The five worst teams in 2009 are doin' alright in 2010

Continue reading this post »

After today's performance, I feel a little more like Nostradamus in predicting the upper end of the Chief's final record and am emboldened to predict the relevant portion of the drafting order as follows:

Team Wins (Win-able remaining games) Total wins Draft rank Strength of schedule Position of Need

St. Louis Rams 1 1 2 #1 QB
Tampa Bay Bucs 1 1 2 #2 Suh
Cleveland Browns 1 2 3 #3 QB/RB/OL
Detroit Lions 2 1 3 #4 OL
Buffalo Bills 4 1 5 #5 .494 OL/QB/OLB
Washington Redskins 3 2 5 #6 .500 QB
Kansas City 3 2 5 #7 .527
Carolina Panthers (SF) 5 0 5 #8 .557 ?
Seattle Seahawks 5 1 6 #9 .483 QB/OL
Oakland Raiders 4 2 6 #10 QB
Chicago Bears (Den) 5 1 6 #11 ?

I used an arbitrary sliding scale to determine win-able games, giving the bottom four St. Louis>Detroit the lowest threshold of what might be a winable game and a more conservative view of win-able games for the rest of the teams. I included the strength of schedule from week 11 for the 5 win teams except the Chiefs which is up-to-the latest based on 16 games (there aren't wild swings in strength of schedule winning percentage from what I can tell. If all assumptions are correct (big if, considering numerous possible coaching changes), I think that Eric Berry should be there when the Chiefs draft in the seventh position (the upper end).

Wes Bunting discusses underclassmen. He mentions AP fave OG Iupati, but notes the Fla Sate Pouncey boys could harsh his mellow on draft day. NFLDraftScout.com Analyst Rob Rang finds some "diamonds-in-the-rough" in his latest column. Many of these "diamonds" are pretty well known, but he does have a few that are intriguing. A guy I read about earlier this year, but haven't seen any film on, Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, Indiana (Penn.), 6-1, 205, 4.48 (CB) - though he might convert to Safety- is a real "in the rough guy" who is a dynamite K/P returner as well.

10/11/2009 - Akwasi Owusu-Ansah can't do it all himself, although he sure gave it his best try on Saturday. With yet another NFL scout watching from the press box, Owusu-Ansah showed off his skills by returning a kickoff and a punt for touchdowns during the fourth quarter of IUP's 38-24 loss to Edinboro at Miller Stadium. The scores give Owusu-Ansah, a senior from Columbus, Ohio, eight career touchdowns - three on kickoffs, three on punts, one on an interception and one on a fumble return. (NFLDraftScout.com)

Happy reading!