Elephants-never-forget

FITAT

  • joined Sep 09, 2013
  • last login Jun 17, 2014
  • posts 12
  • comments 442
User Blog
FanPost
31

BTB Challenge: Who made good predictions last year?

After the first game last year I challenged BTB to make some predictions. To refresh your memory, Dallas was coming off a 6 takeway performance against the NYG and allowing Eli to throw for almost...

FanPost
10

Why pass efficiency (offensive & defensive) matters

1. Sports stats analysts have repeatedly found that pass efficiency is one of the keys to winning. I included a few sources in this prior post 2. Note that NY/A is predictive. I've charted the...

FanPost
6

Looking at Dallas run/pass ratio in 2013

This is a follow up to the fanpost that looked at trends in run/pass balance across the NFL. In this post we look at the run/pass trend for Dallas. The charts below show Dallas' pass ratio against...

FanPost
8

Setting baseline probabilities: All 2nd round DE, DT, and LB in the last 10 years

These are all the DE, DT, and LB taken in the 2nd round in the last 10 years. Very helpful for setting expectations for D-Law. Out of the 99 players, I see 6 (Woodley, Sheard, Dunlap, Barwin,...

FanPost
6

Trends in run pass balance

I occasionally like to look at the trend in run pass balance. Generally the sports analytics community claims that NFL coaches are not calling the optimal play mix. Concretely, coaches don't call...

FanPost
+

Step into the future ... or the 10 years ago

I'm posting this because I thought there might be 1 or 2 people here that would find this is interesting or useful. The link below is a 'snapshot' (i.e. its static, you can't change the code) of a...

Awesome visualization of how salary is allocated

5

an incredibly cool visualization. enjoy

FanPost
12

Quarter season CSI

Dallas is a quarter of the way through the season. Let's look at the results and what patterns are emerging. Note: I focus on offensive pass efficiency and defensive pass efficiency (I explain why...

FanPost
17

BTB Challenge: Predict whether running the ball could work

Here's this week's challenge. Predict how many drives the Broncos have (espn.com has a handy drive summary so that will be the reference index) what percentage of those drives result in TDs w...

FanPost
63

34 OLB pass rush snap counts (and A. Spencer)

Background. I think that passing / defending the pass is key to winning NFL games. Therefore, I haven't been a big fan of Spencer because my sense is that he's not an outstanding pass rusher. A...

Spencer's Knee Surgery

5

"I have like soft cartilage on the inner side of my knee that's causing [the pain]," Spencer said. "It's not stopping the banging of the bone. It's going to take a little bit more time to heal, and we really don't have time right now." When you hear about banging of bones in the knee, it raises questions about the long-term health of a player and whether the cartilage is gone. Microfracture surgery is a procedure that creates fractures in the bone to develop new cartilage.

FanPost
86

A challenge for BTB: predict 2013 defensive net pass YPA and 2013 takeaways

In so far as a scientific statement speaks about reality, it must be falsifiable; and in so far as it is not falsifiable, it does not speak about reality. -Karl Popper You think you know...

Showing 1 - 12 of 12
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