Colin Davy

  • joined Mar 11, 2013
  • last login Apr 20, 2014
  • posts 24
  • comments 11

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User Blog

Looking further into aging curves

Will Roger Federer's aging curve look the same as Rafael Nadal's? What about Serena Williams and Maria Sharapova? Let's refine tennis aging curves based on playing style and infer when and where aging curves kick in.

Tennis aging curves, Part 1

Serena Williams and Roger Federer are past their primes, but when will they truly be done? An attempt to answer that question, and a stats-based look into the future of the tour.

Keys over Bouchard? Perhaps

The new Advanced Baseline rankings are out, and it had a bit of a surprise on the women's side. Madison Keys, currently 42nd in the WTA rankings, is ahead of two other, more prominent younger players: Sloane Stephens and Eugenie Bouchard.

Aussie Open women's projections

Tournament forecasts, seed and draw analysis, and other observations for the 2014 Australian Open women's tournament.

Aussie Open men's projections

Tournament forecasts, seed and draw analysis, and general observations for this year's Australian Open men's tournament.

Strong draw makes Djokovic the favorite

Rafael Nadal has dominated on the hard-court swing leading up to the US Open. Has he done enough to reach Novak Djokovic's level?

Is Azarenka the U.S. Open favorite?

Maria Sharapova's withdrawal has caused some unanticipated effects, including a prediction not seen all year.

Home court advantage in tennis

Taking a first pass at quantifying how much better players do when playing in their own country.

Surface Mapping, Part II

How does the map of surface preferences for women's tennis compare to men's? And do the differences mean anything?

Tennis Surface Mapping

Visualizing the geographic patterns of the world's tennis players and how they perform on different surfaces.

Wimbledon Week 2 projections

Upsets rocked Wimbledon in the first week of play. How have they affected the odds for the surviving players?

Who benefits from Day 1 upsets?

Rafael Nadal and Sara Errani were eliminated in the first round. How do their early exits affect the rest of the draw?

Food for thought on Wimbledon Day 1

Some last-second thoughts from the creator of the Advanced Baseline ratings and forecast as the 2013 Wimbledon championships begin.

Wimbledon women's forecast

The Serena train doesn't show any sign of stopping any time soon.

Wimbledon men's forecast

Federer's age and path to the final have most writing him off, but Advanced Baseline begs to differ.

Underachieving and overachieving at slams

Crunching the numbers to see how players perform differently between the regular season and the majors in tennis.

Updated French Open forecast

Tracking the changes in the draws and the rankings.

French Open women's forecast

It's the most wide open Grand Slam of the year -- a nice counter-balance if you're suffering from Rafatigue.

French Open men's forecast

Tournament forecasts, draw analysis and unsolicited gambling advice.

Quantifying luck of the draw

The biggest influence of luck in tennis happens before the matches even start.

The BCS tennis rankings

Offering a methadone prescription for withdrawal from your college football habit.

Is Mallory Burdette a top 40 player?

Inside Advanced Baseline's most unconventional ranking, and how scoring margin can identify top players.

Why Ferrer is ahead of Murray

Tracking the surprising shifts of two top players' Advanced Baseline rankings.

Comparing tennis tourneys to March Madness

Quantifying the depth of the NCAA Tournament compared to that of an important tennis tournament.

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