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Freneau

Mar 28, 2008 May 31, 2012 4961 40086

And saying so to some

Means nothing; others it leaves

Nothing to be said.

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Royals Review Royals Had a Winning Record in May, Did It Mean Anything?

CLEVELAND, OH - Unbelievable leadership. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)

So, thanks to their dramatic final turn of the Cleveland series, the Royals ended up with a winning record for the month of May. They went 15-13 in the fifth month's games, a nice result after a disastrous start. In fact, as you likely know, after starting 3-14, the Royals have gone 18-14. As Rany noted last night, the Royals are also now 16-11 on the road.

Does this mean anything?

First of all, a monthly split is, inherently, simply an arbitrary marker. There's no meaningful difference between a baseball game on June 1 and one on May 30. Similarly, a monthly split that ran from May 2- June 2, or May 15-June 15, would be equally instructive. It's 30 odd games. Last year, the Royals had one winning month, April, when they went 14-12. In 2010, they had zero, but snagged two in 2009, going 12-10 in April and 15-13 in September (which was followed by an 0-3 October). Going further back, the 2008 Royals had two winning months, going 16-11 in June and 18-8 in September.

But these were all, in essence, bad teams, and they all, in reality, had more losing months than winning ones. But the vagaries of the schedule and the randomness of results and sure, some notion of collectively playing well or poorly, spit out all kinds of monthly results.

But, as a narrative, a winning May fits into something hopeful. Yes, the team started poorly, but look, things are getting better, things are coming together, the future looks bright.

You tell me, does it mean anything?

51 comments  | 

Seriously. How?

I blame Nolan Ryan for some random statement he made years ago that hasn't even actually been implemented but whatever yay toughness!

about 5 hours ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 1 comment

And bring back Kyle Davies too.

about 5 hours ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 11 comments

Game 48 Overflow Thread II

Another three error game, but a comfortable lead thus far nonetheless.

2 days ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 114 comments

Royals Review The American League Central Race After Memorial Day

Heroism. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

There's an old baseball saw that says that you shouldn't look at the standings until Memorial Day, or until after Memorial Day or until sometime around that time. It's fairly silly because the baseball season never seems to start on the same day and Memorial Day is also movable. But anyway, here we are. It is, definitively after Memorial Day.

Here are the standings after Memorial Day:


AL Central Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
Cleveland 27 21 .562 0 Won 1
Chicago 27 22 .551 0.5 Won 6
Detroit 23 25 .479 4 Lost 1
Kansas City 19 28 .404 7.5 Lost 1
Minnesota 16 32 .333 11 Won 1

(updated 5.29.2012 at 8:13 AM EDT)


  • When you look at the raw numbers, it isn't obvious how Cleveland is doing this. They're 7th in the AL in runs per game, and 12th per game in runs allowed. They've allowed more runs/per than the Royals. They've been outscored by 15 runs. But they're 10-2 in one-run games, which almost entirely explains their record. Kinda.
  • The White Sox have played like a classic mediocre team. They're 6th in runs scored and 6th in runs allowed. They hit home runs, like they always do, and that's about it offensively. Right now, Chris Sale and Jake Peavy are carrying the rotation, while Danks, Floyd, and Humber, have, in their own mild ways, struggled a bit.
  • Are the Tigers good? They're 8th in runs per game and 10th in runs allowed. Cabrera and Prince Fielder have been fine at the plate, though with likely terrible defense, and they're even getting a .414 OBP out of Austin Jackson. But they middle infield has sucked, and the corner spots have been a clown show. Rick Porcello is essentially Jimmy Gobble at this point, and Max Scherzer is bafflingly ineffective at times.
  • And the Twins are horrible. Awesome. I thought the Twins were always contenders? I thought their dogged focus on all things old-school inoculated them from the vagaries of life? I thought Gardy grew wins perennially?

From a purely competitive standpoint, our Royals seem out of it. Which is where they've been since about Game 15. After the disastrous start and the long losing streak, the Royals haven't been bad, bouncing around .500 and winning two of three here, losing two of three there, but there's no sense that this is a team ready to explode, ready or capable of producing a long winning streak and getting back into the race.

Meanwhile, as it often appears this time of year, we may have a three way race in the Central. It's never quite fully happened, but the White Sox/Tigers/Twins/Indians are often pretty closely matched, you just never quite know whether Detroit or Chicago will randomly be 15 games better at any time. If Detroit is the favorite, then we have to give them credit for getting back into things at some point. Maybe they will.

101 comments  | 

Royals Review Sunday Morning Royals Links: Dyson Hurt, Butler Unsung, Hosmer Luck, & The Death of Bureacracy

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Royals:

Baseball:

Continue reading this post »

46 comments  | 

Royals Review Game 45 Open Thread - Royals (17-27) at Orioles (29-17)


Well, Felipe Paulino is about all we've got, depending on whether or not you're still hoping for a Jose Rosado comeback in the starting rotation. (And well, there's all-time Royals great, Bruce Chen as well.)


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2012 - Felipe Paulino 2-1 4 4 0 0 0 0 25.1 22 4 4 1 7 29 1.42 1.14


The Orioles counter with Wei-Yin Chen. Terribly sorry that we nobody switched the rotations to give us a Chen-Chen matchup. Why cruel world, why?


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2012 - Wei-Yin Chen 4-1 8 8 0 0 0 0 48.1 47 22 18 5 17 37 3.35 1.32


963 comments  | 

Royals Review Eric Hosmer Showing Signs of Life in Extremely Small, Recent Sample

The Pepsi Generation. (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)

In his last four games Eric Hosmer hasn't hit that bad. Actually, he's been ok. If not mildly good. Unstoppable baby.

In those last four games (17 PAs) Hosmer has hit .400/.471/.533. That's two doubles, four singles, and two walks in four games.

Can getting back above .200 be that far behind?

Seriously though, if Hosmer is ever going to bounce back and start hitting, he's got to actually, you know, start hitting. Look, he's going to have a hideous season line this year. Two awful months have pretty much guaranteed that. But the journey of a thousand good PAs starts with four or five good games.

5 comments  | 

Royals Review Do the Orioles Offer the Royals Hope?

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Just last year, I called for the dismantling of the Orioles and held them up as an example of relatively well-laid plans not always working out. See, they've had a fair number of players that generated prospect hound cupidity before, and they were all hitting the team around the same time, with the position players more established and a number of young arms ready to join them.

Only, the Orioles stayed pretty terrible.

It was "hopeless" for them, and I advocating a massive tear down: trading Adam Jones, trading Matt Wieters, trading everyone with any perceived value and trying to win in 2015 or 2017.

Now, the Orioles are 28-17. Is there hope after all?

  • After years of underwhelming, Adam Jones is hitting .311/.357/.601 while playing a passable (probably) CF. His power spike, so far, may be legitimate, given his age and progress last season. He's under contract for one more season after this one.
  • Matt Wieters may never justify Matt Wieters Facts, but he's hitting .238/.321/.463 with defense that everyone loves at catcher. He's under team control for years to come.
  • Nick Markakis isn't a star, but he's decent. His power has mysteriously declined instead of improving. But he's OK.
  • Their random signing and extension of JJ Hardy continues to look good.
  • And they still have a bunch of young pitchers, although they don't really appear to have turned a huge corner. But they aren't setting records for futility this year, like happened in 2012.

So, I don't actually want to keep running down the Orioles, but you get the idea. These things aren't always linear. Mike Moustakas could look awesome in his early 20s, then be "meh" later on, Markakis style. Eric Hosmer might just be frustrating as hell for the next few years, then become awesome. We might never develop an actual average starting pitcher, but Felipe Paulino could be that #2 starter we've all been dreaming of.

This could be us, in good ways and bad. Of course, the Orioles may have just had a good 45 games. Actually, that's probably just what happened. But maybe not.

61 comments  | 

However, they (Detroit) are climbing now an uphill battle, and one that won’t be easy to win. If the Indians just play .500 ball the rest of the way, they’ll finish with an 85-77 record. To win the division by just a single game, the Tigers would have to finish 66-52, a .559 pace over the rest of the season. Can they do it? Sure – most people thought the Tigers were a 90+ win team headed into the season, so it’s not an unreasonable projection. But it’s also quite possible that the Indians play better than .500 ball over the rest of the schedule, forcing the Tigers to need to play .575+ baseball in order to close the gap before the end of September.

6 days ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 61 comments

Royals Review Fan Support For Dayton Moore Remains Strong

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Earlier this week, I asked RR readers if they would hire Dayton Moore again. Although I have my own thoughts on the matter -- which certainly slanted the propositional piece I wrote -- I was mostly interested to hear what other fans thought. Well, here are the results:

After 751 votes, 58% of you would hire Dayton again.

In the early stages of the voting, from Sunday night through about midday on Monday, the results were very close to 50/50. Over time however, the "Yes" crowd began to pull away, giving Dayton a healthy, though not huge victory.

Six years later, 42% of Royals fans in this one result feel like, to some extent, the hiring of Dayton Moore hasn't been worth it. That's not exactly parade worthy. One the other hand, Moore still appears to have a large base of support, despite a real lack of results at the Major League level. We're either extremely patient, have very low standards, really love minor league rankings, or some combination of all three.

(Then again, the question I posed was only, "would you hire him again?" which allows for many shades of support, many quite weak.)

Among the commentariat, there's certainly acceptance of the Moore regime. Forget mainstream media critics, I struggle to find even bloggers that out and out want Moore gone. Rany's been critical at times, the boys at Royals Authority have been critical at times, Neyer's certainly been critical, but I don't recall any overt "Moore must go" statements.

So I guess we're all satisfied.

95 comments  | 

Royals Review Thank Goodness Mike Moustakas Is Hitting

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Can you imagine if Mike Moustakas wasn't hitting? Aside from what it would mean for the Royals' offense, think about what it would mean for our psyche. Because here's how the young Royal up and coming hitters of the future stars of tomorrow are performing or have performed: horribly. Basically we have Moose hitting, non-prospect Jarrod Dyson kinda getting on base enough, and garbage.

Moose has posted a .295/.351/.525 line in 151 PAs, with 7 HRs and 11 2Bs. To my eye, this essentially looks like his peak. Maybe someday there will be a little more power or maybe some year he'll have a really high batting average, but this is seems close. Not hatin'. Just sayin' that he's probably not going to become a perennial .600 SLG guy, simply because those guys are extremely rare.

But other than Moose... ugh...

  • For the zillionth time, Hosmer. But you know about this and I'm not even going to post his line.
  • Then we have Cain, who barely played (17 PAs) and hit .133 (all singles) and that was it. Not really much to go on, but the hideous batting line keeps staring back at us because he's disappeared to DL land.
  • He's followed by our sometimes DH, Johnny Giavotella, who is starting to become annoying. The impossible has been achieved, I truly love Chris Getz! In 26 forgettable PAs, Gio has hit .208/.269/.250.

Of course, there is Irving Falu, who has hit .419/.419/.581 in 33 PAs. So his unsustainable excellence can sustain us.

The other young hitter of note is a guy who I have singularly stopped following for good or bad, Alcides Escobar. In around two months he's posted an above average OPS, which I never thought possible, hitting .301/.342/.418. So maybe things aren't so bad after all.

89 comments  | 

Royals Review Would You Hire Dayton Moore Again?

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Dayton Moore was hired in 2006. If you could, would you hire him again?

For the purposes of discussion, let's consider the 2006 season to be fully Allard Baird's team. The Royals hired Moore on May 31st and he didn't take over until a few weeks later. From 2002-06, Baird's last five seasons, the Royals averaged 64.2 wins. In my mind, the Royals have just been an unrelenting train of bad the last decade, but those years were rough. That's averaging 64-98, even with a random 83 win season mixed in.

Under Dayton Moore, the Royals have taken a single step forward. From 2007-2011, Moore's first five seasons, the Royals have averaged 69.4 wins. Moore's worst team -- by record -- the 2009 squad, still won 65 games, which was better than Baird's five year average. And, as must be said, the Royals, at both the Major League and especially the minor league level, have spent money much more freely since Moore took over.

Baird Wins Moore Wins
2002 62 2007 69
2003 83 2008 75
2004 58 2009 65
2005 56 2010 67
2006 62 2011 71

We've talked about this a million times, but Moore really tried to win in the short term in the early years of regime. And that attempt, call it the Gil Meche Era, topped out at 75 wins. By the time the farm system started to develop interesting young position players, the team was, after the Greinke trade in 2010, completely starting over in the starting rotation. And it was only in 2010 that Moore started to offer a timetable for rebuilding: 2012.

There's been a part of me that has always wished Moore did a complete teardown from the very beginning. Instead of delaying things. However, what was there to tear down? Could baseball in KC have survived with another three or four 100 loss seasons?

Everyone is in agreement that Dayton Moore inherited garbage. However, six years in, a list of his most productive Major League players is dominated by holdovers from the Baird Era. The Baird minor leagues had no depth, but nevertheless have provided Moore with Billy Butler and Alex Gordon, even that random Mike Aviles MVP-level season. Two of his better Major League contributors were holdovers David DeJesus and Zack Greinke. John Buck is still probably the best catcher we've had, etc.

Here is a complete list of the average or better starting pitchers the Royals have developed in the last decade: Zack Greinke. Still waiting on anyone else.

In some ways, the shape of Moore's results make sense if you want to take a hardcore apologetic stance. The minor leagues were so week, that, like bad recruiting classes in college football, the results weren't fully seen until years later. (To which I respond, you had Mike Aviles happen, there's your random 5 win player appearing out of nowhere. But whatever.)

Now, aside from getting to 75 wins, the height of the Moore Era came last winter, when consensus built that the Royals had the best minor league farm system in baseball. Maybe one of the best farm systems ever, in fact. The depth remains impressive, although the individual components are starting to look a little blurry. There are still a raft of interesting and exciting names, but nothing is guaranteed. There have been some (maybe) good drafts and some (maybe) bad ones. It hasn't been linear, either.

So two points as a way of conclusion. We're scratching the surface of a decade's worth of material here. We could have full paragraphs, pages even, on a number of individual moves, individual drafts, trades made and not made. And then there's the huge and hard to evaluate ownership factor, etc. etc. To a degree, once the years start to pile up, the won-loss record does seem to at least give some kind of sketch of what was going on.

The years roll on, and the Royals still aren't any good.

Secondly, I'm not asking if Moore should be fired. That's a slightly different question. I'm merely asking, knowing what you know now, would you hire him again?

Poll
Would you hire Dayton Moore again?

  839 votes | Results

212 comments  | 

Kila Update

.261/.316/.386. So not great, not really good, but there it is.

11 days ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 24 comments

The Royals have employed a shift 55 times already this season, more than they did in the entire 2010 campaign.

11 days ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 3 comments

Josh Reddick wasn't considered the most significant acquisition of the winter for the Athletics, but he's sure hit like he should have been.

11 days ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 5 comments

Royals Review Royals Defeat Diamondbacks Behind Butler, Moustakas, and Chen

A nice win tonight, to be sure. This is how it is supposed to work for the Royals: some big hits from Billy Butler and one of the young ingenues, decent starting pitching, and the standard issue four relievers to get through three innings okey-doe to end the game.

  • Virtual Chensanity tonight: 8 hits allowed, along with two walks, in just 6.1 innings. But the Diamondbacks left a zillion guys on base, had a guy thrown out at home, and grounded into two double plays. It was enough.
  • The Royals had 11 hits, with -- and it seems like this happens regularly -- the bottom of the order doing much of the work. Another two hits for Escobar tonight, who I'm more confident in at the plate than Hosmer at this point, along with a randomly good night from Brayan Pena.
  • Although the lead, though not the one I've divided into, was the homers of Butler and Moustakas.
  • Quietly, Gordon is crashing again.
  • What's the franchise record for strikeouts in a season? I feel like Francoeur could threaten it.
  • I like the bullpen so much better with a functioning Holland around.
  • Is Jose Mijares good? If Yost had to choose between using Collins and Mijares, who would he choose? Tough.
  • Willie Bloomquist will be a Royal again, I know it.

72 comments  | 

Game 39 Open Thread

Royals lead early in this life-altering human drama.

12 days ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 482 comments

Royals Review Game 39 Open Thread - Diamondbacks (18-22) at Royals (15-23)

Ian Kennedy (3.81 ERA) v. Bruce Chen (4.34 ERA)

Hosmer returns, will bat second. So we can have Hosmer in the lineup, with Butler at DH or we can have Gio DHing. Fire Yost.

229 comments  | 

Royals Review Mitch Maier Writes Home From Baseball Summer Camp (5.18.12)

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Dere Mom & Dad,

I am sorry for not righting home earlier. We have had SO many games and we have been going on lots of trips. Did you pay for this month of games? Aprel was really fun. I was playing lots and even pitched in that game after I hit the home run. But then I think that coach thought I wasn't around any more.

My friend Jarod came back to the team. At first I was happy because he is real nice and we used to talk on the bench last season during games. But then coach made us race and the winner would get to play in center win this other guy was hurt. I have been trying to get faster but then when I did one of the pitchers saw me and said 'Run Forest"" so now I don't.

We have had some good games. A few days ago we had this big rally and the coach put me in the game. But then before could hit he took me out. But I did score a run, and that's all that matters. This one time I really wanted to play in a game so I walked to the bullpen were the pitchers are. But since I did it during the game the coach got mad and said it wasn't honoring the game and that I wasn't one. Did he see me pitch?

I thoght there was a rule that you had to play sometimes. But this other coach said that practicing counts. I really want to see the Avengers one of these days.

There are so many teams. I can't belief some of their names. I try to learn them all and think of new logos they should have. There is this one called the Oreos, but it is a bird? I am also prakticing my autograph. I would hate to be on a team that had ugly colors, because then you would have to wear them all day. Haha

Can I have a gun when I am older? I really want to learn how to hunt. Lots of guys on the team talk about it and it sounds fun. I now we can't hunt in the parking lot behind our apartment, but it sounds so fun.

I learned the name of another player today. Elcidez. I had heard him called something before, but I never understood it and we had never talked. But then we were getting onto the bus and he was looking for his keys and the coach made it stop and told everyone to look. So I was able to learn it then.

MITCH

41 comments  |  8 recs | 

But no, Hosmer is untouchable.

13 days ago Cimg0036_tiny Freneau 0 comments

Royals Review Horrible Batting Lines Update

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The Royals are currently 9th in the American League in runs per game at 4.06.

Here are some of the offensive lowlights:

So basically, on any given night, a third of the lineup contributes nothing. And sure, one of those is catcher, so LOLS but what of 1B and RF? I've pretty much given up on any accountability regarding Francoeur, and have been asking that Hosmer be demoted for weeks now. Not sure what else there is to say.

Then we have only slightly better input from CF, SS & 2B. Alcides Escobar is one of the team's better hitters! Given that Moose, Gordon and Butler aren't really elite hitters either, it's a miracle the Royals are as high as 9th. Yay horrible new deadball era!

26 comments  | 

Royals Review WiIl Myers Brings Swagger, Horrifically Annoyingly-Spelled Name to AAA

Trigger the hype explosions! Let the prospect lust flower! Declare today a personal day, ye subscribers to Baseball America! Scream loudly all those who love preciously spelled names.

Uber-super-never-been-better Royals prospect Wil Myers is headed to AAA. This is the second best day of our lives, to be topped only by his inimitable Major League Debut. For there is nothing better than a top prospect. They are, quite simply, all that matters.

Prior to last season BA rated Myers the #10 prospect in all of baseball. This season, he was #28, because apparently NUMBERS ARE DIFFERENT NOW AND #28 ACTUALLY MEANS #-100000000 BECAUSE THAT'S WHAT HIS ORDINAL RANK SHOULD BE BECAUSE #1 ISN'T HIGH ENOUGH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1111111111111111111111111111111

Myers has 13 homers in 35 games at AA this season.

182 comments  |  1 recs | 

Royals Review After Brief Success, Royal 2Bs Falling Back to Earth

May 8, 2012; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Royals second baseman Chris Getz (17) lays down a sacrifice bunt in the seventh inning against the Boston Red Sox at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-US PRESSWIRE

Three weeks into the season, Royal secondbasemen -- Yuni and Getz in 50/50 split time -- had the third highest composite OPS of any 2B-team in the American League. With Yuni and Getz at 40 and 39 PAs respectively, their total line was a surprisingly good .333/.370/.464.

How have they done since?

As of this morning, May 16th, here's the "as a 2B" line for the Royals, with AL rank:

BA OBP SLG OPS
.274 .331 .395 .726
AL Rank 5th 6th 7th 7th

So there's been a fairly large drop. The days of being in the Cano-Kinsler neighborhood are over.

Since April 26th, Getz has hit just .231/.311/.333 which has been nearly all of the composite decline, since he's basically been the only 2B out there since Yuni's injury. In 5 PAs as a 2B Johnny G has also contributed, posting a .000/.200/.000 line.

But the larger issue here is Getz, who appears to have stopped stinging the ball quite so much. Although, don't expect a decrease in playing time - the Royals just don't care about results when filling out the lineup card. (Gordon Beckham, however, is still awful.)

This has been your Royal secondbasemen update.

91 comments  |