it seems increasingly like that will be the case.
Odds: Looking very likely.