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Dr-P

  • joined Jan 21, 2012
  • last login Aug 21, 2014
  • posts 151
  • comments 11702

A Fan Of...

  • MLB Texas Rangers
  • NFL Dallas Cowboys
User Blog

Historical DVOA Estimates

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As readers of Football Outsiders, you know and love the proprietary statistics like DVOA. DVOA has many wonderful qualities –- it takes into account both raw yardage and progress towards a first down, it adjusts for situation and opponent quality, and it is an excellent predictor of future performance. It does, however, have one drawback –- it requires play-by-play data, which as of now only goes back to 1989. To work around that difficulty, and to add more fuel to the perpetual argument about the average teams for now, I developed a method to estimate DVOA for seasons where play-by-play data is not yet available.

Tony Romo: QB in Focus

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PFF is often so busy grading and collecting data during the season that we’re unable to put a lot of the information to good use. With that said, we’ve decided to declare June as "QB Month" as we break down NFL quarterbacks every which way. We’re going to examine quarterbacks from a number of situations before looking at each of them individually. The grades and numbers should reveal each quarterback’s strengths and weaknesses from the 2013 season.

play calling by quarter

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Last season, 2,893 plays were run in the fourth quarter with the offensive team trailing by at least two possessions. A pass was called on 84 percent of those plays. Conversely, 1,816 plays were run in the final frame when the offense was up by two or more possessions. Teams called pass 30 percent of the time on those plays. The above is an extreme example of the importance of considering game situation when evaluating a team’s play-calling.

Dallas - rookie best fit

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This article is one of a series called Finding the Fits in which NFLDraftScout.com will review some of the more intriguing picks made during the 2014 NFL Draft. The goal of the series is to identify one relatively unheralded player per team who appears to be a good schematic fit and, therefore, more likely to be a surprise contributor early in his pro career. Dallas Cowboys' best fit: DE Demarcus Lawrence

Evolution of scouting from film to digital

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As I was watching tape the other day on a few of the running backs for next year’s class, I started thinking about how much scouting has changed since I was a young scout. In the "old days", it was a lot harder to do a good job than it is today. The technology wasn’t close to what it is today. The only way you could view film of a player was to make a school call and use their film library. You noticed I wrote "film"

Roster depth key to championships, so it's no surprise Seattle has it

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The question of which teams have the deepest rosters at this point in the year is an important one and I look at certain criteria to answer the question. In my opinion there are 13 categories that have to get a positive answer for a team to qualify as having solid roster depth. The first is the backup quarterback. A capable backup QB that can go at least 2-2 in a four-game stretch qualifies as a good backup.

NFL contract structure

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There are four basic NFL contract structures with slight variances within each general structure. These include the signing bonus, salary guarantees, options/bonuses, and what they call pay as you go.

Development is the next step after drafting ability

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Nobody quite knows the ratio, but player development is a crucial part of the drafting process. Prospects do not come to the NFL as finished products, and it’s up to the team (and the player) to turn that college athlete into an NFL player. Making a selection on draft day is just step one, not the final step. When a player busts, is it the fault or the person in charge of the draft or the person in charge of the development? When a player booms, is it because of the GM or the coach? I don’t know. You don’t know. Nobody knows.

105,000 see George Strait final Cowboy Rides Away

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Country music king George Strait capped off the last tour of his career with an epic, star-studded final performance at the billion-dollar stadium where the Dallas Cowboys play, dazzling an audience of nearly 105,000 people with duet after duet with some of the biggest names in country music. The attendance shattered the previous record set by The Rolling Stones at The Louisiana Superdome in 1981.

US Secret Service wants social media to detect sarcasm

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The US Secret Service, the federal law enforcement agency tasked with protecting the safety of current and former national leaders and their families, visiting heads of state, and others, posted a work order on Monday seeking the development of social media analytics software capable of detecting sarcasm online. Seriously!

Ranking the OL - We're #1

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The Five Best Offensive Lines 1. Dallas Cowboys. Cowboys bashers can scoff if they like, but the team has a tremendous line. It all starts with Tyron Smith, one of the best offensive linemen in the NFL right now. Smith allowed just three sacks last year and is the best run-blocking left tackle in the league. Right tackle Doug Free is a solid run blocker who rarely makes mistakes in pass protection and has not missed a start in four years. Smith is outstanding and Free is good, but the prospects are what bring this line to the next level.

Snap weighted ages of NFL teams

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Danny Tuccitto introduced Snap-Weighted Age (SWA) last year and we have crunched the numbers again for the 2013 regular season. With data back to the 2006 season, the average age has been getting younger, but it's more noticeable on offense than on defense perhaps due to the rising expectations of rookie quarterbacks. Thirteen of the league's 32 projected starters were Week 1 rookie starters and that number could easily grow this September.

Teams rack up frequent flyer miles

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Of the five teams doing the most traveling in the NFL this year, four of them are teams that will play in London in 2014. The only team not playing in London that cracked the top five for travel distance is the Seahawks, who will travel 26,144 miles. That's the second-farthest distance that any team will travel in 2014, trailing only the Raiders.

Seahawks do honorable thing

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The Seattle Seahawks paid rookie offensive tackle Garrett Scott his full slotted signing bonus of $101,672 in his four-year, $2.321 million contract. The Seahawks paid that to the sixth-round draft pick from Marshall even though they have waived him with a non-football illness designation due to a rare heart condition discovered during a physical.

Some discussion if not love of Dez

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Each of the PFF analysts has had a chance to state their case for players that just missed the Top 101 and there are even more that were the subject of debate for the final few spots. Among the most difficult exclusions was Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Dez Bryant. Add to it that wide receiver may have been the deepest, most closely-contested position, and Bryant simply came up short in the end.

good feeling story - NO sign paralyzed player

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Safety Devon Walker was once on Tulane's roster back in 2012. But after colliding with a teammate, Walker sustained a devastating injury that left him paralyzed from the neck down. This past weekend, Walker got the surprise of a lifetime. The New Orleans Saints brought him in to sign him to a contract.

FanPost
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What to expect from a draft pick II

In an earlier fanpost, I wrote about what to expect from a draft pick. Among the issues involved were the success rates for a given selection. h...

Draft Depth

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Perhaps the most overlooked story of draft weekend, though, was record unemployment. That came after a record 98 underclassmen declared for the draft resulting in a record 36 such players going unselected. That's a failure rate of almost 40 percent.

DeMarco Murray gets some love

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Special mention to round out our look at this data should go to the only man to appear in both Top 10′s, DeMarco Murray. The former Oklahoma Sooner has struggled to maintain his health for a full 16 game season in his three years with the Cowboys, but showed his worth last year. Murray broke the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his career, finishing the regular season as our sixth-highest graded running back (+10.0). These tables show all too well why Murray graded so well last season, highlighting his down-to-down consistency as a player frequently able to shrug off first contact, but also able to capitalize on that with devastating consistency to ensure that he wasn’t just breaking tackles simply to stand still and go down immediately to a second defender.

Dan Reeves to ring of honor for DENVER

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Dan Reeves was the head coach in waiting for Tom Landry for many years. Eventually he left on his own. The induction ceremony will take place on Sept. 14, at halftime of the Broncos’ game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.

FanPost
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Price, Cost and Value

NYG Safety Hill facing 3rd drug suspension

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New York Giants safety Will Hill failed another drug test and is facing another suspension, the third year in a row, according to the New York Daily News.

PFF series on rookies - Frederick edition

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One of the most scrutinized first round picks of 2013, the Cowboys moved back from their original spot at No. 18 to take Frederick with the No. 31 overall pick in the draft. It was a mixed bag for Frederick who showed extremely well as a run blocker, but took his lumps in pass protection. For the most part, however, he silenced critics with a stellar overall season and continued improvement in the passing game should make the pick a worthwhile one for the Cowboys.

NFL first draft

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Today, the NFL Draft is a prime-time event. The multi-day extravaganza is preceded by months of mock drafts, dedicated draft publications and people making a living solely analyzing the draft. However, the first NFL draft was held in relative obscurity.

PFF grades Dallas draft picks 2009-2011

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PFF grades every draft pick from 2009 through to 2011 on the PFF rating scale (-2 to +2), factoring in where they were drafted, injuries and a host of other things

playing Madden on the Jumbotron

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Conan O'Brien was at AT&T Stadium in Dallas recently and he did what anyone who has access to an empty NFL stadium would do: He hooked up a PS4 to the Jumbotron and played Madden.

FanPost
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Draft Boards as Periodic Charts

When the team in on the clock, there is not a lot of time to evaluate any possible trades. In order to properly evaluate a possible trade, a team must have already done a lot of work in...

Giants sign Ayers

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The New York Giants have signed former Denver Broncos defensive end Robert Ayers. He previously visited the Cincinnati Bengals before meeting with the Giants on Tuesday.

Russell Wilson to throw out first pitch at Ranger's game

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Wilson throws out the ceremonial first pitch for the Rangers in their 8:05 p.m. ET game against the Phillies. Why the Rangers? Back in December, Texas selected Wilson in MLB's Rule 5 Draft, which transferred his baseball rights from the Rockies to the Rangers. Since then, Wilson has been wearing a Rangers uniform almost as often as he's been wearing a Seahawks uniform.

Witten among the most versatile of all TEs

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The word "versatile" has almost taken on new meaning when referencing tight ends as it once described a player capable of stretching the seam in the passing game while providing stellar in-line blocking in the running game. Times are changing as tight ends are often viewed as glorified wide receivers and "versatile" now refers to their ability to contribute to the passing game from a variety of angles. They still need to stretch the seam, but they’re also asked to win from the slot on option routes, out wide on slants and fades, and out of the backfield where they can often outrun linebackers.

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