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Edgar for Pres

  • joined Mar 26, 2008
  • last login Mar 27, 2013
  • posts 61
  • comments 8437

A Fan Of...

  • MLB Seattle Mariners
  • NBA Oklahoma City Thunder
  • NFL Seattle Seahawks
  • NCAAF Washington Huskies
  • NCAAB Washington Huskies
User Blog

Bradley talks about self-examination

ESPN interview with Milton Bradley. Can't listen to any of the audio where I am. Might be interesting.

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Ranking Mariners SS Using WAR

The forth in this series takes a look at Mariners SS.  The previous posts have some info about how I am going about this (Catcher, 1B, 2B).  I also have added polls to the Catcher, 1B and 2B...

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Ranking Mariners 2B Using WAR

Continuing the series (Catcher, 1B) I chose to work my way around the diamond to 2B.  I used the same methods as I did with 1B.  To recap the methods, I require the player to play at least 30...

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Ranking Mariners 1B Using WAR

This is the second post using Rally's WAR database to quantify the best Mariners of all time.  The first post looked at Mariners catchers.  This one will focus on Mariners 1B. Doing this for...

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Ranking Mariners Catchers Using WAR

Everybody around here hates Rob Johnson and probably rightly so (unless his walk rate is sustainable.  Every passed ball causes another M's fan's head to explode.  That said, I started thinking...

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Looking at average balls and strikes thrown per batter faced for our pitchers

Playing with numbers led me to make these two charts.  The top one is a plot I made where the vertical axis is a pitcher's strikeout to walk ratio and the horizontal axis is the ratio of the...

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Baseruns applied to pitchers using batted ball data

First off, this is not a completely novel or creative idea.  It has been tossed around here and there for a while.  Graham and I had exchanged a few comments about it a while back which ended...

Griffey knows Ichiro is at least twice as good as himself.

Funny article where Griffey challenges Ichiro to get 300 hits and/or twice as many hits as he gets.

MLB Gameday BIP Location

Wanna waste some time? Why not make hit charts of whoever you want where ever you want. Its pretty cool. Try it out.

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Simple Adjustment of Our Pitching Staff for Team Defense

There are many ways to slice the same pie.  I was playing around on Fangraphs when I should have been working or sleeping and eventually had a bunch of numbers and an idea.  Its an idea which I'm...

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A different way of looking at the offseason - Impact on Playoff Hopes

So I thought it would be interesting to do something a little different and review the moves that have taken place this offseason.  I'm not going to do a detailed post with in depth analysis but I...

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Projections: Jose Lopez

We projected Ichiro last week, Felix the other day and Beltre  and Bedard earlier today. You know the deal.  How do you think Lopez will do this year?  Take the offensive step forward we have...

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Projections: Erik Bedard

We projected Ichiro last week, Felix the other day and Beltre earlier today. You know the deal.  How do you think Bedard will do this year?  Repeat the year he had with Baltimore before we...

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Projections: Adrian Beltre

We projected Ichiro last week and Felix the other day. You know the deal.  How do you think Beltre will do this year?  Continue his godly defense and have the offensive year we have always...

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Projections: Felix Hernandez

I've fallen behind on my schedule for posting these so I'll be trying to throw them up over the next week or so.  We projected Ichiro last week. You know the deal.  How do you think Felix will...

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Projections: Ichiro

Upon realizing today that LL/USSM have dropped the community projections, I figured I'd try to take up an abridged version of what they have been doing.  It was discontinued because they are busy...

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WTF? "Smoltz on verge of deal with Red Sox"?

Apparently Smoltz may be going to the Red Sox in one of the more unpredictible moves of the offseason.  Reported by ESPN so its a little more credible than your typical rumor. Smoltz has been...

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Is it wrong to think about trading Jeff Clement?

Interesting little article over at BBTF.  Its probably written by a Red Sox fan so there is that small hint of irrational thinking.  Still its interesting.  More or less, its talking about what...

Todd Helton...Buy low pickup for some team?

I was skimming through fangraphs which had an article by our very own Matthew discussing the value of Texeira and comparing him to Helton. As stated in the article, Helton's contract is viewed as a stifling deal even though it is likely very similar to the deal Texeira will recieve. Matthew points out that Helton is due around $19 million for 3 to 4 more years. Although last year was pretty brutal for Helton, it is probably pretty safe to assume his that he will rebound. I could see him putting together around +20 to +30 run offensive seasons for the rest of his contract. His defensive value probably will average out to around neutral over the life of his contract. This makes him about a +40 to +50 runs above replacement or a 4 to 5 WAR player. Assuming $5 million per win gives us around $20 to $25 million. Once you factor in his sub-par performance last year and his collapse (and injury) potential as he ages the deal looks pretty fair. If the M's hadn't signed a bargain 1B platoon, it would have been interesting to think about trying to trade for Helton. With the Rockies trying to move salary (Holliday), I'm sure they would love to get out of Helton's deal. The M's with their large payroll would have been a good destination for Helton. Maybe we could have traded horrible contracts to get him. Washburn (or Batista) for Helton would have given them a mediocre pitcher who has an expiring contract which would have helped payroll issues eventually. I don't actually think a deal like that would work but its just intersting to think about. There are plenty of ways the M's can use their large payroll to their advantage when there is talent availible on teams with restricted payrolls (please steal talent from the Marlins).

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2009 Mariners ZIPS Posted

Link To sum up Dan Szymborski's projection of our team...We should have seen last year coming and the 2009 team is going to be pretty pathetic for a lot of reasons. Kenji is projected to be our...

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List of Best Players

Stumbled across this nice write up.  Goes through and shows a list of the league's best position players.  Combines all the saber stats to give total value for the players.  Also has links to...

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WPA => WCPA

Random thought while I was watching the Twins vs. Soxs game.  We have WPA which tells us how much of each victory or loss can be credited to a player for his actions.  This is easy. We also...

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WE by count

Just was surfing the web and stumbled along this.  I think its pretty cool and I'm happy to see that somebody has already done it.  Josh Kalk (writer for THT) has posted the WE by count on his...

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Who's your favorite player?

I know we've all got our own mancrushes on the team.  Who are they?

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How good was Griffey's Defense

Over at THT Sean Smith has been going through old data and putting together historic defensive stats.  You can go download the spreadsheet that has all the info.

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What FA are left and who should we sign

In an attempt to make a diary that relates to baseball, I figured I'd try to go through the FA that are left.  I think we all agree that we probably need at least a bench bat and/or maybe a 4th...

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Using OPS+: Steroids Era is Over!

So a while back I was wondering how the variance of OPS+ has changed with time.  The average of OPS+ is set at 100 by definition but there is nothing in the formula that makes sure the stat falls...

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WE Rating System: How good was that game?

For a little while I wanted to try to use WE to quantify how "exciting" a game was.  It should be pretty simple.  In general, the more spiky the graph, the better the game and blowouts tend to be...

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Bill James Projections

I was debating whether to put this up but since Bill James' projections are availible on fangraphs (how I got them).  Go over and take a look.I guess I'll just quickly summarize them.Ichiro:...

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Another RC formula

I know, everyone and their mother has made a RC formula or two.  I was just messing around in some huge spreadsheet quite a while ago and kinda just stumbled across this.  The thing that started...

Showing 1 - 30 of 61 Older
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