Assistant Editor, Football Outsiders. Contributing Stats Nerd, Niners Nation. Jack of all trades, Master of one (Sport Psychology).
San Francisco's offense started slowly during playoff games. Was that actually a season-long trend? If so, will it continue in 2013? As always, the answers depend on which stats you believe, if any at all.
According to efficiency stats, game charting, and likely strategies, there are 10 reasons why Super Bowl XLVII shouldn't be as close as many are predicting. Then again, who can deny the magic of Ray Lewis?
One thing we know for certain you have in common with rookie safety Trenton Robinson: He hasn't played a defensive snap for the 49ers either.
An in-depth look at the 49ers-Saints divisional round matchup using stats from Football Outsiders.
Florida Danny breaks down the 49ers amazing 2011 turnaround and the statistical factors contributing to the current 9-1 record.
A desperate plea for 49ers fans to tell the NFL that they want access to the coach's film for every play.
A breakdown of good statistical analysis and bad statistical analysis, most notably as it applies to 49ers QB Alex Smith.
The 49ers' worst 10 draft picks from 1990-2005 according to the stats: Alex Smith haters unite!
Part 5 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. In this installment, we countdown the 49ers' 9 picks according to each pick's draft value and efficiency stats.
Part 4 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. In this installment, value and efficiency ratings for the Rounds 3-7. Who were the winners, losers, and diamonds in the rough?
Part 3 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. In this installment, value and efficiency ratings for the first 2 rounds. Who were the winners, losers, and busts?
Part 2 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. In this installment, overall value and efficiency ratings.
Part 1 of 5 on grading the 2006 NFL Draft. First up, introducing an objective draft grading system.
Projecting the QBs of the 2011 NFL Draft. How good will Colin Keapernick be for the 49ers?
Aldon Smith: SackSEER and pick-based projections for 49ers' newest pass rusher.
Developing a model to predict QB career performance: Part 2 of the grand finale.
Developing a model to predict QB career performance: Part 1 of the grand finale.
The Sanchez-Flacco Myth. Do highly drafted QBs have better careers if drafted to teams with good defenses and running games?
Are defensive head coaches better at developing NFL QBs straight out of college? A discussion of new variables for projecting college QBs into the NFL.
Waxing philosophical about predicting QB performance. Garbage in = garbage out.
Do Wonderlic scores predict QB performance? Putting this myth to bed once and for all.
Niners Nation takes a look at recent statistical trends for rookie NFL head coaches.
The inaugural 49ers' Statistical Analysis Mailbag on Niners Nation. Ask, and ye shall be bombarded with numerical information.
In September, Niners Nation staff writers made their 2010 NFL predictions. In March, we reveal the results.
Packers vs. Steelers: A statistical preview of Super Bowl XLV.
A statistical preview of Steelers vs. Jets, and an analysis of the Polamalu effect.
A statistical preview of Bears vs. Packers.
A statistical preview of Falcons vs. Packers.
A statistical preview of Steelers vs. Ravens.
Do Vic Fangio's defenses get worse over time? Busting a myth, properly evaluating his previous gigs, and making a prediction about his new job with the 49ers.