Explanation of draft risers/fallers/questions: Just looking at CBS Sports rankings, there is a great deal of variation in supply in demand. What I mean by that is how individual players are given round projections. Guaranteed first round prospects account for 25 players. Round 1-2 projections account for 12 players. 24 players are given a second round rating. 2-3 round projections include 16 players.

This is pretty reasonable. It projects 80 players for 63 spots, giving a degree of flexibility for those cusp Third Rounders. The problem comes when you consider: 11 of those players are CBs, 11 are LBs, 8 are DTs, 9 are DEs, 7 are interior O-line, 7 are OT, 7 are RBs, 6 are QBs, 3 are FS/SS, 2 are TE, and 9 are WRs.

I write this to illustrate the point that you shouldn’t wed yourself to arbitrary rankings that fluctuate radically from source to source. We have no clue how highly any single player is ranked above any others because it varies from team to team and those ranking probably won’t be settled on until the card is in the Commissioner’s hand.

Are 11 CBs going to get their name called in the first two rounds? I doubt it. If I’m right, that will cause good players to fall further because the teams with immediate needs will have already addressed CB and now teams with the luxury to quit addressing immediate need can snap them up. Some positions might suffer more because a perceived depth in this year’s draft or could do the opposite and produce a run when teams see their favorite players getting picked earlier than projected. Some players (RBs), could see their value fall because teams have had so much success with late round picks. Some players (TEs) might be over-valued because their position is in vogue. The Giants have done wonders for pass rushing DE/OLBs stock, as more teams will try to stock the cupboards with sackers. 3-4 versus 4-3 needs will cause some players to be over-valued, under-valued, and flat out surprising. I think all of this is reasonably predictable with a few exceptions every year in the first two rounds, but after that all predictable draft strategy seems to fall apart. That is where I made my (I hope) informed decisions.

I have guys who probably fell below their projected round and some rose. I made the picks based on feedback I’ve received from other mockers, from mining each team’s SBNation site for preferred draft needs and players, and from trying to observe trends in mocks and previous drafts. Giants and Texans fans seem to be tearing each other’s eyeballs out over which WRs they prefer. I went with the player that was the subject of the best reasoned argument I found in my searching. I hope fans who regularly have such arguments will keep the infighting to a minimum here/

There is no way to get one of these right and most aren’t close, though for some reason Mel Kipper keeps getting paid, but it is an enjoyable effort because it is fun, educational, and lets fans bask in the promise of a new season where everyone is undefeated. I enjoy the feedback and appreciate the time y’all put in to debating my mock. Y’all make it worthwhile. It also provides a great distraction from work.

I tried to mock players who have been associated with teams or already taken trips with the corresponding team, but that proved rather difficult. If anyone knows of a website where that information is centralized, that’d be helpful.

Anyway, this is my mock. Please use the Subject to list the team the message will be addressing. Thanks again.

1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford: The Colts feel pretty confident about Luck it seems. You don’t part with your franchise, Super Bowl winning QB unless you are. That is why the Colts don’t risk it on RG3 and stick with Luck. Imagine the outrage if they pass on the heir apparent to Manning for a Michael Vick/Cam Newton prodigy and he doesn’t win them a Super Bowl. The Colts let go of a lot of veteran players, so look for them to go young accordingly. Helping Luck succeed will probably be a focus early on. I see them going after TE, O-line, and WR after the Polian PurgeTM. Getting some pieces to fit the 3-4 could happen, depending on how comfortable the Colts’ are with throwing Luck out there with their current depleted offense.

2. TRADE (Rams get Washington’s 2012, 2013, and 2014 first rounders and 2012 second): Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor: No one else is worth the king’s ransom Washington paid to get this pick. They need secondary help (with a kick return option), a long-term replacement at RT, and someone to replace (now or eventually) London Fletcher. A wide receiver wouldn’t be the worst choice in a later round.

3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, OT, Southern California: A line that gave up the fifth most sacks on a rookie quarterback is not something that can continue if they want Ponder to develop and validate his selection with last year’s 12th pick. Kalil is pretty much universally seen as a top talent and LT is a position of need. Ponder will be thrilled. Getting targets will also be a priority later, as will upgrading the aging D-line, and getting a corner.

4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama: Clearly the Brown’s biggest need is at QB, but I don’t think the Browns are going to jump at the consultation prize of Tannehill. Instead they decide to replace Peyton Hillis. Blackmon can’t pass to himself, but Richardson can make his own plays. The Browns upgrade a position of need and get value, something no other player offers at this point in the draft. They could always trade down. Getting a Claiborne/Haden tandem would be amazing, but hard to justify (given the other players who fit need and value available and this year’s strong corner class) when you have the second best pass defense last year. With this draft’s depth at WR, I can’t see the Browns passing on one of the premiere blue chip runners in the last five to ten years for Blackmon. I know some Browns fans don’t like it, but it makes the most sense with Peyton Hillis gone. With so many picks, expect them to go all over the board.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB, Louisiana State: The Bucs made a huge splash in free agency, addressing serious needs with serious talent. With Richardson gone they go after best player available; which also happens to bolster a position of need. Ronde is on his last leg, Talib’s legal issues make him uncertain, and there is no one else but the newly acquired Wright. They still have cap space and there is time in free agency, so they might address their LB needs in FA, but no LB is worth this pick, so look in the later rounds for an upgrade. RB and OT probably get picked early.

6. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State: Losing Brandon Lloyd sealed this pick for the Rams. They need a legitimate passing target for Sam Bradford after a season that made it pretty clear Austin Pettis, Greg Salas, nor any other of their receivers fit the role. Sure, they have plenty of other needs; but with the money they invested in Bradford as the future of the franchise, they need results (and preferably soon). The Rams can’t afford to be a bottom five team in almost every desirable offensive statistic again this year. Plus, they have an extra second this year and additional firsts for the next two years to tinker away with. Grabbing someone to protect Sam Bradford is possible, but with their plethora of picks, I think they get O-line later. With the help of Washington’s pick, they’ll also have the luxury to grab some defense early on.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina: Wide Receiver remains a pressing need, even after the Jags secured Laurent Robinson to a long-term deal, but Gabbert is going to have to work with what he has (until later rounds). Part of Gabbert’s problems stem from an offensive line that leaks like a sieve, but the talent discrepancy between the remaining first and second round RTs and DEs isn’t close. While the Jags will pass on Jonathon Martin and Riley Reiff; it is safe to assume Mike Adams, Kelechi Osemele, or Brandon Washington will probably be available when the Jags pick in the second and there will still be talent in the third. A comparable DE to Coples will be harder to find with the second rounder. They play the odds to get a big defensive playmaker and in doing so, address their sack-luster defense.

8. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M: I think the Dolphins realized they can’t win with Matt Moore and Brandon Marshall and made changes. They traded the better part of that tandem for little (relatively). I can’t imagine them sticking with Moore and trying to replace Marshall with a guy like Floyd as their plan for the future. It just doesn’t make sense. I stick with the popular choice and say Tannehill will join former head coach, Mike Sherman (now Dolphins Offensive Coordinator) and take his talents to South Beach. The Phins have needs at O-line, absolutely need a replacement for Brandon Marshall, and would love to see a pass rusher at some point; but quarterbacks are the NFL’s currency and the Dolphins are broke. Look for Miami to go after a DE/OLB in the second or third, and they may look for a RT upgrade. If a great WR falls to them early, they may snap him up.

9. Carolina Panthers: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State: The Panthers front office isn’t one of the ten teams bringing in Kirkpatrick, so it looks like they’ve made a decision to go in a different direction. Instead of grabbing the big, physical, project Brockers; they go with one of the most NFL ready D-linemen in the draft. Playing Drew Brees and Matt Ryan twice a year, makes it critical that you be able to defend the pass pretty well. The breakdown is as much on the line of scrimmage as it is covering passing routes. Corner will probably have to be a second round choice after passing up on Kirkpatrick.

10. Buffalo Bills: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame: The Bills upgraded their D-line in Free Agency, bringing in Mario Williams and Mark Anderson. With great DE/OLB choices later, the Bills choose to get Fitz a target rather than protection (they can afford to since he was the least sacked starting QB in the league last year). Replacing Demetrius Bell, who left in Free Agency for Philly, will come later. The third worst sacking defense could use some help, so rather than using an early pick to put pass rush pressure on opposing QBs (covered in FA), they’ll get secondary help to keep the ball in the pocket.

11. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Kuechly, MLB, Boston College: The Chiefs have addressed their immediate needs at OT, TE, and CB; and brought in depth at RB in Free Agency. They have two major needs, at NT and OG. But they grab Luke Kuechly because he is that good. The guy has recorded a top two finish in the entire NCAA in solo tackles and total tackles all three seasons of his college career. I think adding Winston to the line will allow them to pass on O-line and I don’t think they’ll leap for Poe. Expect them to address those needs quickly though.

12. Seattle Seahawks: Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB, South Carolina: Right now, Pete Carroll’s pass rush consists mostly of Chris Clemons. When Melvin Ingram falls past the Jags and Bills, he gets scooped up. Able to rush off the edge or play OLB in a 3-4 package; Ingram will be an immediate upgrade to the pass rush unit. ILB is certainly a possibility, but with depth at LBer in the second, they grab someone else to contribute later as well. WR is a need, but with Floyd gone they pass and I don’t see them passing up Ingram. Interior line is another common pick, but that is also a position of depth in this year’s draft. In the end, I think getting Matt Flynn takes a lot of pressure off the front office and lets them address something other than their moribund offense, so I expect they go to the other side of the ball here.

13. Arizona Cardinals: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa: After paying the $7 million bonus to Kevin Kolb, it is safe to assume protection is going to be a priority (especially with Kolb’s history of head injuries). So far the Cardinals have signed Levi Brown and Adam Snyder, but that won’t be enough to turn around the line that gave up the second most sacks in the league. They pick the Iowa talent Reiff in the hopes that he can channel fellow Hawkeye Brian Bulaga. He can fit right in and slide Brown to RT. While fixing interior line is a consideration, the benefit of protecting Kolb’s blindside outweighs getting Decastro. Speed WR and rush OLB are both needs, but can be addressed later.

14. Dallas Cowboys: David Decastro, OG, Stanford: Yes, Jerry Jones doesn’t draft offensive linemen back to back, but he will. Decastro is talented enough to help with every aspect of the Cowboy’s offense, making holes to run through and giving Romo time to make plays. The Cowboys did an outstanding job in free agency addressing needs with improvements rather than place holders. Acquiring Carr probably ensures they don’t go after CB early, while getting Pool makes a Barron less necessary, and the signing of Dan Conner and franchising of Anthony Spencer makes linebacker less of a priority. Getting a serious nose tackle is a possibility and trying to replace Laurent Robinson’s 11 touchdowns could be an early focus, but chances are they see the success that Tyron Smith had and get him help.

15. Philadelphia Eagles: Michael Brockers, DT, Louisiana State: Adding DeMeco Ryans makes the LB pick unnecessary, though possible. A big, physical, athletic DT like Brockers will help upgrade the pass rush and be a run stopper to help ease the last year’s run issues. Brockers will be able to supplement improved LB play and create the type of defense needed in the run heavy NFC East (See Murray, RG3, and the Giants). Expect Philly to improve secondary with later picks, though don’t be surprised in a WR gets picked early too. A linebacker will be picked at some point, since Ryans will need help and could use a back up given his injury issues.

16. New York Jets: Courtney Upshaw, DE/OLB, Alabama: Since Rex Ryan managed to convince management they needed to give the Mark Sanchez experiment another go, they need to give him targets. With Floyd gone, they get Ryan the experienced, athletic 3-4 OLB that he needs to pressure the QB. He offers tons of speed, instincts, and isn’t awful in coverage. Expect immediate safety help, a wide receiver, and a running back later.

17. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland): Cordy Glenn, OT/OG, Georgia: Glenn has secured himself as a top 25 pick with a great showing at the combine. The Bengals decide to grab Glenn at 17 instead of hoping he falls to 21 out of fear that the Chargers or Bears snap him up. He has experience playing in multiple positions on the offensive line, so he can get plugged in wherever he is needed. He is obscenely strong and is projected to be an NFL Guard, which is one reason I see him going before Stanford LT Jonathan Martin.

18. San Diego Chargers: Mark Barron, SS, Alabama: The Chargers are have a lot of the pieces, they just need to make it click. While it is pretty clear Chargers fans are giving up on the Larry English experiment, the depth at OLB makes it possible for them to wait. Replacing Tolbert’s production will be addressed at some point, as will finding help/replacement/backup for Antonio Gates. I think they grab Barron because he is the best player on their board at a position they can afford to upgrade at.

19. Chicago Bears: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford: The Bears face two of the top five passers in the NFL twice a year. Chicago ranked in the bottom five pass defenses and bottom half in sacks. That shouldn’t happen when all the team’s in the NFC North were among the top half of most sacked teams in the NFL. The Bears got 12 sacks against the NFC North, the Vikings got 24, the Lions got 18, and the Packers managed only 11. These both point towards a need for help on the offensive and defensive line for the Bears. To make Cutler a top five passer, Brandon Marshall and an improved O-line are needed. The three year starter at LT for Andrew Luck should be a good fit to keeping Cutler off his back as much as possible. They could grab OLB/DE, interior line, corner, or additional wide receiver; but with the trade for Brandon Marshall, they can afford to focus on the line. Expect them to address those positions later. Lots of mocks have a pass rusher going to the Bears in the first, but I think they can find pass rush even in the third and can’t find a starting LT with their second or later.

20. Tennessee Titans: Nick Perry, DE/OLB, Southern California: Failure. The Titans miss on returning Peyton to the state that made him famous. The grabbed Hutchinson in an attempt to lure Peyton home, but without him, I doubt they decide to use this pick to further improve their battered O-line (though they might later). Perry can help immediately plug in on the line and help bring the pressure the Titans need to avoid being the 31st best sacking defense in the NFL again next year. Perry will spike those numbers in a hurry. Perry has great size and incredible speed. The only linebacker who was faster was Bruce Irvin, who is 25 pounders lighter. No D-lineman got close to Perry’s 4.64 40 time. He will be great in a 4-3 DE pass rush position and can fill in at 3-4 OLB if needed. Secondary is also an immediate need, but I think they grab a top DE instead of a addressing a deep secondary. Getting a new center and a DT to help bring back the defensive line that made the Titans dangerous will be planned as well.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama: The Bengals benefit tremendously from Kirkpatrick’s poor choices, as he free falls from top ten to the bottom half of the first. I know that the Bengals grabbed Terrance Newman in FA, but as a Cowboys fan, I can tell you with certainty that he isn’t the answer. Rather than replace Keith Rivers, who they traded to the Giants, they get the best value they can. No running back picked here would offer more value, and so they get incredible value and address need.

22. Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta): Janoris Jenkins, CB, Northern Alabama: The Browns passed on Claiborne and miss out on Floyd and Glenn. With no other interior linemen or receivers worth the pick, I see them getting a top talent who fell because of personal issues. The second will be a great place to grab a receiver and finding a backup/replacement for McCoy could happen in the third or fourth. The question is if the Browns decide to get a RT or OLB early. I think they wait till the fourth and fifth and grab one of the talents that manages to fall to them. I really see this as a strong draft class, which means they are bound to get value from cusp early rounders given their early draft position. I also think they Browns will look at Jenkins tape at Florida, playing next to Joe Haden and see a great future for their secondary.

23. Detroit Lions: Stephen Gilmore, CB, South Carolina: Losing Wright makes this pick a good value, position of need, BPA pick. They resigned Backus and franchised Avril, so I don’t see the Lions grabbing a O-lineman once Glenn is gone or going front seven once Kuechly and Upshaw are picked. They upgrade a secondary that faces Rodgers and now Brandon Marshall twice a year, which will pay dividends.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis: Casey Hampton is getting older and is a free agent next year, so they pick the big questionmark of this draft. Besides being an incredible athlete (especially for his size), he is the only real guaranteed first round NT in this year’s draft. Brockers is reportedly projected as a 3-4 end or 4-3 tackle; same as Still, Worthy, or Cox (and none have Poe’s size). It doesn’t hurt that Poe has favorable measurables to Haloti Ngata and Paul Soliai. Dick LeBeau doesn’t usually have rookies starting in his defense, so Poe would get some time sitting behind Hampton before he has to step in and produce. If there is any team that can help develop Poe’s potential into product, it is the Steelers. There are needs at interior offensive line, outside linebacker, and secondary; but I don’t see them letting Poe fall any further.

25. Denver Broncos: Devon Still, DT, Penn State: Do they decide to go after someone to protect the recovering Peyton, or address the defense that spurred the Broncos into the playoffs? Corner, inside linebacker, and both sides of the line can get improved, Konz is more injured than Peyton, so chances are they try to address center at some later point. RB is also a big need. They pick Still to get the type of help inside the middling rush defense to compliment their excellent pass rush.

26. Houston Texans: Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech: Texans fans are demanding a big, fast WR and will not take no for an answer. Replacing Mario Williams, DeMeco Ryans, or Eric Winston can wait. With the core of the defense blown up and the line a bit shaky, it really is tough to tell who the Texans would pick; but the physical performance Hill put on at the combine and the very real need to give Matt Schaub more targets than just Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels could be enough.

27. New England Patriots: Andre Branch, DE/OLB, Clemson: What does a team that came minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, is coached by an evil genius, and has a million picks do? They copy their enemies. Pass rush will be the order of the day after free agency brings in several great receivers. Their second worst pass defense was a product of their pass rush as much as their young secondary. By no means does it look like Branch would be a lock for filling that hole, he’d make a dent. Good size, great speed, and a dynamic playmaker with several years of starting time under his belt. They pick Branch over Mercilus because Branch’s quicker speed off the block and proven experience rather than the one year starter. They pass on Barron to get a pass rusher with prototypical numbers and some of the most upside in this year’s draft.

28. Green Bay Packers: Whitney Mercilus, DE/OLB, Illinois: Pass Rush help is going to be a focus so they get a running partner for Clay Matthews. Green Bay had the worst pass defense in the NFL, but lead the league in defensive interceptions. They can address secondary needs later, but right now they have to get the guys they need to get to the quarterback. Mercilus is going to add pressure and help free up Clay Matthews and the 3-4 DE they grab in the second to draw blockers for big plays. Expect offensive line, running back, and secondary help later too.

29. Baltimore Ravens: Donta' Hightower, ILB, Alabama: After Glenn gets snapped up, they grab the high intensity, smart, athletic ILB that led the way to two national championships. The Ravens are in pretty good shape, and have the opportunity to draft depth rather than addressing serious needs. Finding a safety or linebacker to groom will happen, as their All-Pro players get older and prepare to retire. They need to find a replacement for Grubbs and an eventual replacement for Birk at some point as well. Although finding a long-term center is a need, I think they pass on Konz, who has a history of serious injuries. I expect to see a WR taken as well. Since defense is what Baltimore does, I see them going defense early before the move on O-line and receiver.

30. San Francisco 49ers: Kevin Zietler, OG/OT/OC, Wisconsin: The 49ers are fortunate that they are young, talented, and well coached because it gives them the luxury of going BPA for need. Getting back Rogers and signing Manningham helps secure up the big needs they had going into free agency. Now they grab the best available lineman and decide to go after their other needs/wants at corner, wide receiver, and a second tight end later. If they get value and talent with the rest of their picks, they could be serious Super Bowl contenders next year.

31. New England Patriots: Kendall Reyes, DT/DE, Connecticut: Since the Patriots lost the Super Bowl, they have improved at WR, pass rush, and returned the necessary players on O-line. They still need to make adjustments at 3-4 DE, secondary, RB, and maybe safety but their choices have been narrowed for them. Since 3-4 pass rush emphasizes OLB, the Pats took Branch. Now they make sure they grab value by getting the DE who will bring the pressure possible to help Branch succeed. Reyes had one of the quickest 40s and second most reps for a D-lineman at the combine, showing scouts the agility and explosiveness that the Pats are going to be looking for.

32. New York Giants: Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers: After picking up a new TE and grabbing secondary help, the Super Bowl Champions have to find the answer to their expiring O-line needs, LB, and replacing Mario Manningham and Brandon Jacobs. Stacy Andrews, Kareem McKenzie, and Tony Ugoh all are free agents and can be improved upon. Giants fans seem pretty high on Konz, despite past injury woes, but they are also screaming for WR. Sanu is the preferred WR, so he goes over Jeffery. What the Giants need to get the most value out of this pick.

Round 2

33. St. Louis Rams: Zach Brown, LB, North Carolina:

34. Indianapolis Colts: Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford:

35. Minnesota Vikings: Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina:

36. Tampa Bay Bucs: Doug Martin, RB, Boise State:

37. Cleveland Browns: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor:

38. Jacksonville Jaguars: Rueben Randle, WR, Louisiana State:

39. St. Louis Rams (from Washington): Jerel Worthy DT, Michigan State:

40. Carolina Panthers: Josh Robinson, CB/KR, Central Florida:

41. Buffalo Bills: Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State:

42. Miami Dolphins: Bobby Massie, OT, Mississippi:

43. Seattle Seahawks: Mychal Kendricks, LB, California:

44. Kansas City Chiefs: Kelechi Osmele, OG/OT, Iowa State:

45. Dallas Cowboys: Harrison Smith, SS, Notre Dame:

46. Philadelphia Eagles: Shea McClellin, DE/OLB, Boise State:

47. New York Jets: Juron Criner, WR, Arizona:

48. New England Patriots (from OAK): Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin:

49. San Diego Chargers: Vinny Curry, DE/OLB, Marshall:

50. Chicago Bears: Chandler Jones, DE, Syracuse:

51. Philadelphia (from AZ): Trumaine Johnson, CB/S, Montana:

52. Tennessee Titans: Jayron Hosley, CB/KR, Virginia Tech:

53. Cincinnati Bengals: Lavonte David, LB, Nebraska:

54. Detroit Lions: Bobby Wagner, LB, Utah State:

55. Atlanta Falcons: Amini Silotalu, OG/OT, Midwestern St:

56. Pittsburgh Steelers: Brandon Brooks, OG, Miami (Ohio):

57. Denver Broncos: Brandon Thompson, DT, Clemson:

58. Houston Texans: Alameda Ta'amu, NT, Washington:

59. New Orleans Saints: *FORFEITED*

60. Green Bay Packers: Jared Crick, DE, Nebraska:

61. Baltimore Ravens: Jeff Allen, OG/OT, Illinois:

62. San Francisco 49ers: Billy Winn, DT/DE, Boise State:

63. New England Patriots: Markelle Martin, FS, Oklahoma State:

64. New York Giants: David Wilson, RB, Virginia Tech:

Round 3

65. Indianapolis Colts: Chris Givens, WR, Wake Forest:

66. St. Louis Rams: Lamar Miller, RB, Miami:

67. Minnesota Vikings: Jamell Flemming, CB, Oklahoma:

68. Cleveland Browns: Brandon Weeden, QB, Oklahoma State:

69. Tampa Bay Bucs: Ronnell Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma:

70. Washington Redskins: Casey Heyward, CB, Vanderbilt:

71. Jacksonville Jaguars: Mitchell Schwarts, OT, California:

72. Buffalo Bills: Trevin Wade, CB, Arizona:

73. Miami Dolphins (From Chicago from Carolina): Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson:

74. Miami Dolphins: Sean Spence, OLB, Miami:

75. Kansas City Chiefs: Josh Chapman, NT, Alabama:

76. Seattle Seahawks: Chris Polk, RB, Washington:

77. Houston Texans (From Philadelphia): Bruce Irvin, OLB, West Virginia:

78. New York Jets: Brandon Taylor, SS, Louisiana State:

79. Oakland Raiders: *USED ON TERREYLE PRYOR*

80. San Diego Chargers: Mike Martin, DT/DE, Michigan:

81. Chicago Bears: Derek Wolfe, DT, Cincinnati:

82. Arizona Cardinals: AJ Jenkins, WR, Illinois:

83. Dallas Cowboys: Cam Johnson, OLB, Virginia:

84. Tennessee Titans: Ben Jones, OG/C, Georgia:

85. Cincinnati Bengals: Isaiah Pead, RB, Cincinnati:

86. Atlanta Falcons: Orson Charles, TE, Georgia:

87. Detroit Lions: Donald Stephenson, OT, Oklahoma:

88. Pittsburgh Steelers: Tyrone Crawford, DE/OLB, Boise State:

89. Denver Broncos: James Brown, OG/OT, Troy:

90. Philadelphia Eagles (From Houston): Brandon Boykin, CB/KR, Georgia:

91. New Orleans Saints: Nigel Bradham, OLB, Florida State:

92. Green Bay Packers: George Iloka, FS, Boise State:

93. Baltimore Ravens: Michael Brewster, C, Ohio State:

94. San Francisco 49ers: Marvin Jones, WR, California:

95. New England Patriots: Brian Quick, WR, Appalachian State:

96. New York Giants: Ladarius Green, TE, Louisiana-Lafayette:

97. Oakland Raiders (Compensatory Selection): Josh Kaddu, OLB, Oregon:

Round 4

98. Indianapolis Colts: Kheeston Randall, NT, Texas:

99. St. Louis Rams: Josh LeRibeus, OG, SMU:

100. Minnesota Vikings: Marcus Forston, DT/DE, Miami:

101. Houston Texans (from Philadelphia via Tampa Bay): Philip Blake, OC/OG/OT, Baylor:

102. Cleveland Browns: Zebrie Sanders, OT, Florida State:

103. Jacksonville Jaguars: Ron Brooks, CB/KR, Louisiana State:

104. Washington Redskins: Keenan Robinson, ILB, Texas:

105. Miami Dolphins: Greg Childs, WR, Arkansas:

106. Carolina Panthers: Rishard Matthews, WR, Nevada:

107. Buffalo Bills: Antonio Allen, S, South Carolina:

108. Seattle Seahawks: Senio Kelemente, OG, Washington:

109. Kansas City Chiefs: Chase Minnifield, CB, Virginia:

110. Denver Broncos (From New York): Bernard Pierce, RB, Temple:

111. Washington Redskins (From Oakland): Brandon Mosley, OT, Auburn:

112. San Diego Chargers: Robert Turbin, RB, Utah State:

113. Chicago Bears: Nick Toon, WR, Wisconsin:

114. Arizona Cardinals: Demario Davis, OLB, Arkansas State:

115. Dallas Cowboys: David Molk, OC, Michigan:

116. Philadelphia Eagles: Kirk Cousins, QB, Michigan State:

117. Tennessee Titans: Malik Jackson, DT/ DE, Tennessee:

118. Cincinnati Bengals: Ryan Broyles, WR, Oklahoma:

119. Detroit Lions: LaMichael James, KR/RB, Oregon:

120. Cleveland Browns (From Atlanta): Jonathon Massaquoi, OLB/DE, Troy:

121. Pittsburgh Steelers: Trenton Robinson, FS, Michigan State:

122. Denver Broncos: Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State:

123. Houston Texans: Deangelo Peterson, TE, Louisiana State:

124. New Orleans Saints: Akiem Hicks, NT/DE, Regina:

125. Green Bay Packers: Dwight Bentley, CB, ULL:

126. Buffalo Bills (From Baltimore): Kyle Wilber, OLB, Wake Forest:

127. San Fransisco 49ers: Rhett Ellison, TE, Southern California:

128. New England Patriots: Jaye Howard, NT/DE, Florida:

129. New York Giants: Omar Bolden, CB, Arizona State:

130. Minnesota Vikings (Compensatory Selection): Christian Thompson, FS, South Carolina State:

131. Oakland Raiders (Compensatory Selection): James-Michael Johnson, LB, Nevada:

132. Baltimore Ravens (Compensatory Selection): Tommy Streeter, WR, Miami:

133. New York Giants (Compensatory Selection): Brandon Washington, OG/OT, Miami:

134. Green Bay Packers (Compensatory Selection): Marvin McNutt, WR, Iowa:

135. Green Bay Packers (Compensatory Selection): Cyrus Gray, RB, Texas A&M:

136. Minnesota Vikings (Compensatory Selection): Leonard Johnson, CB, Iowa State:

136. Dallas Cowboys (Compensatory Selection): Josh Norman, CB, Coastal Carolina:

NOTABLE ADMISSION: Alfonzo Dennard: I do not believe Dennard gets drafted (at least in the first four rounds) after being arrested for assaulting a police officer. I think teams will not be interested in spending early picks on players that might not touch the field and have serious character/judgment concerns, even if they are talented.

I am sure that this has come up before and I just missed it, so I want to ask.

Would y'all rather see Ratliff stay at NT or move him over to 3-4 DE and try to acquire a traditional NT? I know that Wade Phillips' defense doesn't require a traditional NT and operates well with a guy like Ratliff, but do y'all think Coach Ryan would benefit from a larger NT?

Poll

Given the strong possibility that the Cowboys address defensive line fairly early in the draft, what would you rather see?

5%

Keep Ratliff at NT, draft a DE

12 votes

58%

Move Ratliff to DE, draft a NT

135 votes

36%

Improve DL with BPA, whenever that time comes in the draft

85 votes

232 votes | Poll has closed

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We've seen what it took the Redskins to trade up. What would it cost the Wizards to trade up to be able to draft Anthony Davis at 1? And other than John Wall, what would you be willing to give up to make that happen? Switch firsts and a player? Two firsts? Maybe throw in a prospect? Vesley? Singleton? Booker?

Or are we content with Robinson, Kidd-Gilchrist, or Beal? Do we trade down and maybe take advantage of the fact that Portland, New Orleans, Utah, Boston, and Cleveland all have two picks and trade down?

Does Eddie outdo himself and trade John Wall and our first for Kwame Brown and cash considerations? There is a lot of talk about who we take, and a lot depends on how the lottery falls, but I wonder how other Wizards fans expect us to move forward in the post-Javale world.

Alright, I've listened to your feedback and in honor of the draft being about a month away, this will be my last attempt until draft week. Y'all are the best. I've heard so much great advice. It really isn't hard to tell why this is the best community on SBNation. Thanks again for the feedback from all our resident team experts.

Again, I have projected no trades because I haven't a clue what types of craziness these GMs will get themselves into.

When you make a comment, please place the team name in the subject line to make it easier to navigate. Thanks!

1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford: The Colts feel pretty confident about Luck it seems. You don’t part with your franchise, Super Bowl winning QB unless you are. That is why the Colts don’t risk it on RG3 and stick with Luck. Imagine the outrage if they pass on the heir apparent to Manning for a Michael Vick/Cam Newton prodigy and he doesn’t win them a Super Bowl.

2. TRADE (Rams get Washington’s 2012, 2013, and 2014 first rounders and 2012 second): Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor: No one else is worth the king’s ransom Washington paid to get this pick.

3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, OT, USC: A line that gave up the fifth most sacks on a rookie quarterback is not something that can continue if they want Ponder to develop and vindicate his selection with last year’s 12th pick. Kalil is pretty much universally seen as a top three talent and LT is a position of need. Ponder will be thrilled.

4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson, RB, Bama: Clearly the Brown’s biggest need is at QB, but I don’t think the Browns are going to jump at the consultation prize of Tannehill. Instead they decide to replace Peyton Hillis. Blackmon can’t pass to himself, but Richardson can make his own plays. The Browns upgrade a position of need and get value, something no other player offers at this point in the draft. They could always trade down.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU: The Bucs made a huge splash in free agency, addressing serious needs with serious talent. With Richardson gone, they go after best player available; which also happens to bolster a position of need. Ronde is on his last leg, Talib’s legal issues make him uncertain, and there is no one else but the newly acquired Wright. They still have cap space and there is time in free agency, so they might address their LB needs there, but no LB is worth this pick, so look in the second for that upgrade. RB and OT probably get picked in the third and fourth.

6. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon, WR, OK St.: Losing Brandon Lloyd sealed this pick for the Rams. They need a legitimate passing target for Sam Bradford and it is safe to assume that the front office recognizes that Austin Pettis, Greg Salas, nor any other of their receivers fit the role. Sure, they have plenty of other needs; but with the money they invested in Bradford as the future of the franchise, they need results (and preferably soon). Plus, they have an extra second and additional firsts for the next two years to tinker away with. Grabbing someone to protect Sam Bradford is possible, but with their plethora of picks, I think they get O-line at some point in the second.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Quinton Coples, DE, UNC: Wide Receiver remains a pressing need, even after the Jags secured Laurent Robinson to a long-term deal, but Gabbert is going to have to work with what he has. Part of Gabbert’s problems stem from an offensive line that leaks like a sieve, but the talent discrepancy between the remaining first and second round RTs and DEs isn’t close. While the Jags will pass on Jonathon Martin and Riley Reiff; it is safe to assume Mike Adams, Kelechi Osemele, or Brandon Washington will probably be available when the Jags pick in the second. A comparable DE to Coples will be harder to find with the second rounder. They play the odds to get a big defensive playmaker and in doing so, address their sack-luster defense.

8. Miami Dolphins: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa: If the Fins hope to take advantage of whatever QB they end up with, they need to guarantee his protection. They’ll be able to try and replace Brandon Marshall later in the draft when they won’t have to stretch to get value, but here would be a mistake. Look for Miami to go after a DE/OLB in the second or third rather than skipping on what many expect to be a sure RT rookie starter. If a great WR falls to them in the second or third, they may snap him up.

9. Carolina Panthers: Fletcher Cox, DT, Miss. St.: The Panthers front office isn’t one of the ten teams bringing in Kirkpatrick, so it looks like they’ve made a decision to go in a different direction. Instead of grabbing the big, physical, project Brockers; they go with one of the most NFL ready D-linemen in the draft. Playing Drew Brees and Matt Ryan twice a year, makes it critical that you be able to defend the pass pretty well. The breakdown is as much on the line of scrimmage as it is covering passing routes. Corner will probably have to be a second round choice after passing up on Kirkpatrick.

10. Buffalo Bills: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Bama: After bringing in Mario Williams the Bills will focus on other needs than improving their already impressive line. With great DE/OLB choices later, the Bills choose an elite corner who fell for making some bad choices. Coming to Buffalo will probably help with that. Adding Williams and Kirkpatrick will certainly help defend against Tom Brady and the rest of the AFC East. Protecting Fitz is certainly a priority (the least sacked starting QB in the league last year) but addressing the third worst sacking defense will get the nod at some point.

11. Kansas City Chiefs: David Decastro, OG, Stanford: The Chiefs have addressed their immediate needs at OT, TE, and CB; and brought in depth at RB in Free Agency. They have two major needs, at NT and OG. Protecting Matt Cassel (or the guy who replaces him) has to be in the front office’s mind, and so they go after BPA and get a major part of Andrew Luck’s success. If they don’t get DeCastro, expect them to get depth in other places, but nothing is more glaring than at NT. Decastro is a sure thing to plug in by most accounts, better than any of the guys on the Chiefs interior line. Put him next to Winston and that is a scary line.

12. Seattle Seahawks: Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB, South Carolina: Right now, Pete Carroll’s pass rush consists mostly of Chris Clemons. When Melvin Ingram falls past the Jags and Bills, he gets scooped up. Able to rush off the edge or play OLB in a 3-4 package; Ingram will be an immediate upgrade to the pass rush unit. ILB is certainly a possibility, but with depth at LBer in the second, they grab someone else to contribute later as well. WR is a need, some people are projecting Floyd, but I don’t see them passing up Ingram. Interior line is another common pick, but with . In the end, I think getting Matt Flynn takes a lot of pressure off whether to move early in the draft for a QB, so I expect they go to the other side of the ball here.

13. Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford: After a paying the $7 million bonus to Kevin Kolb, it is safe to assume protection is going to be a priority. So far the Cardinals have signed Levi Brown and Adam Snyder, but that won’t be enough to turn around the line that gave up the second most sacks in the league. They pick Martin because as a three year starter at LT for Andrew Luck, he can fit right in and slide Brown to RT. While fixing interior line is a consideration, the benefit of protecting Kolb’s blindside outweighs the value of the number one interior lineman. Speed WR and rush OLB are both needs, but can be addressed later.

14. Dallas Cowboys: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis: The Cowboys did an outstanding job in free agency addressing needs with improvements rather than place holders. Acquiring Carr probably ensures they don’t go after CB early, while getting Pool makes a Barron pick unlikely, and the signing of Dan Conner and franchising of Anthony Spencer makes linebacker less of a priority. Getting a serious interior O-lineman is a possibility and trying to replace Laurent Robinson’s 11 touchdowns could be an early focus, but chances are they see the big, athletic Poe and Jerry falls in love. Besides being an incredible athlete (especially for his size), he is the only real guaranteed first round NT in this year’s draft. Brockers is reportedly projected as a 3-4 end or 4-3 tackle; same as Still, Worthy, or Cox (and none have Poe’s size). It doesn’t hurt that Poe has favorable measurables to Haloti Ngata and Paul Soliai.

15. Philadelphia Eagles: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU: Adding DeMeco Ryans makes the Luke Kuechly pick unnecessary. A big, physical, athletic DT like Brockers will help upgrade the pass rush and be a run stopper to help ease the last year’s run issues. Brockers will be able to supplement improved LB play and create the type of defense needed in the run heavy NFC East (See Murray, RG3, and the Giants). Expect Philly to improve secondary with later picks, though don’t be surprised in a WR gets picked early too.

16. New York Jets: Michael Floyd, WR, ND: Rex Ryan got management to double down on the Mark Sanchez experiment, which might make or break Rex at this point. If you are going to pay for Sanchez, he needs more weapons. Enter Tebow, but I digress. Pass rushing needs, aging linebackers, and running back all make the front office sit for a second, but they’ve committed to Sanchez (sort of), so they have to give him the tools to succeed. Whether he can is a different matter altogether. They pass on Kuechly, the best MLB in the draft, because they MUST help Sanchez.

17. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland): Luke Kuechly, MLB, BC: The Bengals did an excellent job filling their limited needs in free agency, and will likely use their abundance of picks to address improvements rather than needs. Safety seems set, corner will be addressed later, the line can be improved but is a strength. Having Rey Maualuga, Dontay Moch, Keith Rivers, and Luke Kuechly rotating at LB will be crazy. Tons of speed and instincts. There is a chance they get an OG, like Cordy Glenn, but I think it is less a need than an improvement and can be picked in the second or third round.

18. San Diego Chargers: Nick Perry, DE/OLB, USC: It seems like Chargers fans are willing to give up on the Larry English experiment. After a free agency flurry, the Chargers have refurbished their offense with playmakers and weapons. Now they will get the pass rusher they need to pressure the weak AFC West. Perry has great size and incredible speed. The only linebacker who was faster was Bruce Irvin, who is 25 pounders lighter. Perry will be a huge boon to a Chargers defense that fell in the bottom ten sack teams and allowed a less than respectable 7.9 yards per attempt (fifth worst). At the end of the day, the Chargers have no real needs they MUST go after in the draft so they grab the best player available with probably every pick. With Gate’s foot injury, TE might be an early surprise pick if someone good falls to them. Maybe go after o-line, but really, they have all the flexibility in the world.

19. Chicago Bears: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Bama: No Bears fans want to admit it, but Lance Briggs and Brian Urlacher are getting older and they need help. Free Agency and the trade for Brandon Marshall have helped address their most pressing need at WR, so the Bears get to plan long-term and get the best player of need for them.

20. Tennessee Titans: Devon Still, DT, Penn St.: Failure. The Titans miss on returning Peyton to the state that made him famous. The grabbed Hutchinson in an attempt to lure Peyton home, but without him, I doubt they decide to use this pick to further improve their battered O-line (though they might later). Still can help immediately plug in on the line and help bring the pressure the Titans need to avoid being the 31st best pass rush in the NFL again next year. Secondary is also an immediate need, but I think they grab a top DT instead of a second tier corner or leap for safety.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Stephen Gilmore, CB, South Carolina: Defense wins the AFC North, and the Bengals need an improved secondary to be relevant. After figuring things out at linebacker and safety, they throw Gilmore across from injured Leon Hall (or replacing Hall if needed) to firm up a long-term secondary squad. No running back picked here would offer more value, and so they get value. Mel Kiper says some GMs have Gilmore over Kirkpatrick, which I don’t ascribe to, but I do think he gets selected before Jenkins despite being less polished on his technique.

22. Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta): Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M: After making such a public attempt for RG3 and the crushing year (physically and in confidence), I think it is pretty clear they can’t bring Colt back in to start. The question is whether they use the fourth pick to leap at Tannehill (who I think is this year’s version of Blaine Gabbert and will be taken too early) or do they wait? I say they wait after losing Peyton Hillis to address that need with the number one running back in this year’s draft. I think he will fall just because the Dolphins aren’t in love, the Bills have a better starter, and the Jags would rather keep up the Gabbert experiment. The Browns fans will be less than thrilled after seeing the excitement in DC and Indy, but at least they get Trent Richardson.

23. Detroit Lions: Janoris Jenkins, CB, Northern Alabama: Losing Wright in free agency makes finding a starting quality corner a must. They resigned Backus and franchised Avril, so I don’t see the Lions doing anything different unless they see a blue chip talent free fall down to them. LB is also a strong possibility here, but they grab value at a position of need rather than making a leap.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Cordy Glenn, OT/OG, Georgia: How is Big Ben still able to move? He has been sacked more than forty times in every season he played more than 14 games and has to injuries to show for it. They grab the versatile Georgia lineman to help stem the bleeding. The Steelers have to hope the addition of Glenn can keep Ben on the field and off the gurney. If they can’t keep Mike Wallace they might try for WR or maybe find a replacement for Farrior. O-line is probably the bigger need though.

25. Denver Broncos: Kelechi Osmele, OG/OT, Iowa St.: Peyton Manning is a Bronco. Wow. That throws this pick up in the air. Do they decide to go after someone to protect the recovering Peyton, or address the defense that spurred the Broncos into the playoffs? Corner, inside linebacker, and both sides of the line can get improved, but one can assume they protect their newest investment first and foremost. Konz is more injured than Peyton, so chances are they try to address center at some later point.

26. Houston Texans: Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech: Texans fans are demanding a big, fast WR and will not take no for an answer. Replacing Mario Williams, DeMeco Ryans, or Eric Winston can wait. With the core of the defense blown up and the line a bit shaky, it really is tough to tell who the Texans would pick; but the physical performance Hill put on at the combine and the very real need to give Matt Schaub more targets than just Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels could be enough.

27. New England Patriots: Andre Branch, DE/OLB, Clemson: What does a team that came minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, is coached by an evil genius, and has a million picks do? They copy their enemies. Pass rush will be the order of the day after free agency brings in several great receivers. Their second worst pass defense was a product of their pass rush as much as their young secondary. By no means does it look like Branch would be a lock for filling that hole, he’d make a dent. Good size, great speed, and a dynamic playmaker with several years of starting time under his belt. They pick Branch over Mercilus because Branch’s quicker speed off the block and proven experience rather than the one year starter.

28. Green Bay Packers: Whitney Mercilus, DE/OLB, Illinois: Pass Rush help is going to be a focus so they get a running partner for Clay Matthews. Green Bay had the worst pass defense in the NFL, but lead the league in defensive interceptions. They can address secondary needs later, but right now they have to get the guys they need to get to the quarterback. Mercilus is going to add pressure and help free up Clay Matthews and the 3-4 DE they grab in the second to draw blockers for big plays. Expect offensive line, running back, and secondary help later too.

29. Baltimore Ravens: Donta' Hightower, ILB, Bama: The Ravens are finally going to have to admit that Ray Lewis is going to retire someday and they need someone who can step in. Hightower is a beast, critical to Bama’s recent successes, and will excel under the tutelage of one of the best LBers to ever put on pads. Although finding a long-term center is a need, I think they pass on Konz, who has a history of serious injuries. Replacing Grubbs will be necessary, but I don’t think anyone will jump out at them enough to pass over Hightower.

30. San Francisco 49ers: Mark Barron, SS, Bama: The 49ers are fortunate that they are young, talented, and well coached because it gives them the luxury of going BPA for need. Getting back Rogers and signing Manningham helps secure up the big needs they had going into free agency. Now they grab the best safety in the draft and decide to go after their other big needs at corner and guard later. If they get value and talent with the rest of their picks, they could be serious Super Bowl contenders next year.

31. New England Patriots: Kendall Reyes, DT/DE, UCONN: Since the Patriots lost the Super Bowl, they have improved at WR, pass rush, and returned the necessary players on O-line. They still need to make adjustments at 3-4 DE, secondary, RB, and maybe safety but their choices have been narrowed for them. Since 3-4 pass rush emphasizes OLB, the Pats took Branch. Now they make sure they grab value by getting the DE who will bring the pressure possible to help Branch succeed. Reyes had one of the quickest 40s and second most reps for a D-lineman at the combine, showing scouts the agility and explosiveness that the Pats are going to be looking for.

32. New York Giants: Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers: After picking up a new TE and grabbing secondary help, the Super Bowl Champions have to find the answer to their expiring O-line needs, LB, and replacing Mario Manningham and Brandon Jacobs. Stacy Andrews, Kareem McKenzie, and Tony Ugoh all are free agents and can be improved upon. Giants fans seem pretty high on Konz, despite past injury woes, but they are also screaming for WR. Sanu is the preferred WR, so he goes over Jeffery. What the Giants need to get the most value out of this pick.

Round 2

33. St. Louis Rams: Zach Brown, LB, UNC:

34. Indianapolis Colts: Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford:

35. Minnesota Vikings: Jerel Worthy DT/DE, MSU:

36. Tampa Bay Bucs: Doug Martin, RB, BSU:

37. Cleveland Browns: Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina:

38. Jacksonville Jaguars: Rueben Randle, WR, LSU:

39. St. Louis Rams (from Washington): Zebrie Sanders, OT, FSU:

40. Carolina Panthers: Josh Robinson, CB, Central Florida:

41. Buffalo Bills: Mike Adams, OT, OSU:

42. Miami Dolphins: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor:

43. Seattle Seahawks: Mychal Kendricks, LB, Cal:

44. Kansas City Chiefs: Alameda Ta'amu, NT, Washington:

45. Dallas Cowboys: Kevin Zietler, OG/OT/OC, Wisconsin:

46. Philadelphia Eagles: Chase Minnifield, CB, UVA:

47. New York Jets: Vinny Curry, DE/OLB, Marshall:

48. New England Patriots (from OAK): Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin:

49. San Diego Chargers: Harrison Smith, SS, ND:

50. Chicago Bears: Ben Jones, OG/C, UGA:

51. Philadelphia (from AZ): Brandon Taylor, SS, LSU:

52. Tennessee Titans: Chandler Jones, DE/OLB, Syracuse:

53. Cincinnati Bengals: Brandon Thompson, DT/DE, Clemson:

54. Detroit Lions: Lavonte David, LB, Nebraska:

55. Atlanta Falcons: Shea McClellin, DE/OLB, BSU:

56. Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Martin, DT/DE, Michigan:

57. Denver Broncos: Josh Chapman, DT, Bama:

58. Houston Texans: Bruce Irvin, OLB, WVU:

59. New Orleans Saints: *FORFEITED*

60. Green Bay Packers: Jared Crick, DE, Nebraska:

61. Baltimore Ravens: Amini Silotalu, OG/OT, Midwestern St:

62. San Fransisco 49ers: Senio Kelemete, OG, Washington:

63. New England Patriots: George Iloka, FS, Boise State:

64. New York Giants: Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson:

Round 3

65. Indianapolis Colts: Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska:

66. St. Louis Rams: Tyrone Crawford, DT/DE, BSU:

67. Minnesota Vikings: Casey Heyward, CB, Vanderbilt:

68. Cleveland Browns: Brandon Washington, OG/OT, Miami:

69. Tampa Bay Bucs: Markelle Martin, FS, Oklahoma State:

70. Washington Redskins: Jamell Fleming, CB, Oklahoma:

71. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Quick, WR, Appalachian State:

72. Buffalo Bills: Nick Toon, WR, Wisconsin:

73. Miami Dolphins (From Chicago from Carolina): Brandon Weeden, QB, OkState:

74. Miami Dolphins: Ronnell Lewis, OLB, OU:

75. Kansas City Chiefs: Bobby Wagner, LB, USU:

76. Seattle Seahawks: Sean Spence, OLB, Miami:

77. Houston Texans (From Philadelphia): Derek Wolfe, DT/DE, Cincinnati:

78. New York Jets: David Wilson, RB, Va Tech:

79. Oakland Raiders: *USED ON TERREYLE PRYOR*

80. San Diego Chargers: Jayron Hosley, CB, Virginia Tech:

81. Chicago Bears: Bobby Massie, OT, Mississippi:

82. Arizona Cardinals: Greg Childs, WR, Arkansas:

83. Dallas Cowboys: Billy Winn, DE, BSU:

84. Tennessee Titans: Michael Brewster, C, OSU:

85. Cincinnati Bengals: Brandon Brooks, OG, Miami (Ohio):

86. Atlanta Falcons: Orson Charles, TE, Georgia:

87. Detroit Lions: LaMichael James, KR/RB, Oregon:

88. Pittsburgh Steelers: James-Michael Johnson, ILB, Nevada:

89. Denver Broncos: Lamar Miller, RB, Miami:

90. Philadelphia (From Houston): Cam Johnson, DE/OLB, Virginia:

91. New Orleans Saints: Dwight Bentley, CB, ULL:

92. Green Bay Packers: Isaiah Pead, RB, Cincinnati:

93. Baltimore Ravens: Marvin McNutt, WR, Iowa:

94. San Fransisco 49ers: Chris Polk, RB, Washington:

95. New England Patriots: Dwight Jones, WR, North Carolina:

96. New York Giants: Bernard Pierce, RB, Temple:

Round 4

97. Indianapolis Colts: Chris Givens, WR, Wake Forest:

98. St. Louis Rams: Janzen Jackson, FS, McNeese State:

99. Minnesota Vikings: Marvin Jones, WR, California:

100. Houston (from Philadelphia via Tampa Bay): Philip Blake, OC/OG/OT, Baylor:

101. Cleveland Browns: Trumaine Johnson, CB, Montana:

102. Jacksonville Jaguars: Matt McCants, OT, UAB:

103. Washington Redskins: Audie Cole, ILB, N.C. State:

104. Miami Dolphins: Aaron Henry, S, Wisconsin:

105. Carolina Panthers: AJ Jenkins, WR, Illinois:

106. Buffalo Bills: Nigel Bradham, OLB, Florida State:

107. Seattle Seahawks: Levy Adcock, OT, Oklahoma State:

108. Kansas City Chiefs: Antonio Allen, S, South Carolina:

109. Denver Broncos (From New York): Tank Carder, ILB, TCU:

110. Washington Redskins (From Oakland): Mitchell Schwarts, OT, California:

111. San Diego Chargers: Robert Turbin, RB, Utah State:

112. Chicago Bears: Josh Norman, CB, Coastal Carolina:

113. Arizona Cardinals: Keenan Robinson, OLB, Texas:

114. Dallas Cowboys: David Molk, OC, Michigan:

115. Philadelphia Eagles: Jeff Fuller, WR, Texas A&M:

116. Tennessee Titans: Brandon Boykin, CB/KR, Georgia:

117. Cincinnati Bengals: T.Y. Hilton, WR, Florida International:

118. Detroit Lions: Lucas Nix, OG, Pittsburgh:

119. Cleveland Browns (From Atlanta): Trenton Robinson, FS, Michigan State:

120. Pittsburgh Steelers: Shaun Prater, CB, Iowa:

121. Denver Broncos: Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State:

122. Houston Texans: Ladarius Green, TE, Louisiana-Lafayette:

123. New Orleans Saints: Travis Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma:

124. Green Bay Packers: Quentin Saulsberry, C/OG, Mississippi State:

125. Buffalo Bills (From Baltimore): Nick Foles, QB, Arizona:

126. San Fransisco 49ers: Marcus Forston, DT/DE, Miami:

127. New England Patriots: Cliff Harris, CB/KR, Oregon:

128. New York Giants: Jonathon Massaquoi, OLB/DE, Troy:

Hey y'all, after listening to your advice, I decided to give it another try and expanded it to four rounds. Love to hear your thoughts and insights. Thanks!

I didn't include any future trades because it is just too unpredictable.

Round 1

1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford: The Colts feel pretty confident about Luck it seems. You don’t part with your franchise, Super Bowl winning QB unless you are. That is why the Colts don’t risk it on RG3 and stick with Luck. Imagine the outrage if they pass on the heir apparent to Manning for a Michael Vick/Cam Newton prodigy and he doesn’t win them a Super Bowl.

2. TRADE (Rams get Washington’s 2012, 2013, and 2014 first rounders and 2012 second): Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor: No one else is worth the king’s ransom Washington paid to get this pick.

3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, OT, USC: A line that gave up the fifth most sacks on a rookie quarterback is not something that can continue if they want Ponder to develop and vindicate his selection with last year’s 12th pick. Kalil is pretty much universally seen as a top three talent and LT is a position of need. Ponder will be thrilled.

4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson, RB, Bama: Clearly the Brown’s biggest need is at QB, but I don’t think the Browns are going to jump at the consultation prize of Tannehill. Instead they decide to replace Peyton Hillis. Blackmon can’t pass to himself, but Richardson can make his own plays. The Browns upgrade a position of need and get value, something no other player offers at this point in the draft. They could always trade down.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU: The Bucs made a huge splash in free agency, addressing serious needs with serious talent. With Richardson gone, they go after best player available; which also happens to bolster a position of need. Ronde is on his last leg, Talib’s legal issues make him uncertain, and there is no one else but the newly acquired Wright. They still have cap space and there is time in free agency, so they might address their LB needs there, but no LB is worth this pick, so look in the second for that upgrade. RB and OT probably get picked in the third and fourth.

6. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon, WR, OK St.: Losing Brandon Lloyd sealed this pick for the Rams. They need a legitimate passing target for Sam Bradford and it is safe to assume that the front office recognizes that Austin Pettis, Greg Salas, nor any other of their receivers fit the role. Sure, they have plenty of other needs; but with the money they invested in Bradford as the future of the franchise, they need results (and preferably soon). Plus, they have an extra second and additional firsts for the next two years to tinker away with. Grabbing someone to protect Sam Bradford is possible, but with their plethora of picks, I think they get O-line in the second.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Quinton Coples, DE, UNC: Wide Receiver remains a pressing need, even after the Jags secured Laurent Robinson to a long-term deal, but Gabbert is going to have to work with what he has. Part of Gabbert’s problems stem from an offensive line that leaks like a sieve, but the talent discrepancy between the remaining first and second round RTs and DEs isn’t close. While the Jags will pass on Jonathon Martin and Riley Reiff; it is safe to assume Mike Adams, Kelechi Osemele, or Brandon Washington will probably be available when the Jags pick in the second. A comparable DE to Coples will be harder to find with the second rounder. They play the odds to get a big defensive playmaker and in doing so, address their sack-luster defense.

8. Miami Dolphins: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa: If the Fins hope to take advantage of whatever QB they end up with, they need to guarantee his protection. They’ll be able to try and replace Brandon Marshall later in the draft when they won’t have to stretch to get value, but here would be a mistake. Look for Miami to go after a DE/OLB like Chandler Jones, Vinny Curry, or Andre Branch in the second rather than skipping on what many expect to be a sure RT rookie starter.

9. Carolina Panthers: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU: The Panthers front office isn’t one of the ten teams bringing in Kirkpatrick, so it looks like they’ve made a decision to go in a different direction. Instead they grab Brockers, a big, physical, athletic DT to help upgrade the pass rush. Playing Drew Brees and Matt Ryan twice a year, makes it critical that you be able to defend the pass pretty well. The breakdown is as much on the line of scrimmage as it is covering passing routes. Bringing in Brockers to pressure the QB will help the corners and will make a big difference is improving a bottom ten passing and rushing defense. Corner will probably have to be a second round choice after passing up on Kirkpatrick.

10. Buffalo Bills: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Bama: After bringing in Mario Williams the Bills will focus on other needs that improving their already impressive line. With great DE/OLB choices in the second, the Bills choose an elite corner who fell for making some bad choices. Coming to Buffalo will probably help with that. Adding Williams and Kirkpatrick will certainly help defend against Tom Brady and the rest of the AFC East. Protecting Fitz is certainly a priority (the least sacked starting QB in the league last year) but addressing the third worst sacking defense will get the nod at some point.

11. Kansas City Chiefs: David Decastro, OG, Stanford: The Chiefs have addressed their immediate needs at OT, TE, and CB; and brought in depth at RB in Free Agency. They have two major needs, at NT and OG. Protecting Matt Cassel (or the guy who replaces him) has to be in the front office’s mind, and so they go after BPA and get a major part of Andrew Luck’s success. If they don’t get DeCastro, expect them to get depth in other places, but nothing is more glaring than at NT. Decastro is a sure thing to plug in by most accounts, better than any of the guys on the Chiefs interior line. Put him next to Winston and that is a scary line.

12. Seattle Seahawks: Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB, South Carolina: Right now, Pete Carroll’s pass rush consists mostly of Chris Clemons. When Melvin Ingram falls past the Jags and Bills, he gets scooped up. Able to rush off the edge or play OLB in a 3-4 package; Ingram will be an immediate upgrade to the pass rush unit. ILB is certainly a possibility, but with depth at LBer in the second, they grab someone else to contribute later as well. WR is a need, some people are projecting Floyd, but I don’t see them passing up Ingram. Interior line is another common pick, but with . In the end, I think getting Matt Flynn takes a lot of pressure off whether to move early in the draft for a QB, so I expect they go to the other side of the ball here.

13. Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford: After a paying the $7 million bonus to Kevin Kolb, it is safe to assume protection is going to be a priority. So far the Cardinals have signed Levi Brown and Adam Snyder, but that won’t be enough to turn around the line that gave up the second most sacks in the league. They pick Martin because as a three year starter at LT for Andrew Luck, he can fit right in and slide Brown to RT. While fixing interior line is a consideration, the benefit of protecting Kolb’s blindside outweighs the value of the number one interior lineman.

14. Dallas Cowboys: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis: The Cowboys did an outstanding job in free agency addressing needs with improvements rather than place holders. Acquiring Carr probably ensures they don’t go after CB early, while getting Pool makes a Barron pick unlikely, and the signing of Dan Conner and franchising of Anthony Spencer makes linebacker less of a priority. Getting a serious interior O-lineman is a possibility and trying to replace Laurent Robinson’s 11 touchdowns could be an early focus, but chances are they see the big, athletic Poe and Jerry falls in love. Besides being an incredible athlete (especially for his size), he is the only real guaranteed first round NT in this year’s draft. Brockers is reportedly projected as a 3-4 end or 4-3 tackle; same as Still, Worthy, or Cox (and none have Poe’s size). It doesn’t hurt that Poe has favorable measurables to Haloti Ngata and Paul Soliai.

15. Philadelphia Eagles: Fletcher Cox, DT, Miss. St.: Adding DeMeco Ryans makes the Luke Kuechly pick unnecessary. Instead, they go after one of the best 3-technique D-linemen in the 2012 draft. A run stopper to help ease the last year’s run issues, Cox will be able to supplement improved LB play and create the type of defense needed in the run heavy NFC East (See Murray, RG3, and the Giants). Expect Philly to improve secondary with later picks, though don’t be surprised in a WR gets picked early too.

16. New York Jets: Michael Floyd, WR, ND: Rex Ryan got management to double down on the Mark Sanchez experiment, which might make or break Rex at this point. If you are going to pay for Sanchez, he needs more weapons. Enter Tebow, but I digress. Pass rushing needs, aging linebackers, and running back all make the front office sit for a second, but they’ve committed to Sanchez (sort of), so they have to give him the tools to succeed. Whether he can is a different matter altogether. They pass on Kuechly, the best MLB in the draft, because they MUST help Sanchez.

17. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland): Luke Kuechly, MLB, BC: The Bengals did an excellent job filling their limited needs in free agency, and will likely use their abundance of picks to address improvements rather than needs. Safety seems set, corner will be addressed later, the line can be improved but is a strength. Having Rey Maualuga, Dontay Moch, Keith Rivers, and Luke Kuechly rotating at LB will be crazy. Tons of speed and instincts. There is a chance they get an OG, like Cordy Glenn, but I think it is less a need than an improvement and can be picked in the second or third round.

18. San Diego Chargers: Nick Perry, DE/OLB, USC: It seems like Chargers fans are willing to give up on the Larry English experiment. After a free agency flurry, the Chargers have refurbished their offense with playmakers and weapons. Now they will get the pass rusher they need to pressure the weak AFC West. Perry has great size and incredible speed. The only linebacker who was faster was Bruce Irvin, who is 25 pounders lighter. Perry will be a huge boon to a Chargers defense that fell in the bottom ten sack teams and allowed a less than respectable 7.9 yards per attempt (fifth worst). At the end of the day, the Chargers have no real needs they MUST go after in the draft so they grab the best player available with probably every pick. With Gate’s foot injury, TE might be an early surprise pick if someone good falls to them. Maybe go after o-line, but really, they have all the flexibility in the world.

19. Chicago Bears: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Bama: No Bears fans want to admit it, but Lance Briggs and Brian Urlacher are getting older and they need help. Free Agency and the trade for Brandon Marshall have helped address their most pressing need at WR, so the Bears get to plan long-term and get the best player of need for them.

20. Tennessee Titans: Devon Still, DT, Penn St.: Failure. The Titans miss on returning Peyton to the state that made him famous. The grabbed Hutchinson in an attempt to lure Peyton home, but without him, I doubt they decide to use this pick to further improve their battered line. Still can help immediately plug in on the line and help bring the pressure the Titans need to avoid being the 31st best pass rush in the NFL next year. Secondary is also an immediate need, but I think they grab a top DT instead of a second tier corner or leap for safety.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Stephen Gilmore, CB, South Carolina: Defense wins the AFC North, and the Bengals need an improved secondary to be relevant. After figuring things out at linebacker and safety, they throw Gilmore across from injured Leon Hall (or replacing Hall if needed) to firm up a long-term secondary squad. No running back picked here would offer more value, and so they get value. Mel Kiper says some GMs have Gilmore over Kirkpatrick, which I don’t ascribe to, but I do think he gets selected before Jenkins despite being less polished on his technique.

22. Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta): Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M: After making such a public attempt for RG3 and the crushing year (physically and in confidence), I think it is pretty clear they can’t bring Colt back in to start. The question is whether they use the fourth pick to leap at Tannehill (who I think is this year’s version of Blaine Gabbert and will be taken too early) or do they wait. I say they wait after losing Peyton Hillis to address that need with the number one running back in this year’s draft. I think he will fall just because the Dolphins aren’t in love, the Bills have a better starter, and the Jags would rather go after Tebow if they do give up on Gabbert (which I think they won’t). The Browns fans will be less than thrilled after seeing the excitement in DC and Indy, but at least they get Trent Richardson.

23. Detroit Lions: Janoris Jenkins, CB, Northern Alabama: Losing Wright in free agency makes finding a starting quality corner a must. They resigned Backus and franchised Avril, so I don’t see the Lions doing anything different unless they see a blue chip talent free fall down to them. LB is also a strong possibility here, but they grab value at a position of need rather than making a leap.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Cordy Glenn, OT/OG, Georgia: How is Big Ben still able to move? He has been sacked more than forty times in every season he played more than 14 games and has to injuries to show for it. They grab the versatile Georgia lineman to help stem the bleeding. The Steelers have to hope the addition of Glenn can keep Ben on the field and off the gurney. If they can’t keep Mike Wallace they might try for WR or maybe find a replacement for Farrior. O-line is probably the bigger need though.

25. Denver Broncos: Kelechi Osmele, OG/OT, Iowa St.: Peyton Manning is going to be a Bronco. Wow. That throws this pick up in the air. Do they decide to go after someone to protect the recovering Peyton, or address the defense that spurred the Broncos into the playoffs? Corner, inside linebacker, and both sides of the line can get improved, but one can assume they protect their newest investment first and foremost. Konz is more injured than Peyton, so chances are they try to address center at some later point.

26. Houston Texans: Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech: Texans fans are demanding a big, fast WR and will not take no for an answer. Replacing Mario Williams, DeMeco Ryans, or Eric Winston can wait. With the core of the defense blown up and the line a bit shaky, it really is tough to tell who the Texans would pick; but the physical performance Hill put on at the combine and the very real need to give Matt Schaub more targets than just Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels could be enough.

27. New England Patriots: Andre Branch, DE/OLB, Clemson: What does a team that came minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, is coached by an evil genius, and has a million picks do? They copy their enemies. Pass rush will be the order of the day after free agency brings in several great receivers. Their second worst pass defense was a product of their pass rush as much as their young secondary. By no means does it look like Branch would be a lock for filling that hole, he’d make a dent. Good size, great speed, and a dynamic playmaker with several years of starting time under his belt. They pick Branch over Mercilus because Branch’s quicker speed off the block and proven experience rather than the one year starter.

28. Green Bay Packers: Jerel Worthy DE/DT, MSU: Pass Rush help is going to be a focus, but with the first tier OLB guys gone they have to go in a different direction. Green Bay had the worst past defense in the NFL, but lead the league in defensive interceptions. They can address secondary needs later, but right now they have to get the guys they need to get to the quarterback. Worthy’s going to add pressure and help free up Clay Matthews and the pass rusher they grab in the second to make big plays. Expect offensive line, running back, and secondary help later too.

29. Baltimore Ravens: Donta' Hightower, ILB, Bama: The Ravens are finally going to have to admit that Ray Lewis is going to retire someday and they need someone who can step in. Hightower is a beast, critical to Bama’s recent successes, and will excel under the tutelage of one of the best LBers to ever put on pads. Although finding a long-term center is a need, I think they pass on Konz, who has a history of serious injuries. Replacing Grubbs will be necessary, but I don’t think anyone will jump out at them enough to pass over Hightower.

30. San Francisco 49ers: Kendall Reyes, DT/DE, UCONN: Justin Smith had an awesome year, but he is 32. The 49ers need a contingency plan and so they grab Reyes. He had one of the quickest 40s and second most reps for D-linemen at the combine, showing scouts the agility and explosiveness that San Francisco is going to be looking for. The 49ers are fortunate that they are young, talented, and well coached because it gives them the luxury of getting a talent like Reyes without sacrificing a need. Getting back Rogers and signing Manningham helps secure up the big needs they had going into free agency (assuming they get a quarterback by the end of it). Grabbing the next safety would be a stretch from here, so rather stock up at corner they plan for the future.

31. New England Patriots: Mark Barron, SS, Bama: Since the Patriots lost the Super Bowl, they have improved at WR, pass rush, and returned the necessary players on O-line. They still need to make adjustments at 3-4 DE, secondary, and RB, but in a choice between the number one safety and the fourth or fifth best 3-4 DE; they pick Barron. Since 3-4 pass rush emphasizes OLB, the Pats took Branch. Now they make sure they grab value at their next biggest need.

32. New York Giants: Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina: After picking up a new TE and grabbing secondary help, the Super Bowl Champions have to find the answer to their expiring O-line needs, LB, and replacing Mario Manningham and Brandon Jacobs. Stacy Andrews, Kareem McKenzie, and Tony Ugoh all are free agents and can be improved upon. Giants fans seem pretty high on Konz, despite past injury woes, but they are also screaming for WR. Jeffery is also big enough that he can transition to TE if needed, though probably won’t be needed. What the Giants need to get the most value out of this pick.

Round 2

33. St. Louis Rams: Zach Brown, LB, UNC:

34. Indianapolis Colts: Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford:

35. Minnesota Vikings: Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska:

36. Tampa Bay Bucs: Whitney Mercilus, DE/OLB, Illinois:

37. Cleveland Browns: Rueben Randle, WR, LSU:

38. Jacksonville Jaguars: Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers:

39. St. Louis Rams (from Washington): Zebrie Sanders, OT, FSU:

40. Carolina Panthers: Jayron Hosley, CB, Virginia Tech:

41. Buffalo Bills: Mike Adams, OT, OSU:

42. Miami Dolphins: Vinny Curry, DE/OLB, Marshall:

43. Seattle Seahawks: Mychal Kendricks, LB, Cal:

44. Kansas City Chiefs: Alameda Ta'amu, NT, Washington:

45. Dallas Cowboys: Kevin Zietler, OG/OT, Wisconsin:

46. Philadelphia Eagles: Josh Robinson, CB, Central Florida:

47. New York Jets: Ronnell Lewis, OLB, OU:

48. New England Patriots (from OAK): Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin:

49. San Diego Chargers: Chase Minnifield, CB, UVA:

50. Chicago Bears: Ben Jones, OG/C, UGA:

51. Philadelphia (from AZ): Harrison Smith, SS, ND:

52. Tennessee Titans: Brandon Washington, OG/OT, Miami:

53. Cincinnati Bengals: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor:

54. Detroit Lions: Lavonte David, LB, Nebraska:

55. Atlanta Falcons: Chandler Jones, DE/OLB, Syracuse:

56. Pittsburgh Steelers: Brandon Taylor, SS, LSU:

57. Denver Broncos: Josh Chapman, DT, Bama:

58. Houston Texans: Vinny Curry, DE/OLB, Marshall:

59. New Orleans Saints: *FORFEITED*

60. Green Bay Packers: Bruce Irvin, OLB, WVU:

61. Baltimore Ravens: Amini Silotalu, OG/OT, Midwestern St:

62. San Fransisco 49ers: George Iloka, FS, Boise State:

63. New England Patriots: Brandon Thompson, DE/DT, Clemson:

64. New York Giants: Bobby Wagner, LB, USU:

Round 3

65. Indianapolis Colts: Senio Kelemete, OG, Washington:

66. St. Louis Rams: Mike Martin, DT/DE, Michigan:

67. Minnesota Vikings: Dwight Jones, WR, North Carolina:

68. Cleveland Browns: Shea McClellin, DE/OLB, BSU:

69. Tampa Bay Bucs: Markelle Martin, FS, Oklahoma State:

70. Washington Redskins: Casey Heyward, CB, Vanderbilt:

71. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brandon Brooks, OG, Miami (Ohio):

72. Buffalo Bills: Tyrone Crawford, DE, BSU:

73. Miami Dolphins (From Chicago from Carolina): Brandon Weeden, QB, OkState:

74. Miami Dolphins: Nick Toon, WR, Wisconsin:

75. Kansas City Chiefs: Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson:

76. Seattle Seahawks: Josh Norman, CB, Coastal Carolina:

77. Houston Texans (From Philadelphia): Levy Adcock, OT, Oklahoma State:

78. New York Jets: Doug Martin, RB, BSU:

79. Oakland Raiders: *USED ON TERREYLE PRYOR*

80. San Diego Chargers: Jared Crick, DE, Nebraska:

81. Chicago Bears: Bobby Massie, OT, Mississippi:

82. Arizona Cardinals: Greg Childs, WR, Arkansas:

83. Dallas Cowboys: Billy Winn, DE, BSU:

84. Tennessee Titans: Philip Blake, OC, Baylor:

85. Cincinnati Bengals: Dwight Bentley, CB, ULL:

86. Atlanta Falcons: Orson Charles, TE, Georgia:

87. Detroit Lions: LaMichael James, KR/RB, Oregon:

88. Pittsburgh Steelers: Derek Wolfe, DT/DE, Cincinnati:

89. Denver Broncos: Lamar Miller, RB, Miami:

90. Philadelphia (From Houston): Sean Spence, OLB, Miami:

91. New Orleans Saints: Brandon Boykin, CB, Georgia:

92. Green Bay Packers: Michael Brewster, C, OSU:

93. Baltimore Ravens: Marvin McNutt, WR, Iowa:

94. San Fransisco 49ers: Jamell Fleming, CB, Oklahoma:

95. New England Patriots: Brian Quick, WR, Appalachian State:

96. New York Giants: Chris Polk, RB, Washington:

Round 4

97. Indianapolis Colts: Cam Johnson, DE/OLB, Virginia:

98. St. Louis Rams: David Wilson, RB, Va Tech:

99. Minnesota Vikings: Janzen Jackson, FS, McNeese State:

100. Houston (from Philadelphia via Tampa Bay): James-Michael Johnson, ILB, Nevada:

101. Cleveland Browns: Mitchell Schwarts, OT, California:

102. Jacksonville Jaguars: Lucas Nix, OG, Pittsburgh:

103. Washington Redskins: Audie Cole, ILB, N.C. State:

104. Miami Dolphins: Aaron Henry, S, Wisconsin:

105. Carolina Panthers: Jeff Fuller, WR, Texas A&M:

106. Buffalo Bills: Jake Bequette, DE, Arkansas:

107. Seattle Seahawks: Ryan Miller, OG/OT, Colorado:

108. Kansas City Chiefs: Nick Foles, QB, Arizona:

109. Denver Broncos (From New York): Tank Carder, ILB, TCU:

110. Washington Redskins (From Oakland): Trumaine Johnson, CB, Montana:

111. San Diego Chargers: Matt McCants, OT, UAB:

112. Chicago Bears: Leonard Johnson, CB, Iowa State:

113. Arizona Cardinals: Nigel Bradham, OLB, Florida State

114. Dallas Cowboys: David Molk, OC, Michigan:

115. Philadelphia Eagles: Marvin Jones, WR, California:

116. Tennessee Titans: Shaun Prater, CB, Iowa:

117. Cincinnati Bengals: Marcus Forston, DT/DE, Miami:

118. Detroit Lions: Andrew Datko, OT, Florida State:

119. Cleveland Browns (From Atlanta): Antonio Allen, S, South Carolina:

120. Pittsburgh Steelers: Vontaze Burfict, LB, Arizona State:

121. Denver Broncos: Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State:

122. Houston Texans: Akiem Hicks, NT/DT, Regina:

123. New Orleans Saints: Travis Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma:

124. Green Bay Packers: Isaiah Pead, RB, Cincinnati:

125. Buffalo Bills (From Baltimore): Kirk Cousins, QB, Michigan State:

126. San Fransisco 49ers: Russell Wilson, QB, Wisconsin:

127. New England Patriots: Cliff Harris, CB/KR, Oregon:

128. New York Giants: Ladarius Green, TE, Louisiana-Lafayette:

Hey y'all, I know FA is ongoing and this can change at anytime, but I felt the bug and went with it. Love to hear your thoughts and insights.

I didn't include any future trades because it is just too unpredictable.

Continue reading this post »

Well, everybody is doing it so I figured I'd offer an idea (crazy or not).

http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=7ybgnss

Poll

Would you like this trade scenario?

21%

Enthusiastically!

25 votes

8%

With reservations

10 votes

31%

Under no circumstances

36 votes

38%

Sure, but it could never happen

45 votes

116 votes | Poll has closed

Continue reading this post »

As always, I have to thank Mocking Dan and everyone else who blogs and mocks for their help. I could never do something like this by myself. My mock is merely a compilation of ideas and observations that were prompted by other people's insights. Thanks again to everyone.

I am not going to bother trying to predict trades. I am just going to try to guess (and explain) who a team might select if they use their pick. The draft order is based on a recent mock I saw. I'll make changes when the order is finalized.

1. Carolina Panthers - A.J. Green, WR, Georgia - Carolina's defense certainly could do with a stabilizing presence on the line that gave up the second most rushing touchdowns in the league, and an elite CB would be a great addition, but there are bigger needs. Carolina had nine receiving touchdowns this season. AJ Green had nine receiving touchdowns in eight games. Regardless of if they decide to continue with the Jimmy Clausen experiment another year or not, having AJ Green to throw to will make life easier for whoever lines up behind center.

2. Denver Broncos - Marcel Dareus, DL, Alabama - I had Dareus going to the Broncos when they were picking at ten, and I think they need him even more now that they have slipped to two. While their pass defense is pretty bad (25th in yards allowed, 24th in passing TDs against, and the second fewest INTs), it doesn't look like Champ Bailey is leaving and there will be plenty of talented CBs available in the second round. The Broncos produced the second worst rush defense in the NFL, the fewest sacks, and a league high 26 rushing touchdowns against them; which makes me think that Denver just can't afford to miss on defensive line. Broncos fans can take comfort in the fact that, at 6-4, 306 pounds, Dareus has the size, speed, and experience to play 3-4 DE or 4-3 DT. He showed that he can penetrate through some of the best offensive lines in college football and can be a game changer whenever he is on the field. He'd be a great pick for whichever scheme the new coaches want.

3. Buffalo Bills - Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn - The Bills have more than a few needs, but they want to get value for their pick, so that limits their choices. The only needs the Bills can focus on with the third pick are QB, CB, or pass rushing DE/DT. Without a clear choice at QB, I think the Bills decide to maybe go after Jake Locker or another QB in the second. Deciding whether to get a game changing DT/DE or an elite CB like Patrick Peterson is much harder. In the end, the Bills look at the numbers: they had the third best pass defense and the worst rush defense in the NFL this year. They go with Lombardi Award and National Championship Defensive MVP winner Nick Fairley to help make a difference against the rush. Fairley has been a dominating force for the undefeated Tigers/War Eagles, with 10.5 sacks, 21 tackles for a loss, and 55 tackles on the season. A 4-3 DT, he has the size and moves to become a starter at 3-4 DE as well. A very physical player who doesn't always finish after the whistle, Fairley has been accused by some as a cheap player, but I think Buffalo will accept this and make sure he improves his play in the future.

4. Cincinnati Bengals - DaQuan Bowers, DE, Clemson - The Bengals had 27 sacks on the season and could do with some more help from a pass rushing end. Bowers has the size and quickness needed to help bolster those numbers, as well as experience in the 4-3. Bowers led the nation with 15.5 sacks, has 26 tackles for a loss, a forced fumble, and even has an interception. He has shown toughness, making 11 tackles in the ACC Championship Game last year, despite injuries hampering him throughout the season. This junior has shown himself to be consistently improving in his college career and will be a great contributor for the Bengals. Rookie Carlos Dunlap put up 9.5 of the Bengals' sacks and the addition of Bowers has the ability to make the Bengals DL a real force. If the Bengals don't think Johnathan Joseph will return and haven't figured out what to do with the dynamic duo, look out for something interesting. Though the Bengals might try to get an elite receiver like Julio Jones or a CB like Patrick Peterson, they will likely to trade if they don't rate them high or they feel comfortable.

5. Arizona Cardinals - Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU - I see Arizona going after a veteran QB in the mold of Kurt Warner (Donavan McNabb perhaps) rather than pursuing a player like Blaine Gabbert or Ryan Mallet. In addition to QB, the Cards have a need at OL, OLB, and CB. Since Peterson falls to them, is the best player available, and fills a need; the Cardinals decide to take the sure thing. Peterson is an incredibly versatile player with elite size and speed, who excels on defense and special teams, and will be a great pick up for the Cardinals.

6. Cleveland Browns - Julio Jones, WR, Alabama - Cleveland's line could do with some work, but like Carolina, they have a greater need on offense: a rookie quarterback without enough targets (and Fairley is gone). So the Browns add Jones to help spark the third worst passing offense in the league. A highlight reel regular, Jones will be an immediate contributor and target for Colt McCoy. Cleveland might trade down if there is interest in the pick since there are several great receivers and this might be a bit high for Jones.

7. San Francisco 49ers - Robert Quinn, OLB, North Carolina - Coach Harbaugh knows the type of QB he likes, and I figure he'll wait a year to get him (or get a veteran placeholder) rather than risking his inaugural first rounder on QBs that neither fit his scheme, nor demand a 7th pick's value. Although there are still great CBs available, I see the 49ers going after recently available free agent, Nnamdi Asomugha or other tested FAs like Ike Taylor or Jonathan Joseph, instead. With two starting linebackers available for free agency, I think a versatile player like Quinn could fill in right away. A new coach like Harbaugh might shy away from Quinn because of his yearlong suspension, but in the end he'll be too hard to pass up.

8. Tennessee Titans - Ryan Mallet, QB, Arkansas - Tennessee has had enough of big armed, mobile quarterbacks. Jeff Fisher has been given a reprieve and he is not going to risk it on Cam Newton. Ryan Mallet has faced elite defenses, succeeded in intense pressure situations, and come out 18-8 (with only one loss against a team ranked below 20). The Titans might trade for Donovan McNabb, but the thought of an aging QB with a large, long contract might not be what Fisher wants to gamble his job on. With a starting rookie QB, Fisher will probably get at least another year to improve, and I think that is enough for him to make the pick now.

9. Dallas Cowboys - Prince Amukamura, CB, Nebraska - The Cowboys biggest needs are at Safety and Offensive Line, but with no top level talent at the positions, they go with improving their aging secondary. A big, fast cornerback with good instincts, Amukamura can be plugged in to replace Terrance Newman or the inconsistent Mike Jenkins. A talented zone player, he could even see some work at safety if things got bad enough. The Cowboys are thrilled that Prince falls to them.

10. Washington Redskins - Allen Bailey, DL, Miami - As we see, year in and year out, there will be at least one player taken way higher than expected by a team that falls in love. This is my best guess. Washington has a lot of questions to address this off-season, especially about the sieve-like defense (2nd worst pass defense and 7th worst rush defense). Allen Bailey will be one of the answers. At 6-4, 285 pounds, Bailey as big enough to play DE when they line up in the 4-3 and fast enough to play LB in either the 3-4 or 4-3. Bailey was recruited to be a LB by Miami, but with his quickness and size, he was soon moved to DL. Bailey's versatility will be a big draw for the Redskins and plenty of other teams. Replacing McNabb is certainly a priority, but since Rex Grossman didn't bomb, I think Shanahan will accept the placeholder and try to trade up for a new Stanford QB next year. Blaine Gabbert is also a possibility.

11. Houston Texans - Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State - The Texans had the worst pass defense in the NFL this year, but their problems weren't limited to a weak DB squad. Though they are young, they are struggling as much from inexperience as from bad pass rushing. Paea has shown himself to be an adroit 4-3 penetrating DT; able to get pressure on the QB, which will give Houston's DBs the help they need to make plays. His ability to get through the line and to disrupt plays is why Houston will fall in love with him.

12. Minnesota Vikings - Cameron Heyward, DL, Ohio State - Have you noticed a trend? (It might just be something I made up) Teams that need a QB are passing in the first because there are so few sure things this year. It happened last year, and I think it will continue this year. Minnesota would like to secure their aging interior line (Pat Williams is 38 and Kevin Williams is 30), but with Fairley and Paea gone, they decide to add some talent across from Jared Allen. Like Bailey, Heyward is a versatile player who can line up all over the place. While Bailey can move to LB, Heyward can play DE or DT, depending on what the Vikings need.

13. Detroit Lions - Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA - When Detroit has to decide whether to go with their number 1 OLB or their number 3 CB, they go with Ayers. With such a deep CB class, I'd be surprised if Curtis Brown, Ras-I Dowling, or Brandon Burton weren't available when they pick next. Detroit made progress on the defensive side of the ball this year, getting towards the middle of the league in pass defense and even putting up fourth most sacks this season. The trouble came again the rush, where the Lions had the ninth worst defense and fourth most rushing touchdowns. Adding a player like Ayers to the LB core will really help the Lions all around. Ayers has shown tremendous ability in almost every aspect of his game. With great instincts, he rushes well off the corner and gets great penetration. In coverage he has shown himself to be smart, good at anticipating the ball and adept at denying the first down. Ayers has lined up at DE, MLB in the 3-4, OLB in the 3-4 and 4-3, on the line in a 5-2, and all sorts of other places. With that type of diversity, Ayers could certainly be a cornerstone for Detroit's young defense.

14. St. Louis Rams - Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pitt - Jonathan Baldwin is huge. At six foot five inches, he towers over most defensive backs. He has great vertical and good open field speed. He even has good hands. In short, he is the perfect gift to give to a new young quarterback in need of targets. Regardless of other needs, receiver is a big hole that the Rams need to fill and this pick will go a long way on the field. A Bradford-Baldwin duo could dominate for the next decade. Although Michael Floyd is usually picked here, I went with Baldwin because of his size and hands. It's popular to say a TE is a young QB's best friend; Baldwin offers all the same benefits and more.

15. Miami Dolphins - Cam Newton, QB, Auburn - Given the allegations surrounding Newton's recruiting, he is a safe bet to leave for the NFL before he (potentially) loses eligibility. I feel he has shown first round talent during his Heisman-National Championship winning season, but his style of play is not necessarily very conducive to getting drafted high. He has a less substantial body of work to scrutinize and more than a few character questions, but his potential justifies the risk. I don't think Miami has given up on mobile quarterbacks or the wild cat, and Newton is their best chance to make it work. Miami is also a team that has not shied away from troublesome players (Ricky Williams and Brandon Marshall come to mind). My guess is that at least one Miami RB returns and they will focus on any FA induced needs later in the draft.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars - Adrien Clayborn, DL, Iowa - The Jags would benefit from having a number 1 receiver, getting safety help, maybe finding a new quarterback, or getting help with the pass rush. With Cam Newton and Ryan Mallet gone, no worthwhile safeties, and three WRs off the board; I think they decide to do something about being tied for the second fewest sacks. Though this has been something of an off year for Clayborn, his career which is defined by steady improvements, will be enough to get him off the board here. He isn't necessarily a pass rushing DE, but he can put pressure on the QB and will draw the blockers needed to help the rest of the line make plays. Some think he might be better at DT, but his DE rush defense will be what he is asked to do the most. Clayborn will be a big help for a defense that needs to improve on pass rush and pass defense.

17. New England Patriots (from Oakland Raiders) - Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama - The New England RB stables have produced an impressive season, ranking in the top ten in every significant rushing metric. The majority of those touches went to BenJarvus Green-Ellis, but I don't think they want him to be their primary back. Heisman RB Mark Ingram could take one of the most impressive offenses in the NFL and make them unstoppable. Ingram is a powerful, bruising runner who can break tackles and get yardage. New England will benefit from adding his tough style to the quick backs that will help share the load. The Patriots could add some size to their line, but with as many picks as they have, their going for value.

18. San Diego Chargers - Cameron Jordan, DE, California - Since Phillip Rivers could make me look good, I can't see the front office making a move for Julio Jones or another receiver in the first. Since they don't have a ton of glaring holes, I see them going for the best defensive lineman available to offset losses in Free Agency. Chargers aging Defensive end Jacques Cesaire is available for Free Agency at the end of the year, giving San Diego as good an excuse as any to bolster their already impressive defense. The Chargers decide to go with the best 3-4 DE in the draft this year, Cameron Jordan. Mocking Dan points out that Jordan could have trouble in pass rush with quicker OTs, but will make up for it as a run stopper. I think that he has the ability to get inside off the edge and wreak havoc on quarterbacks who take their time and running backs that hesitate. He has speed, but has difficulty changing course once he commits to a play. His narrow focus and intensity are better suited to the 3-4 since it provides him with the additional linebacker help. He can be on the field right away for the Chargers.

19. New York Giants - Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin - The Giants have been starting a guard at LT and their RT is slowing down after ten years in the league. Despite being tied for the second fewest sacks this season, the Giants have seen Manning hit the ground far too many times for comfort. Carimi has been contributing since he arrived on campus, and with great size and strength, he is exactly the type of blocker New York wants. The winner of the Outland Trophy, Carimi has been described as the most NFL ready player in the draft this year by some, which the Giants need. Even as a primary run blocker, I think he has shown he has the ability to improve. The Giants get a great deal with this pick and will get a LB contributor in the second round.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin - Tampa Bay finished the season tied for the second fewest sacks and the 28th rush defense in the NFL. They go with JJ Watt to help with both. With 7 sacks, three forced fumbles, three blocked kicks, 62 tackles, and an interception, Watt can be an immediate contributor. He has good instincts that help him track the ball carrier, resulting in 21 tackles for a loss. Tampa gets amazingly lucky and find the perfect fit for their 4-3. He is great against the run, and will produce right away. Though they eventually need to find a replacement for Ronde Barber, they won't use a first rounder this year.

21. Kansas City Chiefs - Micheal Floyd, WR, Notre Dame - Without a great NT or C available for the value, the Chiefs pick an old Charlie Weis standout. Although it won't be a reunion, Kansas City ends up with the best WR left on the board, who just so happens to be another wide receiver with great size and hands. Michael Floyd would be a top fifteen pick in most years, but he had the misfortune of entering the draft with AJ Green, Julio Jones, and Jonathan Baldwin. Not the fastest wide receiver but can really get separation between defenders and climbs the ladder. Able to get hard catches and with experience in a pro-style offense, Floyd will be a great addition for Matt Cassel.

22. Indianapolis Colts - Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State - Another pick I made midseason that I am sticking to. Although the Colts are tied for the fewest sacks allowed, OT is still the most pressing need. Hit hard with injuries, the Colts hope to get many of those players back, so I don't see them looking for WR or TE. What is for sure is that LT Charlie Johnson becomes a free agent in 2011, opening the way for a change of pace. The physically solid Sherrod, a three year starter for the Bulldogs, has been instrumental in the success the program has had this year. Good footwork and agility have been major factors in Mississippi State's rushing game being ranked second in the SEC. He has also shown himself to have good enough hands to help protect his quarterback, who has been sacked only 23 times against elite SEC defenses. In order to extend the Manning era in Indianapolis, the Colts need to focus on getting young OT talent that can keep defenders off Payton.

23. Philadelphia Eagles - Marcus Cannon, OT/OG, TCU - Andy Reid has shown a preference for using his first round picks on linemen (6 of 10 have been on the line) and what is more important is that he likes size. 2004 pick, Shawn Andrews was 330 and currently, the smallest guy on the line is 315 pounds. Marcus Cannon is a whopping 350 pounds and didn't give up a sack all season. Protecting Michael Vick or whomever Reid goes with, will be essential to expanding on the Eagles great performance this year. A physical, athletic player, I suspect a great showing at the combine will solidify this pick.

24. New Orleans Saints - Ryan Kerrigan, DE/OLB, Purdue - A disruptive force for the Boilermakers, Kerrigan is fifth in the nation in sacks (12.5). Although I question his athleticism, he has great intensity and smart instincts. Once he commits, he follows through the whole play. With Jimmy Wilkerson available for free agency and Alex Brown having trouble getting pass rush pressure, the Saints will look for an upgrade to play across from Will Smith. The Saints will be hope that the addition of a pass rusher will improve a 33 sack season and force opposing QBs to make more than an NFL low 9 interceptions.

25. Seattle Seahawks - Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri - Pete Carroll picks the big spread passer from Missouri over homegrown QB, Jake Locker. Mocking Dan mentioned his strong arm, good deep throw accuracy, and mechanics as attractive reasons to draft Gabbert, while his lack of experience with the pro-style offense and his inability to read defenses might cause him to slip down the boards. Since Charlie Whitehurst is still under contract, Gabbert might serve as QB in waiting before taking over next year. Though Seattle has other needs, I think Pete Carroll is hoping to mold his own 6 foot-5 QB to become the franchises' next leader.

26. Green Bay Packers - Anthony Costanzo, OT, Boston College - The Pack need a LT to replace Chad Clifton, who is 34. As much as they like Bryan Bulaga, he is better playing RT, and Costanzo has the size and experience to start at LT right away if needed. Costanzo is often praised for his footwork and athleticism, although he has been criticized for his lack in size and strength. The Packers can help Costanzo gain the size, but it would be much more difficult to get another lineman Costanzo is athletically. Green Bay could do with some help at OLB to put across from elite pass rusher and sacker, Clay Matthews, but I see protecting Aaron Rodgers as a bigger need. The injury bug hurt the Packers this year, but I expect Ryan Grant to be back and don't see any RBs available who are worth the pick. The Packers might pick a CB to sit behind the 34 year old Charles Woodson, but I think Woodson still has time and they can go after a CB later.

27. New York Jets - Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M - A contributor his entire career at Texas A&M, Miller has been a constant disruption in opposing backfields. With 33 career sacks, 17 from last year and 11 this year, Miller has demonstrated great instincts and determination. A 3-4 OLB at A&M, he would be a tremendous pass rush addition for the Jets. Three of the Jets four starting linebackers are over 30, and they account for 17.5 of the Jets' sacks and 17 of the Jets' 41 tackles for a loss. While the Jets clearly aren't hurting on defense, an injection of youth at the position would help guarantee continued defensive dominance. The Jets could use new WRs or a OG, but with Von Miller available, Rex Ryan can't help but pick the dominate defensive player.

28. Baltimore Ravens - Brandon Harris, CB, Miami - Harris ends up suffering from the same problem that Locker and a couple other QBs see: a deep class at his position and the availability of several talented Free Agents. Since so many teams expect to see talent in the second, they go after another position of need, allowing that talent to fall even further. Harris has decent size, is a great open field tackler, can make big plays in the air, but has questionable speed. The combine will show if my concern is valid, and if Harris will actually drop this far. If the Ravens don't choose to go with Harris, they might pick Jimmy Smith or Aaron Williams. Other positions of need are OL and WR, but with the CB free-fall, I think Baltimore is happy to get the third CB picked.

29. Chicago Bears - DeMarcus Love, OT, Arkansas - Jay Cutler has spent the majority of his time in Chicago getting mauled by opposing defenses, and changing that is crucial to moving the Bears forward. Cutler leads the NFL in times sacked (52), and the Bears have no greater need. The question is what OT is the best pick for the Bears. With Costanzo, Sherrod, Carimi, and Cannon gone, the Bears face a tough decision. While there are better rated OTs, they'd be hard pressed to find a better fitting player than Love. Coming from a pass heavy offense, Love's line was able to limit speedy SEC defenders to only 28 sacks (ranked 40th in the NCAA) on the season, despite producing a top five passing offense per game and top ten total offense. He has the size that Chicago likes (315 pounds, which is the average), plenty of experience (tied a team record with starts and served as team captain), and will be able to fill in at LT right away if needed.

30. Pittsburgh Steelers - Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida - This pick might be because I have my orange and blue colored glasses on, but it just feels right. I picked this in my first mock and after hearing what Maurkice said, I am sticking with it. The attempt to transition to Center in order to improve his draft grade didn't work, but the experiment won't hurt Mike Pouncey (though it might be what guarantees he lasts until the 30th pick). The Steelers don't have a ton of needs, but they could do with improving an O-line that has allowed Big Ben to get sacked 32 times this season, despite him missing four games. Mike's twin, Maurkice claimed the starting Center spot in training camp and has started the entire season. With that position filled, the Steelers can afford to let Mike return to his natural position, Guard, and return to the trenches with his brother. Besides this pick being a cool marketing plan, it is a smart football decision. The Pounceys were a dominate force at Florida, leading a line that won a National Championship and produced a Heisman winning quarterback (though Mike was playing defense when Tebow won his Heisman).

31. Atlanta Falcons - Justin Houston, DE/LB, Georgia - A Nagurski Trophy finalist, who leads the SEC with 10 sacks and 17.5 tackles for a loss, Houston has been one of the only bright spots on a rough season for the Dawgs. He has the size and speed to either fill in at DE or LB in the 4-3 for the Falcons. A great pass rusher, Houston will likely be asked to play across from aging sack-master John Abraham or across from rookie first rounder, Sean Weatherspoon. Regardless of where they put him, Houston will fit several needs and add another pass rusher.

32. New England Patriots - Jeremy Beal, DE/OLB, Oklahoma - At 6-3, 270 pounds, Beal is a little small to be on the 3-4 line, but would be perfect at OLB. Fast, aggressive, and smart, Beal has started for three years at one of the nation's elite football programs. At Oklahoma, he moved to DE after playing OLB in high school. The mix of experience, intelligence, and elite speed and strength make be believe he can excel under Bill Belichick.

Notable Omissions-

Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State - I've read a fair bit that he plans to stay another year. If that is wrong, I'll just have to redo my mock.

Greg Romeus, DE, Pittsburg - A beast of a 4-3 defensive end, he has great quickness off the snap. A season ending injury is sure to make him fall at least to the second round, given the strength of the DL class. He could end up with a team that trades into the latter half of the first round, fearing he will be taken before their second round pick.

Bruce Carter, OLB, North Carolina - His injuries will cause him to fall into the second. If it weren't for a couple early leavers, Carter might have managed to stay in the first. A great prospect, but with injury red flags, few GMs will take the chance.

Matt Reynolds, OT, BYU - Reynolds is a big, strong tackle who has good footwork and can hold his ground. While BYU doesn't always get the chance to play elite defenses in the MWAC, he has shown promise when he does line up against them. Reynolds will be a great addition to most lines despite being 24 years old.

Jake Locker, QB, Washington - Locker's return to Washington was met with great expectations and even greater disappointment. If a 7-6 season weren't enough to lower his draft stock from preseason Top Ten lists (yeah, I'm looking at you Todd McShay and Mel Kiper), yet another uninspired performance at the Holiday Bowl might do the trick. This season has seen Locker ranked 81st in QB ratings, 101st in completion percentage, and 67th in passing yards despite being 58th in pass attempts. While in my mind, it would be difficult to justify a first round selection, there are more than a few scouts and fans that are high on him (or just high).

Aaron Williams, CB, Texas - A big, physical back that has great speed for his size, Williams has a lot of experience after two years of starting in the pass happy Big XII. Another player that would really benefit from a strong combine performance after a disappointing season.

Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado - 6-2, over 200 pounds, some people speculate that he could transition to safety eventually. With a great combine showing, he could find himself in the first round.

First and foremost, I have to thank Mocking Dan and anyone else who has made a mock or done scouting reports in the last couple of months. They are incredibly useful and help me get better acquainted with players that don't play in the SEC (and consequently, I rarely get to see them). I feel that my mock and I have both benefitted a great deal from the tireless work of bloggers and draft authorities like Dan and the fellas over at NFLmocks.com. I hope this serves as adequate thanks for the liberties I've taken in presenting my thoughts. Any errors are mine alone. Thanks.

I am not going to bother trying to predict trades. I am just going to try to guess (and explain) who a team might select if they use their pick. The draft order is based on a recent mock I saw. I'll make changes when the order is finalized.

Some REALLY early thoughts:

1. Carolina - Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina - I know this could be a bit of a surprise, but hear me out. Despite character questions, Quinn is the only player who fits Carolina's needs  and gets them adequate value. Fast, explosive, and tons of upside makes Quinn a good addition to a team still stumbling through how to best make up for departed two time All-Pro Julius Peppers. It helps that Quinn is coming out of a 4-3. Mocking Dan compares Quinn to DeMarcus Ware, who's eight sacks would make a huge difference for a team that has thirteen total. He was a huge playmaker for the Tar Heels, and even with a year off could do the same in the NFL. The Combine will show if he is still in game shape, but assuming he is, I think he would be Carolina's best bet. If Andrew Luck doesn't declare Carolina will have a tough time trading this pick, but if Luck is available, there could be a run on Carolina.

2. Buffalo - Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford - Buffalo is thrilled that Luck enters the draft, and as luck may have it, falls to them. Despite holes on offense and defense, the second pick is too valuable to use on anything else given their needs. Luck feels like the consensus QB favorite right now, and I doubt that changes. His game has been so picked over, that I could contribute nothing that any casual draft follower doesn't already know.

3. Detroit - Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU - Peterson is an incredibly versatile player with elite size and speed, who excels on defense and special teams, and will be a great pick up for a young Detroit team. Although their biggest focus should be on protecting 2008 number one overall pick, Matt Stafford, there are no top five O-Line talents in this draft. Instead they take one of the best players available since defensive back is as big a need as any. I can see them trading down with a team that covets AJ Green, since they have enough needs to make AJ Green a luxury for them.

4. Dallas - Prince Amukamura, CB, Nebraska - The Cowboys biggest needs are at Safety and Offensive Line, but with no top five level talent at the positions, they go with improving their aging secondary. A big, fast cornerback with good instincts, Amukamura can be plugged in to replace Terrance Newman or the inconsistent Mike Jenkins. A talented zone player, he could even see some work at safety if things got bad enough.

5. Cincinnati - DaQuan Bowers, DE, Clemson - The Bengals have nine sacks on the season and in some serious need for a pass rushing end. Bowers has the size and quickness needed to help bolster those numbers, as well as experience in the 4-3. So far, Bowers leads the nation with 13.5 sacks, has 22 tackles for a loss, a forced fumble, and even has an interception. He has shown toughness, making 11 tackles in the ACC Championship Game last year, despite injuries hampering him throughout the season. This junior has shown himself to be consistently improving in his college career, and is a definite top ten talent.

6. San Francisco - Jake Locker, QB, Washington - San Francisco won't be taking any risks with this pick. I see them picking a West Coast QB like Locker over a scrambler like Newton or a howitzer like Mallet. Locker has had a rough season, but there have been moments of promise. The top rated Senior QB, he has NFL size and is very mobile for a pocket passer. With a good, young offensive line like the 49ers have, Locker would fit right in.

7. Minnesota - Ryan Mallet, QB, Arkansas - Replacing Brett Favre is hard, just ask Aaron Rodgers, but the Vikings are going to have to do it. After two years of the indomitable Favre, Tavaris Jackson will not cut it for Vikings fans. A gun slinging giant who has lit up some of the best defenses in the country for the last two years might be the perfect fit. With an elite arm and tons of upside, Mallet could bring Minnesota back to playoff contention.

8. Arizona - Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA - With the second worst defense in the NFL, the Cardinals decide to stick with Max Hall another season since the elite QBs are gone and improve their aging LB core. Although there are concerns about losing Larry Fitzgerald, there will be talented WRs in the second round, and they won't risk guaranteeing Fitzgerald's departure by picking AJ Green. Ayers has shown tremendous ability in almost every aspect of his game. With great instincts, he rushes well off the corner and gets great penetration. In coverage he has shown himself to be smart, good at anticipating the ball and adept at denying the first down. Ayers has lined up at DE, MLB in the 3-4, OLB in the 3-4 and 4-3, on the line in a 5-2, and all sorts of other places. With that type of diversity, Ayers could certainly be a cornerstone for Arizona's new generation of defenders.

9. Denver - Marcel Dareus, DL, Alabama - In a draft loaded with cornerbacks and defensive linemen, the Broncos decide to get more talent for their buck and grab Dareus. Josh McDaniels decides there will be plenty of talented CBs available in the second round. With the third worst rush defense in the NFL and a league high 14 rushing touchdowns against them, Denver can't afford to miss on defensive line. Dareus is an elite athletic defensive lineman who can't be passed up. While Alabama has tended towards the 4-3, Dareus has not only the size, but also the speed to excel in Denver's 3-4 scheme. He has been able to penetrate through some of the best offensive lines in the college football, disrupting game plans and shaking nerves. He won the Defensive MVP in the National Championship Game against Texas, and has shown that type of talent all season. Denver is lucky he falls to them.

10. Cleveland - A.J. Green, WR, Georgia - If there is no trades up to get this phenom, I'd be surprised. BUT assuming there isn't, Cleveland might just be the happiest city on draft night. AJ Green is a supreme receiving talent. Even though he missed four games early this season, he has scored in all but one game for a career high of nine touchdowns. There are only eight players from BCS schools with more touchdowns. Mocking Dan ranks Green as the number one talent in this year's draft, and I agree.

11. San Diego - Adrien Clayborn, DE, Iowa - Chargers aging Defensive end Jacques Cesaire is available for Free Agency at the end of the year, giving San Diego as good an excuse as any to bolster their already impressive defense. With Vincent Jackson back on the books, I can't see the front office making a move for Julio Jones or another receiver in the first. Since they don't have a ton of glaring holes, I see them picking the best player on the board who isn't a QB or WR. That happens to be Clayborn, even though this has been something of an off year for him. I think his career, defined by steady improvements, will be enough to get him off the board here. With enough skill to make up for any size disadvantage at DE for the 3-4, I think the Chargers will overlook Clayborn comes from a 4-3 scheme and get a really talented player.

12. Seattle - Ryan Kerrigan, DE/OLB, Purdue - A disruptive force for the Boilermakers, Kerrigan is second in the nation in sacks (11.5). Although I question his athleticism, he has great intensity and smart instincts. One he commits, he follows through the whole play. Pete Carrol will love Kerrigan because he can either pair him across from Aaron Curry to work the run, or more likely move Clemmons over and place Kerrigan at Left DE in the 4-3 (which he sometimes plays at Purdue). Seattle has one of the worst passing defenses in the country, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a DB be taken instead.

13. Houston - Janoris Jenkins, CB, Florida - If having the worst pass defense in the NFL weren't enough, Houston has to play Payton Manning twice a year. A cornerback is an absolute must, and the Texans can't afford to pass on this need until later. Jenkins plays well against some of the best receivers in the country, and with his speed and experience, his game should translate quickly to the pros.

14. Jacksonville - Julio Jones, WR, Alabama - Without a real number one receiver, Jacksonville is in dire need of targets. Julio Jones is an NFL caliber receiver talent that can contribute the day he arrives. He has the size of TO, the hands of Randy Moss, but has trouble with consistency. With time, he could develop into one of the best in the league. Even though Jacksonville has several important needs, with Julio Jones available, they decide to pick the playmaker.

15. Miami - Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn - Season ending injury to DE Jared Odrick could prove costly to Miami's top ten defense. But the Dolphins can't just hope Odrick returns to form next year. Improving on the defensive line they rely upon is necessary to make Miami a contender in the elite AFC East. Nick Fairley has been a dominating force for the undefeated Tigers/War Eagles, with 7.5 sacks, 18 tackles for a loss, and 47 tackles on the season. A 4-3 DT, he has the size and moves to become a starter at 3-4 DE due to some sackluster performances. A very physical player who doesn't always finish after the whistle, Fairley has been accused by some as a cheap player, but I think Miami will accept this and make sure he improves his play in the future.

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I don't really have the wherewithal to figure out how trades will work out, so I'm just hoping I get close.

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