Aaugh

JRoth95

  • joined Sep 30, 2008
  • last login Jul 29, 2014
  • posts 64
  • comments 16288
User Blog
FanPost
14

Gamethread, Bucs-Mets 5/28

Morton-Colon, already bottom of the first. Harrison, RF Walker, 2B Cutch, CF Ike, 1B Starling, LF Pedro, 3B Mercer, SS Stewart, C Morton, P Let's go Bucs! Let's go Bucs! Let's go Bucs!...

FanPost
2

Fake Pedro, Cover Model

Check it out, the City Paper has its season preview out this week, and the cover story is about Fake Pedro, who actually has a pretty good backstory. There's also a nice piece on one of the beer...

Complete HoF Results

+

I know no one will see this in time, but what the hell. At the moment, I'm not finding these at the usual places.

Good Analysis on Nolasco

+

We were talking about him in terms of trade the other day, and I was pretty down on him as a guy who, over 1000+ IP, has always underperformed his DIPS. This article acknowledges that, but also puts it in context.

LARS F-ING ANDERSEN

1

Seriously, I think he might be even more talented than we ever knew.

Gary Sheffield is an agent - yes, THAT Gary Sheffield

+

And guess who his only MLB client is? Jason Grilli. Very interesting article.

Brisbee likes our trades

8

I'm actually not linking for his review (which is a good one IMO), but for this line: "Seems like Juan Cruz should be 44 and out of baseball, but it turns out he's still just 33. He's like Jack Torrance in The Shining, in every team photo for the last 50 years, without anyone ever realizing it."

FanPost
20

So, when will they win #82?

Amazingly, astonishingly, we hardly talk about .500 here anymore. I don't need to tell you why this is, but a comment on some thread or another mentioned how many we need to win to reach that...

Maybe this 4-man rotation would work for the Bucs?

12

Put Bedard, J-Mac, Burnett, and Karstens on strict every-fifth-day schedules. Fill in the remaining 22 starts with Correia, Lincoln, or LOW. Hell, use that slot as a permanent tryout position. Use the extra bench position to bring up Morales, who can PH as well as catch, since you keep Fort around as your emergency catcher.

FanPost
44

A few notes on RS, RA, and our Pythag

First, the numbers, as we sit in first place: 32-27 real record, with a 191/208 RS/RA that translates to an expected record of 27-32. So we're well ahead of our Pythagorean record. But as I've...

Why yes, Pirates pitchers ARE getting screwed by the umps

25

At least according to this Pitch f/X-based analysis, which says that we've had more strikes called balls than any other NL team, by a pretty big margin. Framing may be a factor, but I doubt it's the only one.

Fearful Symmetry

1

6 games to go, and here are the win totals for the top 8 teams in each league: 98, 91, 90, 88, 86, 84, 78, 78, 76 95, 90, 90, 88, 86, 85, 79, 77, 76. Now, that's not shockingly similar or anything, but I feel as if it's atypical. In recent years, we're accustomed to the top 3 in the ALE winning more than 15 NL teams (I guess technically, they still could), but even aside from that, it's just odd to see, with the exception of the #1 overall team, such close win totals. I'll be curious to see where they end up.

A little note on Run Differential

5

Rob Neyer notes today that every division is lined up correctly according to RD (except for the Dodgers & Giants). Reviewing the numbers, what stood out to me is that you've got 4 teams at -100 or worse (plus the Cubs at -98). And you've got 9 teams between -42 and 0. But just 2 teams (us and the Marlins) sit in the big gap (us at -76, them at -68). Doesn't mean a thing; I just thought it was an odd distribution. The flip side is spiky as well: 4 teams (well) above +100, 6 between +53 and +80, then just 3 others in the green (including the Dodgers at +1, which may not last). Theoretically, the middle group would be distributed about 0, but instead you have 10 clubs between -42 and +1, with gaps of 26 and 42 beyond that central group. My guess about what's happening is that the 4 monster teams have been so dominant that they've taken it out of the middling teams, such that an ostensibly .500 team ends up -10 or whatever because the Phillies beat their brains in to a greater extent than they could beat up on the Cubs (or us).

FanPost
45

Karstens needs to be shut down immediately [UpdateX2]

[Update the Second: OK, just did some more research on the underlying "Rule of 30." Turns out that "Minor league innings are somehow not the same as major league innings." It's not clear why this...

FanPost
119

Checking Out The NL Central Standings

Aside from the frustration of yesterday's ugly loss (actually, ugly game; had we won, Red Sox fans would have considered it just as ugly), the Pirates still made up ground in the NL Central this...

FanPost
20

Rinku Question

Sorry I don't know more, so I'm throwing it out to the collective wisdom: what's going on with Rinku Singh? Last year, he threw in the Gulf Coast League most of the year, earning a late callup to...

Even good teams rely on bad players

9

As I was saying in a thread the other day, a huge misconception is that contending teams consist of a few All Stars, a few above average players, and the remainder of regulars are about average. In fact, nearly every team, even the very best, carry some dead weight. And here's a quick analysis showing that a dozen playoff teams over the past 9 years have given 500 or more PAs to players below replacement level. So, while I'm a big fan of the idea that you can improve a team from the bottom as well as from the top (that is, replacing dead weight with average players, rather than replacing average guys with All Stars), let's not imagine that the Pirates can't contend until the 25 man roster consists of nothing but solid major leaguers.

FanPost
3

Little contributions

So I was thinking during the game yesterday:  You know what we’re getting this season that’s always a part of surprising, exciting teams? Production from nobodies and scrubs. We’ve spent a lot...

FanPost
42

Signs Of Life In Local Baseball Fandom

Two datapoints from the past few days: I biked past a field at a school and saw a half dozen kids (age 10 or so) with bats and gloves, playing what appeared to be unorganized, perhaps even pickup,...

More insight and background on DK's move

2

From the City Paper's Slag Heap blog. It all came down to his desire to be a columnist; the P-G wouldn't give him a column, and the Trib would.

FanPost
42

Improved Pirates already seeing attendance bump

Per yesterday's Pirates Notebook in the P-G, attendance has increased 21% over last year, up to 20,785 per game. And this in spite of a staggeringly wet and cool spring (although iirc the Pirates...

If these are the best available SPs, Maholm's worth a ton

11

Dave Cameron goes over what he calls the best available pitchers on the trading block. The pickings are extremely thin: after Edwin Jackson (who, by my reading, profiles a lot like Maholm, but a notch better), choices like Jeremy Guthrie and Jason Marquis are markedly less attractive than Paulie (older, less effective, not noticeably better contracts). Maybe Cameron's just put together a crap list (wouldn't be surprising), but my opinion of Maholm's likely return just went up.

PNC Park is the best, again

9

This is simply based on Yelp ratings, compiled by Nate Silver. But what's interesting (to me) is the standard deviations; smaller SDs mean more agreement, and PNC Park has by far the smallest SD in baseball. I know we all know this, but it's kind of amazing that, 10 years after opening, it's still the best.

This afternoon's game rained out

3

Time for another thread about Jose Bautista.

FanPost
32

Opening Day Observations - Off the Field

I was at the game yesterday, but I don't have anything to add regarding what happened in the game. But I wanted to share a number of other noteworthy things:   Regarding the player introductions,...

Over/Under 67.5?

11

Per PBC Blog, Bodog.com has pegged the over/under for the Pirates' 2011 win total at 67.5. As you all know, I think that's way low - I actually went over there to look into laying some money down, so confident am I. So which would you take?

MLB loaned the Mets $25 million late last season. Should have instead forced them to trade David...

4

MLB loaned the Mets $25 million late last season. Should have instead forced them to trade David Wright for Jose Hernandez and Bobby Hill.

Great, snarky line from DK. Has the added benefit of making a legit complaint.

DK Scouts Rendon

3

This is pretty cool: DK just arrived in Houston, where he'll watch Rendon's first 2 games of the season. Blah blah ankle, blah blah future, whatever. Great assignment, and I look forward to reading about it.

FanPost
46

Pirates have 3/8 of best young position players

Per this Fangraphs analysis, looking exclusively at young guys making league minimum - the 0-3 group. Not only do Cutch, Walker, and Pedro all make it, but also: Three(!) Pirates in the starting...

Australian paper writes up Rinku

10

A pretty good piece, actually. He's pitching in Canberra, so.

Showing 1 - 30 of 64 Older
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.