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(Florida) Danny Tuccitto

  • joined Oct 13, 2008
  • last login May 21, 2013
  • posts 143
  • comments 3167

Assistant Editor, Football Outsiders. Contributing Stats Nerd, Niners Nation. Jack of all trades, Master of one (Sport Psychology).

A Fan Of...

  • mlb New York Yankees
  • nba Los Angeles Lakers
  • nfl San Francisco 49ers
  • ncaaf Florida Gators
  • ncaab Florida Gators
  • golf Tiger Woods
  • general Spain
  • general Barcelona
User Blog

Statistics on San Francisco's Slow Offensive Starts (And Why You Shouldn't Worry)

22

San Francisco's offense started slowly during playoff games. Was that actually a season-long trend? If so, will it continue in 2013? As always, the answers depend on which stats you believe, if any at all.

Super Bowl 2013: Ten statistical reasons why the 49ers will win

85

According to efficiency stats, game charting, and likely strategies, there are 10 reasons why Super Bowl XLVII shouldn't be as close as many are predicting. Then again, who can deny the magic of Ray Lewis?

49ers 2012 rookie class snap counts: Jim Harbaugh puts baby in a corner

24

One thing we know for certain you have in common with rookie safety Trenton Robinson: He hasn't played a defensive snap for the 49ers either.

49ers-Saints NFL Divisional Round Preview: A Football Outsiders Statistical Supplement

74

An in-depth look at the 49ers-Saints divisional round matchup using stats from Football Outsiders.

2011 49ers Season: Statistical Anatomy of a Turnaround

40

Florida Danny breaks down the 49ers amazing 2011 turnaround and the statistical factors contributing to the current 9-1 record.

A Football Analyst's Wet Dream: Stuffing the Ballot Box at NFL.com

25

A desperate plea for 49ers fans to tell the NFL that they want access to the coach's film for every play.

49ers Winning the Future With QB Alex Smith: A Statistical Profile?

54

A breakdown of good statistical analysis and bad statistical analysis, most notably as it applies to 49ers QB Alex Smith.

San Francisco 49ers Draft History: Worst 10 Picks Since 1990 (According to Stats)

51

The 49ers' worst 10 draft picks from 1990-2005 according to the stats: Alex Smith haters unite!

2006 NFL Draft Grades: Value and Efficiency Ratings for San Francisco 49ers

20

Part 5 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. In this installment, we countdown the 49ers' 9 picks according to each pick's draft value and efficiency stats.

2006 NFL Draft Grades: Team Value and Efficiency Ratings for Rounds 3-7

32

Part 4 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. In this installment, value and efficiency ratings for the Rounds 3-7. Who were the winners, losers, and diamonds in the rough?

2006 NFL Draft Grades: Value and Efficiency Ratings for Rounds 1 & 2

34

Part 3 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. In this installment, value and efficiency ratings for the first 2 rounds. Who were the winners, losers, and busts?

2006 NFL Draft Grades: Overall Team Value and Efficiency Ratings

22

Part 2 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. In this installment, overall value and efficiency ratings.

NFL Draft Grades: No Longer in the Eye of the Beholder

46

Part 1 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. First up, introducing an objective draft grading system.

2011 NFL Draft Results: Projecting QB Colin Kaepernick’s Performance

69

Projecting the QBs of the 2011 NFL Draft. How good will Colin Keapernick be for the 49ers?

2011 NFL Draft SackSEER Projections: 49ers’ Aldon Smith vs. 49ers’ Manny Lawson

191

Aldon Smith: SackSEER and pick-based projections for 49ers' newest pass rusher.

2011 NFL Draft: An Expanded Model for Predicting QB Career Performance (Cont'd)

5

Developing a model to predict QB career performance: Part 2 of the grand finale.

2011 NFL Draft: An Expanded Model for Predicting QB Career Performance

6

Developing a model to predict QB career performance: Part 1 of the grand finale.

2011 NFL Draft: The Sanchez-Flacco Myth of QB Performance

19

The Sanchez-Flacco Myth. Do highly drafted QBs have better careers if drafted to teams with good defenses and running games?

2011 NFL Draft: About High QB Draft Picks, Riddle Me This

18

Are defensive head coaches better at developing NFL QBs straight out of college? A discussion of new variables for projecting college QBs into the NFL.

2011 NFL Draft: My Philosophy for Predicting QB Performance

15

Waxing philosophical about predicting QB performance. Garbage in = garbage out.

2011 NFL Draft: For the Love of Peyton, the Wonderlic is NOT Related to QB Performance!

51

Do Wonderlic scores predict QB performance? Putting this myth to bed once and for all.

San Francisco 49ers Statistical Analysis Mailbag: Rookie Head Coaches

25

Niners Nation takes a look at recent statistical trends for rookie NFL head coaches.

San Francisco 49ers Statistical Analysis Mailbag: The Maiden Voyage

21

The inaugural 49ers' Statistical Analysis Mailbag on Niners Nation. Ask, and ye shall be bombarded with numerical information.

Niners Nation Predictions for 2010 NFL Season: Told You We're NOT Experts

9

In September, Niners Nation staff writers made their 2010 NFL predictions. In March, we reveal the results.

Super Bowl XLV, Packers vs. Steelers Statistical Preview: Irresistible Force vs. Immoveable Object

4

Packers vs. Steelers: A statistical preview of Super Bowl XLV.

2011 NFL Playoff Schedule, Steelers vs. Jets: A Statistical Preview

663

A statistical preview of Steelers vs. Jets, and an analysis of the Polamalu effect.

NFL Playoff Schedule, Divisional Round: Stat Matchups for Falcons vs. Packers

435

A statistical preview of Falcons vs. Packers.

NFL Playoff Schedule, Divisional Round: Stat Matchups for Steelers vs. Ravens

3

A statistical preview of Steelers vs. Ravens.

Jim Harbaugh, 49ers Hire Vic Fangio: A Brief Statistical Evaluation of the New DC

98

Do Vic Fangio's defenses get worse over time? Busting a myth, properly evaluating his previous gigs, and making a prediction about his new job with the 49ers.

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