SB Nation User Blog: Galt

Aggregate Top 30 of all random users lists

Galt — Wed, 12 Aug 2009 19:06:16 -0000

There has been about 10 different top 25/50/100 whatever lists posted on this board in the past couple weeks. So here's the aggregate list. I removed the outliers - those players that were only listed twice or less (basically, most of Dewey's list).

I also removed those players who have played a meaningful number of major league games since a lot of people didn't list them at all (so gone are guys like Chacin, Weiters, etc.) Of those in the majors, remaining are Tillman, Matusz, Escobar, Latos

Here's the list

Aaron Poreda traded to San Diego

Galt — Fri, 31 Jul 2009 20:32:36 -0000

For Peavy? According to Heyman (who I don't believe a word he says) http://www.fannation.com/si_blogs/mlb_trade_talk/posts/72805-padres-agree-to-deal-peavy-to-white-sox

But also http://twitter.com/FollowThePadres says 4 pitching prospects:

Clayton Richard
Aaron Poreda
Dexter Carter
Adam Russell

Now it's on MLB trade rumors http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2009/07/peavy-dealt-to-white-sox-again.html

And I can't even get to 75 words with all of those links.

2009 Futures game rosters

Galt — Thu, 25 Jun 2009 16:35:07 -0000

http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/futures-game/2009/268439.html

Wow, the American team might win infinity to nothing.

I'm surprised Villalona is on the team again, wasn't he on it last year? I thought BA tried to spread players out from year to year.

Also, interesting trivia, 7 of my fantasy team's 8 minor league players will be in this game.

Now I ask you, is that tripe I wrote under the link better than just typing "FILLER FILLER FILLER, I HATE THE 75 WORD LIMIT?"

Supplemental minor league draft

Galt — Tue, 21 Apr 2009 18:27:27 -0000

Since I've seen others on the board posting for "who should I pick", here's how my league's supplemental draft has played out so far

PS. Foolishly, people drafted Pedro Alvarez, Gordon Beckham, and Brett Wallace in the regular draft - won't go into the details of keeper issues - but at least that's why they aren't listed here.

PPS. The only people who qualify are players that are a) signed by a major league team - so no Strasburgh and b) have never played a major league game - so no Holland. So it's mostly going to be 2008 draftees and guys who were marginal prospects last year but improved their rankings during the winter.

1) Tim Beckham

2) Buster Posey

3) Justin Smoak

4) Eric Hosmer

5) Brian Matusz

6) Yonder Alonso

7) Aaron Hicks

8) JP Arencibia

9) Michel Ynoa

10) Brett Lawrie

11) Dominic Brown

12) Dayan Viciedo

2nd round order:

1) Kyle Blanks

2) Junichi Tazawa

3) Matt Dominguez

4) Aaron Poreda

5) Kyle Skipworth

6) Daniel Bard

7) Daryl Jones

8) Tyler Flowers

9) Sean West

10) David Cooper

Two teams stopped picking because they had a full roster

3nd round order:

1) Phillipe Aumonte

2) Jordan Walden

starting to peter out. Some of the good guys still left: Jason Castro, Todd Frazier, Andrew Lambo, Michael Saunders, Jason Donald, Lou Marson, Michael Main, Wilson Ramos

Desmond Jennings - alive?

Galt — Mon, 12 May 2008 14:37:34 -0000

Jennings hasn't played professional baseball since August. He had a "minor knee injury" and ended up missing the rest of the season, and now apparently (according to rotoworld.com) hurt his back in March and was supposed to be out "4-6 weeks". Now he supposedly has a shoulder injury and has "no ETA". Is this guy made of glass? Is there anything else to the story? It seems odd to have "no ETA" unless it's a dramatically serious injury.

How Much is a Prospect Worth? A study

Galt — Wed, 06 Feb 2008 16:50:50 -0000

Really cool (though analytical) paper about the success, and therefore "worth" of prospects by Victor Wang.

It's from August, but I hadn't seen or heard about it before. While this is part of a subscription-only newsletter, I'm not concerned about this being copywrited, because in this Hardball Times Article (which is cool in and of itself): http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-bright-side-of-losing-santana/ the author links the original paper, here: http://www.philbirnbaum.com/btn2007-08.pdf

Basically, Wang looked at the prospects in the top 100 of BAs lists through every year in the 90s. And then looked at their performance in the first six years of their careers.

Looking only at top 10 prospects: For hitters, the likelihood of them becoming stars (based on WARP) was 17%, bust 21%. For pitchers it was 4% stars and over 50% busts. For prospects 11-25, the bust rate increased for both subgroups.

Bizarro Prospect Rundown

Galt — Wed, 19 Dec 2007 17:05:02 -0000

Following up on Bravesin07/PujolsJunkie's posts about cool stat figures, how about the other end?

Let's keep this to consensus top 50 prospects (obviously there is no "consensus" on this, but figuring our top 25, plus some leeway around those who will likely finish around the top 50.

Under .260 average (full season) = Cam Maybin
Under 10 HR (full season) = Ellsbury
Under 30 SB (career)= Travis Snider
Over 162Ks (batter, season) = Cam Maybin
at least 17 losses = Carlos Carrasco
at least 100 BB's (pitcher) = Franklin Morales
Era over 5.00 (full season) = Radhams Liz
Fewer than 100 career games (pitcher) = Nick Adenhart
Fewer than 1,000 career AB = Jose Tabata
Least career major league service time = Jose Tabata

Mitchell Report - Thursday @ 2PM EST

Galt — Wed, 12 Dec 2007 16:27:19 -0000

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/12/sports/baseball/12mitchell.html?em&ex=1197608400&en=55cc34 ecc24a60f6&ei=5087%0A

Steroid Report Expected to Cite About 50 Players

"...What it contains will be officially revealed Thursday, when Mitchell holds a 2 p.m. news conference in Manhattan followed by a separate news conference by Commissioner Bud Selig to discuss the findings. But two people who are familiar with Mitchell's investigation, and his findings, said that the report would contain the names of more than 50 active and former major league players who are linked to the use of performance-enhancing drugs....

....Both said many of the names in the report are directly tied to information provided to Mitchell's investigators by Kirk Radomski, a former bat boy and clubhouse attendant for the Mets who pleaded guilty to steroid distribution in April.

In Radomski's plea agreement, he stated that he provided dozens of players with steroids, human growth hormone and stimulants from 1995 through 2005...."

"...The evidence that Mitchell will use to cite players is expected to be documentary in nature -- canceled checks, shipping slips, phone records -- and not based on positive drug tests...."

Feel free to speculate which all star players (since nobody cares about anyone else) that will be listed among the 50 or chide people who are speculating about it.

The key facts are that the source worked for the Mets and he was supplying between '95 and '05.

I think Piazza is a lock. I also bet that Arod will be mentioned.

2009 Free Agent Class

Galt — Thu, 11 Oct 2007 19:08:17 -0000

this year's FA class isn't really that interesting, but the 2008 off-season is shaping up be like the 2000 off-season.

And because of that, next year's trade deadline looks like it has the potential to have some really game-changing talents changing teams. Given the list of talents below, I think a lot of teams will be much more likely to part with some elite level prospects to get these guys. Don't get too attached to your teams' favorite prospects.

Guys currently tabbed as potential free agents after 2008:

P: Johan, Peavy, Sabathia, Lackey, AJ Burnett, Rich Harden, Ben Sheets
OF: Crawford, Dunn, Wily Mo Pena, Manny, Vlad
IF: Texeira, Furcal, Renteria, Glaus, Chipper, Orlando Hudson, Sexson, Felipe Lopez, Blaylock

The pitching especially looks amazing.

And note: between now and the end of the '08 season, the Yankees will have about $80MM coming off the books in Clemens, Giambi, Mussina, Pavano, Farnsworth, Abreu, and Pettite. That $80MM number will be decreased by whatever it costs to extend A-rod, and sign new contracts with Posada and Rivera. But it will still likely be about $60-%70MM. Enough for at least two, probably three superstar additions

Craig Hansen

Galt — Thu, 30 Aug 2007 16:08:51 -0000

Remember him?

In his last 10 games dating back to the middle of July (since he missed about 3 weeks with a non-pitching related bruised elbow):

16 2/3 innings
14 hits
5 walks
23 ks
0.54 ERA

He has been typically pitching more than an inning per appearance.

He was supposed to be phenomenal when drafted, and then just fell apart in the majors last year as well as Spring Training, and the beginning of the season this year.

Is there hope still for him to be a dominant reliever/closer?