As much as we rag on Getz, his grit, his new batting stance, his possibly-overrated defense, etc. - he has actually been pretty decent this year. Through 163 plate appearances, his OPS+ is 95 (league average for a 2B is 94). From a WAR standpoint, BR has him at 0.9, while Fangraphs has him at 0.7. Extrapolate that out to a full season, and you're looking at roughly 2.5-3.5 WAR (SSS caveat, as usual). So is this enough to make you believe in Getz? Or if not, how much more would you have to see? (This is an honest question, as I can't figure out where I stand on him.)
On 610 earlier today, Robert Ford talked about how the Royals will have some tough 40-man roster decisions to make this offseason. He mentioned several players that we'll likely want to protect from the Rule 5 Draft, including Montgomery, Melville, Sample, Sulbaran, and Joseph. Add to that the UCL gang (Duffy, Paulino, Soria, and Wood), and that's already 9 guys you'd potentially want to add to the 40-man roster this offseason.
Long, but interesting, look at how major league teams' assumptions about pitcher development may be doing harm to pitching prospects.
Im sorry to all my fans i just been told that i have to stop TWEETING, i really going to miss you guys but i wish everybody nothing but BEST— Brayan Pena (@cuban2727) July 16, 2012
"Im sorry to all my fans i just been told that i have to stop TWEETING, i really going to miss you guys but i wish everybody nothing but BEST" - Pena's last tweet
BA has made this post accessible for free. Some interesting stuff in here, especially the part about him and Salvador Perez playing together when Myers was still a catcher.
Unofficially: Sal Perez is up. You heard it here first?— Minda Haas (@minda33) June 21, 2012
"Unofficially: Sal Perez is up. You heard it here first?" - Minda Haas, then retweeted by Lee Warren, and then retweeted by Perez's agent
We keep talking about how Broxton keeps making 9th innings interesting, so I took a look at Baseball Reference. Of Broxton's 24 appearances this year, he has allowed no base runners in 6 of them (though to be fair, there was one more where the only base runner was due to a fielding error). That means 25% of his appearances have been "clean." By comparison, I looked at Soria's 2010 season (which was probably not even his best season despite it being his career high in saves). Of Soria's 66 appearances that season, 21 of them had no base runners (though I counted at least 3 that looked like the only base runner was due to a fielding error) - so 31.8% of Soria's 2010 appearances were "clean." Unfortunately, I can't find this number summarized for all closers, which is what I'd really like to see in order to answer the question: Is Broxton really that bad about creating jams in the 9th, or are we just spoiled by Soria?
Anyone else excited to see Wil Myers face Oswalt?
"[H]e plays a really good center field. His routes and reads are outstanding. He's a better runner than most people think.... It obviously depends on the makeup of your Major-League team, but he can play center field in any league." - Scott Sharp, Royals Director of Minor League Operations
"Rehabbing Kansas City Royal Jonathan Sanchez started for Omaha (34-24) and battled with his control throughout his 2.2 innings on the mound, as he walked four in the third inning and allowed six runs to score."
Jon Baldwin ridiculous one-handed jumping palm/dunk/oop TD catch in final sec of 2-min. #Chiefs OTAs— Josh Looney (@JoshLooney) May 29, 2012
Tweet 1: Jon Baldwin ridiculous one-handed jumping palm/dunk/oop TD catch in final sec of 2-min. #Chiefs OTAs Tweet 2: But seriously, Baldwin's catch was better than the behind the back catch/no catch on Dawkins last year. - Josh Looney
Melky Cabrera having an incredible season -- and swinging at the few pitches per plate appearance in the major leagues. http://t.co/4c4mPcp2— Buster Olney (@Buster_ESPN) May 25, 2012
He's currently OPS-ing .928 while seeing the second fewest pitches per plate appearance in the majors. He's taking a Royals batting approach that shouldn't work, and making it work for another team. Now that's just mean...
Not sure if someone else has already posted about this, but I just noticed that Baseball Reference's page for Billy Butler lists "Country Breakfast" as his nickname. Sweet.
I took a look at Hosmer's stats on Baseball Reference and FanGraphs, and here are some things that stood out: * Hoz has been unlucky on line drives, but not as much as Yost claims. Yost recently said, "He’s probably hit 15-to-18 line outs." BR counts 7. Specifically, BR has Hoz 7 for 14 on line drives. Normal expected BABIP for line drives is .730, so if Hoz was getting average luck, he would still only have 3 more hits, which would still leave him batting under .200. * Regarding line drives, BR has his line drive percent as 11%, which is a significant drop from last year's 17% (as several other folks here have pointed out). However, FG lists his line drive percent as 16.0% (with his 2011 number as 18.7%), which is a much smaller drop. Not sure which one to believe. * According to FG, Hoz doesn't seem to be seeing a different mix of pitches than he did last year. He's seeing slightly fewer fastballs (51% vs. 54%) and slightly more changeups (15.1% vs. 12.6%), but that's about it. * Based on BR's definitions, Hoz has a .894 OPS versus "power pitchers," but only a .277 OPS versus "finesse pitchers." Last year, his OPS only differed by .010 between the two (though it was much lower against pitchers considered in between). I'm not sure what to make of this, but this really jumped out at me. By the way, the URL in the title's link is for the BR page. Here's the link for the FG page: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3516&position=1B
Yost to give Hosmer today and tomorrow off. Doesn't even want him hitting in cage. Prefers he relax, come back strong Saturday. #royals— Mark Carman (@thecarm) May 17, 2012
"Yost to give Hosmer today and tomorrow off. Doesn't even want him hitting in cage. Prefers he relax, come back strong Saturday. #royals" - Mark Carman's Twitter feed (610 Sports)
So now it's just Poe and Stephenson unsigned. Also, looks like David LeGree did not get signed.
#Royals place LHP Danny Duffy on 15-day D.L. and recalled RHP Nate Adcock from Omaha. News on Duffy's injury is expected soon.— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) May 14, 2012
#Royals place LHP Danny Duffy on 15-day D.L. and recalled RHP Nate Adcock from Omaha. News on Duffy's injury is expected soon. - Royals Twitter feed
According to Fox Sports (this is their MLB blog), the Royals have called the Angels about CF Peter Bourjos (something Cuthbert1 actually speculated on a week ago here: http://www.royalsreview.com/2012/5/4/2999296/should-the-royals-go-after-peter-bourjos). Thoughts?
Here are my quick thoughts on the non-Poe portions of our draft. Mostly, this is just summarizing what I've read here and elsewhere around the web, so there's not much original content here. * OG Jeff Allen (Rd 2) - I'm hearing lots of praise for this pick. OurLads.com had him as the #2 guard in the draft, Mike Lombardi (nfl.com) lists him as his top value pick in this draft, and even Mel Kiper liked the pick (though it's unclear what Kiper's hair thought). Also, Allen played OT in college, but they've already said he's going to play guard for us. He projects as our top backup guard this year, and the eventual successor to Ryan Lilja. * OT Donald Stephenson (Rd 3) - The general buzz is that he's raw, but he has the upside to be a good starting tackle in the NFL. If he turns into that, that's a bargain in the 3rd round. For now, he's probably competing with David Mims to be our top backup tackle. Also, he's a local kid, having gone to Central and Blue Springs for high school. * WR Devon Wylie (Rd 4) - He's short, fast, quick, and white - so yes, he's this year's "next Wes Welker." He's had some injury issues in college, but if he can stay healthy, he'd give us some speed and quickness out of the slot. (Some folks have pointed out this is what Dexter McCluster was drafted for, too, so maybe this is the Chiefs' admission that McCluster is a RB, not a slot receiver.) * CB De'Quan Menzie (Rd 5) - Although he played CB in college, he'll probably be our nickel safety, probably specializing in covering opposing TE's. In other words, he'll take over Jon McGraw's role in our defense. There seems to be some sentiment that we got good value here, with Menzie dropping in the draft due to a slow 40-yard time at the Combine. (Interestingly enough, Kendrick Lewis also dropped to us in the 5th round after a slow 40-yard time at the Combine.) * RB Cyrus Gray (Rd 6) - Supposed to be a good all-around back with good size. I'm thinking he's the Jackie Battle replacement as our 4th RB (behind Charles, Hillis, and McCluster). SB Nation likes this pick and has him as our sleeper pick. * DT Jerome Long (Rd 7) - I know nothing about this guy, and I've heard almost nothing since he's been drafted. The one thing I saw was that he's a DE in our 3-4 (instead of DT). * WR Junior Hemmingway (Rd 7) - Supposedly, he has the upside to be a good big-body WR in the NFL. What hurt his draft-stock was playing in a run-heavy offense at Michigan. The other thing of note is that combined with Dontari Poe, 610 Sports was calling this our "author" draft. Buh-dum-dum. So overall, I think my early take is I like this draft. Yes, it was a needs-driven draft (despite all the pre-draft talk about how we were going to just take the best player available), but I still think we got some good players, and there seems to be reasonable upside in this draft. It wouldn't be too much of a stretch to say that by 2014, this draft might have produced our starting NT, two starting offensive linemen, our starting slot receiver and primary deep threat, and our nickel safety. I would call that a very good draft.
In the "notes" section of ESPN's recap of today's game, I found this nugget: "OF Lorenzo Cain will likely be sidelined for a month with a strained left hip flexor." I haven't found any other source for this timeframe, though...
The Falcons acquired CB Asante Samuel for a 7th round pick. That should make their secondary a bit tougher to throw against...
I have been told by a league source that the Kansas City Chiefs love Michigan St. QB Kirk Cousins & will probably target him in 2nd or 3rd.— Omar Kelly (@OmarKelly) April 23, 2012
"I have been told by a league source that the Kansas City Chiefs love Michigan St. QB Kirk Cousins & will probably target him in 2nd or 3rd." - Omar Kelly, Miami Dolphins reporter
"The one that's gonna shake things up is Tannehill," one high-ranking AFC personnel chief said. "I don't think a lot of teams think of him as a first-round pick. I can see a situation where he doesn't go at all in the top 20. That's really going to change things. You got a guy who started for a year and a half. He hasn't really been, from a team perspective, a winning quarterback. He's got good numbers, there's a lot of things there (to like). But they lost a lot of games in the fourth quarter. Why is he not pulling things out? Why are they losing games?" The official doesn't list Tannehill as a Top 20 prospect, and neither does at least one other AFC team. Do the Dolphins? Maybe. But what if Sherman isn't as big a fan as it seems? One decision-maker, who would not be named, painted an interesting scenario, where the mercurial Dolphins pass on Tannehill. What then? "If Miami doesn't grab him, and they got Mike Sherman there, the teams behind them are going to start questioning, what the hell are we doing taking him?" he said. "If his own coach won't take him, why are we taking him?"
Yesterday's (4/16) press conference had a lot of good stuff, but I liked this answer to a question about luck's role in the draft (610 was highlighting this earlier today). If you're watching the press conference video via the link here, this starts at the 14:42 mark. QUESTION: Scott, going back to what you were saying about picking the right player and the wrong player, how much does just pure luck figure into this, even with all the... PIOLI: Pure luck or dumb luck? In my case, it'd be dumb luck. I don't know if luck is the right word, or it's... maybe it is the right word. There is certainly... It's cliche - it's not a perfect science. I don't know if it's luck, I don't know if it's... you know, in the case of a guy like... You know, the one person people love to talk about is Tom Brady. Well, Tom Brady worked himself into becoming a great player in this league. Tom Brady was, you know, Tom Brady was a player that had a certain amount of skill and was in a certain place athletically. I mean, Romeo, you were around for the ascension of Tom as well, and, you know, I don't know if that... That certainly wasn't us being smart at the time. I mean, it wasn't. That's the truth. There's a lot of people... I listen to all the scouts now and the general managers that were around. They go, "I couldn't get our general manger to take him," or "Our coach wouldn't take him." I mean, truth is, we didn't want him until then either! But sometimes, our good fortune, or our luck, doesn't have anything to do with us. It has to do with the player: when they physically develop, when they physically mature, when they emotionally mature. So again, I don't know if it's luck, if it's preparation, or if... it's a combination of a whole lot of things. But I think there's some good fortune that's involved with anything. Besides being an interesting answer, I think it also may be the first time I've seen Pioli joking around and being self-deprecating. =)
This is an interesting piece by Sam Mellinger. His basic argument is: 1. Forbes estimates local TV revenue for MLB teams will rise 50% over the next three years. 2. The Royals have one of the worst local TV deals in the league, and we're locked into it for the next EIGHT years. 1 + 2 = The gap between our salary structure and the rest of the league's is about to get even worse/larger. This is really depressing, though thankfully, I'm easily distracted and... hey, it's Opening Night! Go Royals!
"I’m so loyal to Dayton and my teammates that, for me, it’s an honor and a privilege to wear the Royals’ uniform. My heart and soul is here. It doesn’t matter what happens or who they bring in, I’m always here for my teammates." I know we don't talk much about Pena here, but a la Soria, you gotta love his Royals-first attitude.
Well that didn't take long...
The Chiefs were hoping to talk to Schwartz, but it sounds like the 49ers are his first choice. His agents says Schwartz "is tentatively scheduled to visit the Chiefs."
"7. Offensive lineman Geoff Schwartz — Schwartz has visited the Vikings and 49ers so far in free agency. While a hip injury knocked him out for all of the 2011 season, Schwartz was a 16-game starter for Carolina in 2010. He can play right guard and right tackle, and has experience in both zone-blocking and power-running schemes." I seem to recall we had a visit scheduled with Schwartz. Anyone know when that's happening, or if it was cancelled? I know we got Winston, but it seems like Schwartz could still be an upgrade over Lilja, or at least be solid o-line depth?
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