Con_air

Andy Hellicksonstine

  • joined Oct 26, 2009
  • last login Apr 15, 2014
  • posts 58
  • comments 27860

Formerly Sandy Kazmir, I like baseball, specifically the Rays. I like beer, specifically those with a high alcohol content. I also like the Bucs, Bolts, Sabres, Magic, and Orangemen, not in any particular order.

A Fan Of...

  • MLB Tampa Bay Rays
  • NBA Orlando Magic
  • NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • NCAAF Central Florida Knights
  • NCAAB Syracuse Orange
  • NHL Tampa Bay Lightning
Recent Activity
Good to know about the park, sounds a lot like how the Dodgers used to fleece teams with hitters prospects that looked great in the PCL before
Commented on The Rays Tank: A Welcomed Rain Delay on Apr 16 2014, 4:08p
He has literally never disappointed us unlike Lueke or Ramos
Commented on The Rays Tank: A Welcomed Rain Delay on Apr 16 2014, 4:06p
LOL monkeydarts
Commented on The Rays Tank: A Welcomed Rain Delay on Apr 16 2014, 4:06p
Good draft pick, poor free agent signing
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 4:05p - 1 reply
Because it was different
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 4:04p
You could probably use WPA/LI for that as well
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 4:04p
Trying to pull pitches that are 6 inches off the plate away?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 4:03p - 2 replies
ding ding ding
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 4:03p - 1 reply
That stuff isn't really given a whole lot of credence. It's simply a batters wOBA with RISP compared to his wOBA overall
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 4:03p
Moneyball is a good read and I like Michael Silver, but it's more about changing consciousness than actually how you want to go about it.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 4:01p - 1 reply
Yes, that's about accurate in the general. This offense has been Longo and little else for years
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:59p - 1 reply
It's a bit more nuanced than that
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:59p
Park Factors are a measurement.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:58p
Yes, go read The Book. It's the best thing you can read fuck the Extra 2% or Moneyball or any of that shit
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:55p - 1 reply
Over the course of a season you will hit some singles with the bases empty, you will hit some singles with guys in scoring position, you'll hit singles with guys on first base
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:54p - 1 reply
wOBA is scaled to OBP, not batting average
Commented on Is it time to worry about the Rays offense? on Apr 16 2014, 3:51p
It's per PA, not sure why that would be your ratio.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:49p - 1 reply
It should tell you that it's early.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:49p - 1 reply
I don't believe they're properly adjusting for park going from wOBA to wRC+. Correct.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:48p - 1 reply
Not sure how that applies...
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:48p - 1 reply
Because, on average, a single leads to .9 runs. Either driving a guy in or coming around yourself. A HR is worth 1.95 runs.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:47p - 2 replies
Sure it is, use Wins Probability Added.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:45p - 3 replies
Do you think he affects every player at the same level of incompetence or does he only work his magic on some but not others?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:43p - 1 reply
Because they're using runs. wRC+ is based off of wOBA. You should be using each individual components park factor and then weighting at the end.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:42p - 1 reply
Maybe, maybe something is wrong with the expectations.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:41p - 1 reply
Let's say the guy hits four singles in 15 PAs and does nothing else. Each single is worth .9 runs. Over the week he will have contributed .24 runs (.9x4)/15
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:41p - 2 replies
They were six months ago, they don't mean anything
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:35p - 1 reply
Yes, but player a affected one game in a much bigger way. That's not a legit criticism
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:34p - 1 reply
We've played two fucking weeks of games. There's 145 more to go. You don't make big decisions based off of two weeks
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:31p - 2 replies
No, I mean it's 15 games. If you send the message that you're going to overreact to two weeks of baseball then it's just going to cause guys to press
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:30p
I haven't published it yet due to time constraints, but I've laid all the data out
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:29p - 1 reply
Not for Wil. I wouldn't do anything because it's 2 weeks.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:27p - 2 replies
No personal attacks.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:26p - 1 reply
wRC+ uses faulty park adjustments for those figures. The Trop is more of a neutral park than a pitcher's park
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:25p - 1 reply
What does the SP getting hurt have to do with scoring 2 or less runs in more than half our games?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:23p - 1 reply
We've had a better than league average offense every year since 2008. Otherwise I'm with you. Get Shelton the fuck outta here and sit Myers until he decides to stop trying to pull pitches that are off the plate.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:22p - 2 replies
People don't use their relievers enough, they should be going more pitches over fewer appearances
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:21p - 1 reply
wOBA projections
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:20p
Obviously
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:17p
Maybe, but at least you make them use him.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:15p - 1 reply
I'm fine with Forsythe and Rodriguez both being on the roster, but you can't also have Guyer. They don't want to give Guyer away for nothing and he probably doesn't pass through waivers
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:15p
Ya Joyce has a chance here, why is Rodriguez on the roster if you're only going to play him when his wife gives birth?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:11p - 3 replies
Throw Zobrist out there and get Logan or Sean Rod at 2B. He doesn't deserve to be in the lineup until he quits pulling his hip through on everything
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:04p - 2 replies
Sit this clown down for a few days until he quits trying to pull every single pitch out of the yard. Why are you stepping in the bucket on a pitch that's off the plate away?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 3:00p - 1 reply
To add, it pretty much bisected the mound and the line rolling to a stop equidistant between the 3rd base bag and the rubber. No man's land and nobody talked
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:59p
Jesus fucking christ how about you swing at a strike. EVER
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:58p - 2 replies
Well at least Won't gets another chance to strike out and add to his LOB total
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:55p
anybody time mo to 1st?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:53p
worx
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:53p
Wow we get those too? Who knew
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:52p
so fucking stupid
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:52p
Yeah why would you pinch hit here for this walking double play machine with the tying run at the plate
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:52p - 1 reply
.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:47p
DDJ broke his belt on that haha
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:45p
Had all day to throw him out. All day
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:44p
First pitch didn't look bad and ball three was a nice little change that just missed.
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:41p
Boxy Brown is the truth
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:40p - 1 reply
It's not a good idea to walk people, but when they get bailed out on a bad swing by that shit there's just nothing you can do
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:29p
It was 30 feet down the line and literally came to a rolling stop on the chalk
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:29p
They've scored on a sac fly, a ball between the mound and 1B, a swinging bunt between the mound and 3B
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:28p
That's your takeaway? Walking Chris Davis with guys on base is a bad idea? When they hit a 15 footer that no one could possibly field in time to drive in the run?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:27p - 2 replies
Time to start sacrificing to the Baseball Gods. Whatever we did to piss them off it worked
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:26p - 3 replies
OMFG that wasn't off his foot?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:25p
Our plan to save the bullpen on the road is to never have to pitch in the bottom of the 9th, mission accomplished so far
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:24p
Great play Lonedog, only guy on this team that gives a shit about playing hard
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:21p
small sample though, those guys don't have a whole lot of PAs
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:20p - 1 reply
Or all pitchers
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:20p
Miguel Gonzalez is fucking garbage, this is ridiculous that this lineup can't fucking do anything off this joke
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:17p - 2 replies
puke
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:13p - 1 reply
Won't needs to do something here. Anything positive
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:11p
dandy of a deuce
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:10p - 1 reply
Why not he's had two good games in AAA?
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:07p - 1 reply
HODOR HODOR HODOR HODOR
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:04p
Ugly
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 2:00p
Game over and so is the season
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 1:58p
Well that looked much worse off the bat
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 1:58p
Great
Commented on Rays at Orioles GDT 3: Can we get a Jackie Robinson bonus game? on Apr 16 2014, 1:55p
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