Hawerchuk

Hawerchuk

  • joined Nov 20, 2008
  • last login Apr 04, 2014
  • posts 1039
  • comments 3075

A Fan Of...

  • MLB Oakland Athletics
  • NCAAF California Golden Bears
  • NCAAB California Golden Bears
  • NHL Winnipeg Jets
  • General Montreal Expos, San Jose Sharks
User Blog

Fun with PDO

26

Fun with PDO

More "Shot Quality" sortable tables: on-ice shooting

2

More "Shot Quality" sortable tables: on-ice shooting

For your analysis enjoyment: Individual Shot Quality

3

For your analysis enjoyment: Individual Shot Quality

Minnesota signs 51-year-old goalie, secret to high save percentage

1

The real backup gets to MPLS airport 30 minutes before game time...

Fenwick Page for 2011-12 is up-and-running

7

Fenwick Page for 2011-12 is up-and-running

New Stats Pages: Fenwick % by Game Score (Alpha version...)

28

New Stats Pages: Fenwick % by Game Score (Alpha version...)

Is there a Truly Great General Manager in the NHL?

51

Is there a Truly Great General Manager in the NHL?

Reasonable Expectations: How Many Points will the Minnesota Wild Finish the Season with?

23

Reasonable Expectations: How Many Points will the Minnesota Wild Finish the Season with?

Todd McLellan: "Winning two faceoffs on the power-play virtually guarantees you won't get scored on."

2

Todd McLellan: "Winning two faceoffs on the power-play virtually guarantees you won't get scored on."

The Columbus Blue Jackets are not the worst team in the league

60

The Columbus Blue Jackets are not the worst team in the league

1st and 2nd Assist Bias

6

1st and 2nd Assist Bias

Todd McLellan internalizes our statistical lessons

14

Todd McLellan internalizes our statistical lessons

Oh, Roy MacGregor, how do you remain employed?

4

Oh, Roy MacGregor, how do you remain employed?

Help Wanted: A writer to cover Game Previews, Game Threads and Re-caps

+

Help Wanted: A writer to cover Game Previews, Game Threads and Re-caps

Some of you have inquired about charitable donations

10

Some of you have inquired about charitable donations

How useful is raw +/-?

You can't put too much stock in to plus-minus, here's why:

On the Perry Pearn firing

4

On the Perry Pearn firing

Today in Bad Stats

10

"the 49ers lead the league in offensive and defensive efficiency...the amount points scored per yard gained on offense. For example, the 49ers score a point every 10.87 yards they gain. They make effective use of their yards. To further illustrate, the 49ers have gained 1,815 yards so far this season, while the Rams have 1,807 yards of offense. Yet the 49ers have scored 167 more points." How awful is that? I can't even begin to discuss how worthless this statistic is.

PDO: The one advanced stat you need to understand

Why PDO is the most vital advanced stat you can utilize.

With Apologies to The Weakerthans...I hate "Shot Quality"

27

With Apologies to The Weakerthans...I hate "Shot Quality"

2011-12 Winnipeg Jets Scoring Chances

3

2011-12 Winnipeg Jets Scoring Chances

Scoring Chances for NHL Game 20055 - Winnipeg @ Phoenix

+

Scoring Chances for NHL Game 20055 - Winnipeg @ Phoenix

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20045 - Winnipeg @ Chicago

+

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20045 - Winnipeg @ Chicago

Scoring Chances for NHL Game 20083 - Winnipeg @ Ottawa

+

Scoring Chances for NHL Game 20083 - Winnipeg @ Ottawa

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20103 - Carolina @ Winnipeg

1

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20103 - Carolina @ Winnipeg

Luck vs Shot Quality in Shooting Percentage

6

Luck vs Shot Quality in Shooting Percentage

Shot Distance Allowed as a Team Talent

13

Shot Distance Allowed as a Team Talent

Mark Scheifele's first visit to the NHL...

17

Mark Scheifele's first visit to the NHL...

The Hazards of Confidence

1

This NYT piece isn't about sports, but it deals with the subject matter we cover on this site. First an admission from someone who examined the results of his experiments: "We knew as a general fact that our predictions were little better than random guesses, but we continued to feel and act as if each particular prediction was valid." And an anecdote that might very well have been from dealing with a pro sports team: "What we told the directors of the firm...was [that they were] rewarding luck as if it were skill. This should have been shocking news to them, but it was not. There was no sign that they disbelieved us...I am quite sure that both our findings and their implications were quickly swept under the rug and that life in the firm went on just as before. The illusion of skill is not only an individual aberration; it is deeply ingrained in the culture of the industry. Facts that challenge such basic assumptions — and thereby threaten people’s livelihood and self-esteem — are simply not absorbed. The mind does not digest them. This is particularly true of statistical studies of performance, which provide general facts that people will ignore if they conflict with their personal experience."

Impact of Winning an Offensive Zone Faceoff, Even-Strength vs Power-Play

5

Impact of Winning an Offensive Zone Faceoff, Even-Strength vs Power-Play

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