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Jay Stokes

  • joined Apr 09, 2009
  • last login Jul 23, 2014
  • posts 28
  • comments 1234
User Blog
FanPost
1

For the Kevin Towers haters...

A friend sent me a link to Grantland, talking about the Padres. Pretty devastating review, especially of the management above the GM. h...

FanPost
2

Winning with 1 hit

We did it yesterday. When I did a search on how common that is, I found this from May when the Oakland did it. h...

Which positions are hardest to master?

A deep dive using Pro Football Focus data to see how players in different positions develop their first four years after they are drafted.

FanPost
7

Do we really need three catchers?

It is it a foregone conclusion that Rivera will get claimed if we release him to get him down to AAA? The guy cannot hit, does not have a great arm but, apparently, calls a very good game. I...

Perhaps Balsley is not perfect

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Perhaps early but always felt like we were not tapping Volquez potential

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Nady's HR burst

I should probably wait until tomorrow morning, but Nady's OPS is probably somewhere near .990 with an ISO of above .500 but, amazingly, he have 5 hits this season (including last night), and 4 of...

What are San Diego's chances in the draft?

What is the likelihood we can snag some quality defenders in the 2014 draft?

ANALYTICS: How bad was the Chargers 2013 defense?

We use player defensive metrics to assess the 2013 Chargers defense and compare them to the rest of the league.

Domination, regression or status quo 2014?

32

Vote on The Chargers' expected wins in 2014.

Analytics: Improvement in the Chargers Offense

Using ProFootballFocus data, DVOA (Football Outsiders) and lots and lots of Excel, we look at the Chargers' resurgent offense from 2012 to 2013.

FanPost
13

Whisenhunt unambiguously deserves the blame for our loss to Denver

Predictability in KW's play calling destroyed us in this game. Below are split stats showing our play outcomes by certain play calling patterns. Here are the stats through the first three...

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Current probability of "chips falling" for San Diego

Updated for Baltimore and Miami losses, coupled with the revised probabilities based on current moneyline odds. This is my summary of what we need to have happen outside of our control. To get...

FanPost
3

Huston Street "rebound"

This is most likely a function of small sample sizes, but Huston Street is looking very good again after being one of the worst relievers in baseball. His pitching line, split after June, when he...

FanPost
3

FO's analysis of Fluker

They, or the author Ben Muth, are not optimistic. Kind of what people have said; powerful guy to shove defenders on runs but too slow and awkward on pass protection. They think he will get...

FanPost
4

Byrnes Makes This Burn Worse

I went to a small liberal arts college outside Philadelphia that few people on the west coast have heard of. I love the school and am always pulling for fellow alumnus. Josh Byrnes is a fellow...

FanPost
1

Analysis of Rivers' decline

I originally posted this as a FanShot, but where did FanShots go? Anyway, the premise is that the OL has declined due to lack of investment by Smith, the receiving RB corp quality dropped with LT...

Analysis on Rivers' decline

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Poor investment in the line, loss of good RB receivers (LT, Sproles), decline in TE and WR corp. Thanks AJ!

FanPost
3

Casey Kelly, destroyer of dreams

CK is killing us! This is, of course with perfect hindsight, but one can argue that we would have won his two losses. We lost narrowly but also scored a ton of runs but coming up short. So...

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14

Trade Value Tracking: Cubs, Reds and Angels trades

Going to update this weekly. Because they seem linked, going to look at the total value gained or lost had we not done either. It can be argued that we did the Reds, "forcing" us to trade Rizzo. ...

Padres worst single season winning pct is .321 in 1969

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So if this season has felt excruciating to watch, we are absorbing a season, if it continues, that is nearly as a bad as it gets for the Padres. Let's hope it does not continue.

Ernesto's sick start in Orange County

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12 IP, 0H, 0R, 10BB, 25K. 25k = 18.75 K/9. Maybe the trade still works for us, but glad to see Ernesto do well.

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One way to assess Turner

My current (surely debatable) view is that one path towards dominance is a dominating QB. If you have one of those, you should be doing very well. My view is we do have that QB in Rivers but not...

FanPost
55

Thoughts on how to assemble the Chargers

This stretch, including last season, has been especially depressing. More depressing is my complete lack of confidence in Chargers front office's ability to make good choices in replacing Turner...

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20

John Spanos as GM

I must have missed this, but saw the references on the board.  How is this remotely justifiable?  How can you demand accountability and results from your coaches and your players when deciding that...

FanPost
55

Hoyer and rebuilding; lost season

This post is assessing the impact of Hoyer and his moves he has made and the impact on the season.  I am splitting them into two types:  arbitrage (trading lesser for better, current value) vs....

FanPost
11

Rizzo's return to Tucson

His first two games back, he goes 1-9, with 1 BB, 6K.  His next four 11-17, 3 2B, 3HR, 1BB, 2K.  Statistically probably means nothing but fun to tally up that audacious line over those four good...

FanPost
17

Blanks going nuts

BP's Goldstein wrote about this, so I looked it up.  Kyle is on fire in the hot Tucson sun.  If we were to bring him up, who do we push down?  Do we need three catchers, 12 pitchers?

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NFLPA decertifies; Lock out imminent

Lots of sources on this, this is one: http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news;_ylt=AhwAfi79gAWf2NP4s7spyO9DubYF?slug=ap-nfllabor

Showing 1 - 28 of 28
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