I don't understand where they are coming from. I have a statistical background and subscribe to BP but I just don't get it. Can someone explain these Pecota projections to me? How are all the Rangers young players going to get worse?

How is ISuzuki who posted an EQA of .308 with a +15 defense in centerfield in 2007 projected to post a .271 EQA with -3 defense in CF in 2008?

There are numerous examples like this.

I am starting to just not use Pecota at all.

I think JD is doing a great job. He came in here with a veteran manager and tried the quick fix to win. It did not work. He has since started to build this barren organization from the ground up. He has made tremendous progress toward that end. He needs to keep accumulating talent with an eye towards 2010.